Friday, March 15, 2019

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, Diminished Global Growth Worries, Technical Buying, Tech/Biotech Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.8 -5.04%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 131.13 -.08%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.89 -1.62%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 38.33 -3.35%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 76.0 -16.5%
  • Total Put/Call .77 -14.4%
  • NYSE Arms 1.25 +16.8%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 57.97 -.62%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 512.0 +1.53%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 71.68 +.54%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 241.25 +.5 basis point
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 66.69 -.42%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 166.97 -.55%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 159.86 +.10%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.5 -1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 18.0 +2.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -7.75 +1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.75 +.35%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.44% unch.
  • Yield Curve 15.5 -2.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 85.11 USD/Metric Tonne +.63%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -36.20 -1.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -34.10 +.6 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -28.50 -2.5 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.95 +1.0 basis point
  • 0.0% chance of Fed rate hike at May 1st meeting, 0.0% chance at June 19th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -85 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +60 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +17 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On losses in my retail/biotech/industrial sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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