Monday, July 27, 2020

Stocks Higher into Afternoon on Global Stimulus Hopes, Oil Gain, Technical Buying, Tech/Metals & Mining Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 25.5 -1.4%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 128.31 +.05%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.85 +.31%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 58.1 +.28%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 145 .0 +17.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .63 -30.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.12 -2.6%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 70.52 +.38%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 863.14 +.38%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 68.50 +3.16%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 144.5 unch.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index  74.90 +.17%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 184.07 -.14%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 175.72 +.05%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 6.5 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 14.25 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.5 +3.5 basis points
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  98.5 -.5 basis point
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 66.25 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 61.58 +.57%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .10% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 43.75 -2.3 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 103.67 USD/Metric Tonne -.54%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 238.5 +2.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 138.60 +21.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -24.1 -3.6 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.51 unch.
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Sept. 16 meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at Nov. 5th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -20 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +37 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +29 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/industrial/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

No comments: