Sunday, March 10, 2019

Monday Watch

Today's Headlines
Bloomberg:
  • Stocks Face Mixed Start After 2019's Worst Week. Stocks in Asia looked set to start mixed Monday following the worst week for global equities since mid-December. Futures indicated Japan could eke out small gains when trading begins, while equities dropped at the open in Australia. Ten-year Treasury yields will begin the week near the lowest level in two months. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated he is in no hurry to change interest rates. The S&P 500 Index dipped on Friday and the dollar weakened after a report showed American hiring was the weakest in more than a year while wage gains were the fastest of the expansion. The pound edged lower as another key Brexit vote looms in parliament, on Prime Minister Theresa May’s revised deal. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index dropped 0.2 percent. Futures on Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.5 percent late Friday. Hang Seng Index futures dipped 0.4 percent. Futures on the S&P 500 Index were flat.
Zero Hedge:   
Night Trading
  • Asian indices are -.25% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 71.25 +1.5 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 52.0 +1.75 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.29 -.02%.
  • FTSE 100 futures -.43%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.15%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.16%.

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • None of note
After the Close:
  • (ADT)/.12
  • (COUP)/.00
  • (PETQ)/.07
  • (SFIX)/.05
Economic Releases 
8:30 am EST
  • Retail Sales Advance MoM for Jan. are estimated to fall -.1% versus a -1.2% decline in Dec.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM for Jan. is estimated to rise +.3% versus a -1.8% decline in Dec.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos and Gas for Jan. is estimated to rise +.6% versus a -1.4% decline in Dec.
10:00 am EST
  • Business Inventories for Dec. is estimated to rise +.6% versus a -.1% decline in Nov.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Eurozone Trade Balance report, 3Y T-Note auction, Cowen Healthcare Conference, Deutsche Bank Media/Internet/Telecom Conference and the (BLMN) analyst day could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are sligthly lower, weighed down by technology and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower.  The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the week.

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