Wednesday, September 19, 2018

Stocks Closing Mostly Higher on Less Emerging Markets Debt/Currency Angst, Economic Optimism, Oil Gain, Commodity/Financial Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Around Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.94 -6.7%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 136.30 -.06%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.65 -1.44%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 33.61 -3.72%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 114.0 -4.2%
  • Total Put/Call .94 +13,25%
  • NYSE Arms .51 -25.6%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 56.06 -.25%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 396.0 -.84%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 67.86 -.08%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 236.50 +5.5 basis points
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 11.98 -1.24%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 199.27 -3.5%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 150.85 +.05%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 16.75 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 16.50 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -13.25 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.20 +.57%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.16% unch.
  • Yield Curve 27.5 +2.75 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 69.06 USD/Metric Tonne +.03%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -7.5 -.8 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -20.60 -2.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -9.2 +.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.15+2.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at Nov. 8th meeting, 100.0% chance at Dec. 19th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -37 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +77 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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