Wednesday, March 06, 2019

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Oil Decline, Technical Selling, Biotech/Energy Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.4 +4.0%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 131.38 -.07%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.09 -.12%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 41.02 +1.2%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 59.0 -42.7%
  • Total Put/Call 1.03 +13.2%
  • NYSE Arms 1.91 +120.0%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.28 +2.27%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 507.0 +.30%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 75.14 -.27%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 246.25 -7.75 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 66.89 +.26%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 172.75 +.65%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 159.04 +.1%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.25 +1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 17.0 +1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.25 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.75 -.28%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.45% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 17.25 unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 83.59 USD/Metric Tonne +.19%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -34.0 -.2 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -49.8 +1.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -15.0 +.4 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.91 -2.0 basis points
  • .8% chance of Fed rate hike at May 1st meeting, .8% chance at June 19th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -216 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +20 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -16 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my industrial/retail/tech/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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