Wednesday, March 20, 2019

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Global Growth Concerns, Yen Strength, Profit-Taking, Financial/Healthcare Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.2 -2.51%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 131.56 +.13%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.83 +1.03%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 37.91 -2.47%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 67.0 -25.6%
  • Total Put/Call .91 -5.21%
  • NYSE Arms 1.04 -4.59%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.75 +10.7%(new series)
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 512.0 +2.22%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 78.68 +15.4%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 239.75 +2.75 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 73.49 +14.0%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 165.57 -.12%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 160.02 +.09%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.0 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 19.0 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -12.0 -2.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 68.35 +.61%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.45% unch.
  • Yield Curve 14.0 -.25 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 83.04 USD/Metric Tonne +.67%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -35.40 +.9 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -25.50 +.9 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -23.50 +1.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.97 +2.0 basis points
  • 0.0% chance of Fed rate hike at June 19th meeting, 0.0% chance at July 31st meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -197 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +23 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +51 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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