Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
- Sector Performance: Mixed
- Volume: Above Average
- Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 12.0 unch.
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 136.47 -.57%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.26 +1.68%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 34.32 -1.15%
- ISE Sentiment Index 138.0 +58.6%
- Total Put/Call .80 -20.0%
- NYSE Arms .72 +16.3%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 59.16 +1.43%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 411.0 +7.96%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 88.19 +3.81%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 303.0 +20.25 basis points
- Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 9.09 +3.12%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 192.03 -.75%
- iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 150.78 +.08%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 17.25 +.5 basis point
- TED Spread 18.75 -.75 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -41.0 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.77 -.28%
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.21% +1.0 basis point
- Yield Curve 24.25 -1.5 basis points
- China Iron Ore Spot 69.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.29%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index -7.7 -.1 point
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -29.30 -.6 point
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -10.8 +.8 point
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.13 -1.0 basis point
- 77.2% chance of Fed rate hike at Dec. 19th meeting, 78.6% chance at Jan. 30th meeting
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -20 open in Japan
- China A50 Futures: Indicating -193 open in China
- DAX Futures: Indicating -31 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Lower: On losses in my retail/medical/biotech sector longs
- Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
- Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long
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