Wednesday, October 03, 2018

Thursday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:              
  • Treasuries Slide, Asia Stocks Set to Nudge Higher. Treasuries sank amid optimism on the U.S. economy, with Asian stocks set for small gains after U.S. equities edged higher. The dollar surged pushing the yen to its lowest in over a year. Stronger-than-anticipated reports on U.S. services and private payrolls helped drive up the yield on 10-year Treasuries more than 10 basis points Wednesday to 3.18 percent. Futures indicated modest gains for stocks in Japan, Hong Kong and Australia. The S&P 500 Index eked out an advance after climbing to within a whisker of a fresh all-time high, though finished off the session highs as higher bond yields tested equity valuations. The rise in the greenback hit the Australian and New Zealand dollars. Futures on Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.6 percent in Singapore. Futures on Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 0.1 percent. Futures on Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index gained 0.1 percent.
Wall St. Journal:
Business Insider:
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are unch. to +.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 80.0 -.75 basis point. 
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 9.25 +.25 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.46 +.01%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.5%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.24%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.26%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (STZ)/2.61
  • (ISCA)/.21
After the Close:
  • (COST)/2.34
Economic Releases
7:30 am EST
  • Challenger Job Cuts YoY for September.
8:30 am EST
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week is estimated to rise to 215K versus 214K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to rise to 1665K versus 1661K prior.
10:00 am EST
  • Factory Orders for August are estimated to rise +2.1% versus a -.8% decline in July.
Upcoming Splits
  • (CASH) 3-for-1
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Quarles speaking, German Construction PMI report, weekly Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index, B. Riley Consumer/Media Conference, (TRN) investor day, (CCOI) investor day and the (JEF) investor meeting could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by energy and financial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing mixed.  The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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