Tuesday, July 14, 2020

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are +.5%  to +1.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 79.25 -1.0 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 44.25 -1.5 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.83 +.12%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +1.08%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.82%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.64%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (ASML)/2.06
  • (BK)/.92
  • (GS)/3.91
  • (OMC)/.80
  • (PNC)/.75
  • (PGR)/1.36
  • (USB)/.38
  • (UNH)/4.04
After the Close:
  • (ADTN)/.01
  • (AA)/-.26
  • (CNS)/.52
  • (SNBR)/-.75
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Empire Manufacturing for July is estimated to rise to 10.0 versus -.2 in June.
  • The Import Price Index MoM for June is estimated to rise +1.0% versus a +1.0% gain in May.
  • The Import Price Index ex Petro for June is estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.1% gain in May. 
  • The Export Price Index MoM for June is estimated to rise +.8% versus a +.5% gain in May.
9:15 am EST
  • Industrial Production MoM for June is estimated to rise +4.4% versus a +1.4% gain in May.
  • Capacity Utilization for June is estimated to rise to 67.8% versus 64.8% in May.
  • Manufacturing Production for June is estimated to rise +5.6% versus a +3.8% gain in May.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -88,090 barrels versus a +5,654,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to fall by -1,080,090 barrels versus a -4,839,000 barrel decline the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to rise by +1,384,360 barrels versus a +3,135,000 barrel gain the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +.45% versus a +2.0% gain prior.
2:00 pm EST
  • US Fed Beige Book release.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Harker speaking, the China CPI report and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are higher, boosted by financial and commodity shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

No comments: