Thursday, September 20, 2018

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Less Emerging Markets Currency/Debt Angst, Economic Optimism, Technical Buying, Tech/Biotech Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.5 -2.0%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.78 +1.04%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.64 -.43%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 33.44 -1.44%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 238.0 +105.17%
  • Total Put/Call .86 -7.5%
  • NYSE Arms .56 +5.6%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 60.99 +8.6% (new series)
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 393.0 -.86%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 78.74 +16.0%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 241.0 +3.5 basis points
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 11.15 -6.77%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 199.27 unch.
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 150.35 -.33%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.75 +2.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 17.25 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -12.0 +1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.63 +.66%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.16% unch.
  • Yield Curve 26.75 -.75 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 68.61 USD/Metric Tonne -.31%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -5.1 +1.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -20.70 -.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -9.5 -.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.15 unch.
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at Nov. 8th meeting, 100.0% chance at Dec. 19th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +65 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +100 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +31 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/industrial/retail/medical/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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