Wednesday, July 29, 2020

Thursday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25%  to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 73.75 -1.25 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 43.75 -.5 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 61.33 -.07%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.08%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.08%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.03%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (AGCO)/.08
  • (ALXN)/2.58
  • (AMT)/1.94
  • (BUD)/.36
  • (APTV)/-1.36
  • (MT)/-.11
  • (AZN)/.92
  • (BAX)/.71
  • (BC)/.44
  • (CG)/.36
  • (CI)/5.16
  • (CLF)/-.51
  • (CMCSA)/.55
  • (COP)/-.58
  • (DBD)/-.19
  • (DNKN)/.49
  • (DD)/.58
  • (ELAN)/.07
  • (LLY)/1.60
  • (FLR)/.25
  • (FCN)/1.04
  • (GNRC)/.88
  • (GPC)/.92
  • (ICE)/1.04
  • (IGT)/-.61
  • (IP)/.39
  • (K)/.94
  • (KHC)/.65
  • (MA)/1.18
  • (TAP)/.64
  • (NEM)/.31
  • (NOC)/5.28
  • (ODFL)/1.07
  • (PBI)/-.01
  • (PG)/1.01
  • (RCL)/-4.55
  • (SWK)/1.28
  • (UPS)/1.08
  • (VLO)/-1.40
  • (YUM)/.54
After the Close:
  • (GOOG)/8.25
  • (AMZN)/1.62
  • (AAPL)/2.07
  • (DECK)/-1.13
  • (EA)/.79
  • (FB)/1.38
  • (F)/-1.17
  • (GILD)/1.46
  • (MGM)/-1.71
  • (SHAK)/-.38
  • (SPG)/2.23
  • (SKYW)/-.21
  • (SYK)/.57
  • (X)/-2.79
  • (XLNX)/.64
  • (ZEN)/.10
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Advance 2Q GDP is estimated to fall -34.5% versus a -5.0% decline in 1Q.
  • Advance 2Q Personal Consumption is estimated to fall -34.5% versus a -6.8% decline in 1Q.
  • Advance 2Q GDP Price Index is estimated unch. versus a +1.4% gain in 1Q.
  • Advance 2Q Core PCE QoQ is estimated to fall -.9% versus a +1.7% gain in 1Q.
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to rise to 1430K versus 1416K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to rise to 16250K versus 16197K prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The German GDP report, weekly Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index and the weekly EIA natural gas inventory report could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by commodity and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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