Thursday, September 13, 2018

Friday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:   
  • Asia Stock Rally Set to Extend; Dollar Slips. Asian stocks looked set to extend a rally after technology shares drove U.S. equities higher. The dollar fell after data showed a gauge of underlying U.S. inflation unexpectedly cooled in August. Futures signaled equities in Japan, Hong Kong and China will start Friday higher, building on Thursday’s rally as investors assess whether trade frictions between the world’s two biggest economies are easing. U.S. stocks pulled back from the day’s highs after President Donald Trump tweeted that the U.S. isn’t under pressure to reach a trade agreement with China. Emerging-market currencies climbed, with the lira surging after Turkey’s central bank defied the country’s president and hiked rates by a larger than expected amount. Futures on Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.7 percent in Singapore. Futures on Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 1 percent. FTSE China A50 futures climbed 0.6 percent. Futures on Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index rose 0.4 percent.  
Wall St. Journal:
Business Insider:
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are +.25% to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 78.5 -.75 basis point. 
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 12.25 -.5 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 65.09 -.09%.
  • FTSE 100 futures -.42%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.02%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.03%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • PLAY/(.67)
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Retail Sales Advance MoM for August are estimated to rise +.4% versus a +.5% gain in July.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM for August are estimated to rise +.5% versus a +.6% gain in July.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos and Gas for August are estimated to rise +.5% versus a +.6% gain in July.
  • The Import Price Index MoM for August is estimated to fall -.2% versus unch. in July.
  • The Export Price Index MoM for August is estimated unch. versus a -.5% decline in July.
9:15 am EST
  • Industrial Production MoM for August is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.1% gain in July.
  • Capacity Utilization for August is estimated to rise to 78.2% versus 78.1% in July.
  • Manufacturing Production for August is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.3% gain in July.
10:00 am EST
  • Business Inventories for July are estimated to rise +.6% versus a +.1% gain in June. 
  • Preliminary Univ. of Mich. Consumer Sentiment for September is estimated to rise to 96.6 versus 96.2 in August.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Evans speaking, China GDP/Industrial Production/Retail Sales reports and the Eurozone Trade Balance report could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are higher, boosted by technology and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher.  The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

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