Thursday, January 10, 2019

Stocks Reversing Higher into Final Hour on China Trade Deal Hopes, More Dovish FOMC Commentary, Oil Gain, Biotech/Road & Rail Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 20.07 +.45%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 129.58 -.13%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.60 +.42%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 48.0 -.7%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 89.0 -4.3%
  • Total Put/Call 1.18 +26.9%
  • NYSE Arms 1.29 +64.1%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 77.80 -1.43%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 696.0 -3.79%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 107.22 +1.15%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 263.25 +3.25 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 90.25 -.60%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 192.02 +.65%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 152.95 -.38%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 14.75 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 34.75 -1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 2.5 -2.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 68.0 +.02%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.42% -2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 16.75 +3.25 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 72.35 USD/Metric Tonne +.12%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -6.60 +1.9 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -86.8 -2.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -13.5 +1.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.81 -2.0 basis points
  • 5.3% chance of Fed rate hike at March 20th meeting, 13.1% chance at May 1st meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +212 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +94 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +7 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/industrial/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

No comments: