Thursday, March 07, 2019

Stocks Falling into Afternoon on Global Growth Fears, Earnings Outlooks, Technical Selling, Financial/Gaming Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.3 +3.6%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.0 -1.0%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.27 +1.85%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 42.82 +6.45%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 103.0 +71.7%
  • Total Put/Call 1.08 +2.86%
  • NYSE Arms 1.18 -45.4%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.16 +.98%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 516.0 +1.44%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 75.68 +.72%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 240.25 -6.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 68.0 +1.62%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 176.19 +1.95%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 159.17 +.08%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.25 +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 16.25 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.5 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.28 -.67%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.45% unch.
  • Yield Curve 16.75 -.5 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 84.05 USD/Metric Tonne +.66%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -33.30 +.7 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -48.4 +1.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -15.20 -.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.91 unch.
  • 0.0% chance of Fed rate hike at May 1st meeting, 0.0% chance at June 19th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -321 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -136 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -10 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

No comments: