Tuesday, September 11, 2018

Stocks Reversing Higher into Final Hour on Less Eurozone Debt Angst, Economic Optimism, Oil Gain, Energy/Telecom Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.3 -5.79%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 134.49 +.34%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 12.93 unch.
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 27.40 -4.56%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 126.0 +14.55%
  • Total Put/Call .87 -24.35%
  • NYSE Arms .96 -26.86%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 57.83 -.74%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 413.0 -1.12%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 69.68 -1.91%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 251.25 -13.5 basis points
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 12.76 +.16%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 229.17 +.39%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 151.52 +.07%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.25 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 19.0 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -11.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 65.21 +.09%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.15% +3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 23.25 +.75 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 66.68 USD/Metric Tonne -.99%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -4.6 +.2 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -6.7 -2.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -3.90 +.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.12 +2.0 basis points
  • 96.4% chance of Fed rate hike at Nov. 8th meeting, 99.3% chance at Dec. 19th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -89 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -106 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +17 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my medical/retail/tech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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