S&P 500 4,514.2 +2.4% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 34,836.9 +1.2%
- NASDAQ 14,023.7 +2.9%
- Russell 2000 1,920.77 +3.8%
- NYSE FANG+ 7,818.6 +4.2%
- Roundhill Meme Stock ETF 35.45 +7.5%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 154.6 +6.5%
- Wilshire 5000 45,122.7 +2.5%
- Russell 1000 Growth 2,831.6 +3.2%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,568.1 +1.8%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 758.12 -.37%
- MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,253.72 +3.0%
- NYSE Technology 3,839.4 +5.5%
- Transports 15,822.1 +1.2%
- Utilities 866.6 -2.0%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 85.17 +1.49%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 39.7 +1.8%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 193.47 -.10%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 103.18 -.14%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 465,712 +1.40%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 8.9 +78.0%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -551 +411
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -29.8 -.3%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 234,371 -3.2%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,623,347 -4.66%
- Total Put/Call 1.01 -16.4%
- OEX Put/Call 2.02 +42.5%
- ISE Sentiment 98.0 +21.0 points
- NYSE Arms .70 -23.3%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 70.2 +2.0%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .47 +7.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .10 +16.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 13.1 -15.9%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing 1.21% -38.8%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 18.9 -17.6%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.9 -3.4%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.6 -3.1%
- Smart Money Flow Index 12,807.9 +.16%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 61.2 +26.8
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $5.583 Trillion +.26%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$14.047 Million
- AAII % Bulls 33.1 +2.5%
- AAII % Bears 34.5 -3.9%
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 284.4 +1.3%
- Crude Oil 85.8/bbl. +6.8%
- Reformulated Gasoline 258.6 -1.4%
- Natural Gas 2.77 +8.5%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 35.6 euros/megawatt-hour +1.8%
- Heating Oil 310.6 -6.2%
- Newcastle Coal 156.0 (1,000/metric ton) -2.8%
- Gold 1,941.1 +1.3%
- Silver 24.2 -.13%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 414.6 +1.2%
- Copper 385.2 +2.3%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 364.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.55%
- China Iron Ore Spot 115.2 USD/Metric Tonne +4.5
%
- CME Lumber 506.0 -2.6%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,603.5 +.63%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 331.5 USD/Short Ton +.91%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2Q Forecast +5.64% -27.0 basis points
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate (graph)
- US Recession Within 3 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 25.0% -.5 percentage point
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 1.94 +15.5%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 279.56 +68.9%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(496 of 500 reporting) -5.6% n/a
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 237.79 n/a: Growth
Rate +8.1% n/a, P/E 19.0 n/a
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.21% +1.0 basis point
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(10 of 10 reporting) +24.3% n/a
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 243.88 n/a: Growth Rate +47.1% n/a, P/E 32.0 n/a
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 52.1 -7.5 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -62.1 -4.8 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 6.1 +4.5 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 0.0%(-0.0 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 93.0%(+5.0 percentage points) chance of no
change, 7.0%(-5.0 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 9/20
- US Dollar Index 104.25 +.03%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,677.41 +.02%
- Bitcoin/USD 25,621.0 -2.4%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 166.93 -.31%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -70.0 +14.5 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.17% -7.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $8.085 Trillion -.23%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $2.204 Billion +13.8%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 47.9 +6.2%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 191.2 -5.0%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 169.0 +1.0 basis point
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 27.2 -10.1%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 71.5 -14.0%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 166.21 -5.7%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 54.23 -1.0%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 31.9 -7.2%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.94 +.56%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 79.90 +9.5%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.0% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.6% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +4.9% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +4.0% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +4.0% -20.0 basis points: CPI YoY +3.8% unch.
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.26% -6.0 basis points
- TED Spread 25.5 +4.5 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -10.5 +2.5 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -11.5 +1.0 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 63.57 -3.5%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 182.0 -3.7%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 364.0 +18.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 80.36 -5.0%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 261.4-1.6%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 198.4 -3.1%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 162.0 -14.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 804.0 +32.0 basis point
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .73 -2.0 basis points
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -3.7% -10.0 basis points
- Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,184.5 +1.9%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 237,500 +.11%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 47.15 -.02%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.53% -4.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 189,000 +2.3%
- Weekly Retail Sales +2.0% +70.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -5.0% unch.
- Box Office Weekly Gross YoY $37.3M -35.3%
- Nationwide Gas $3.82/gallon -.01/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,086.0 -2.2%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 893.0 -.19%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 25.0 -9.1%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 39.3 +14.1%
- Rail Freight Carloads 245,846 -1.6%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,599,387 +26.0%
Best Performing Style
- Small-Cap Value +3.8%
Worst Performing Style
- Large-Cap Value +1.8%
Leading Sectors
- Computer Hardware +8.5%
- Disk Drives +8.3%
- Oil Service +6.4%
- Homebuilding +6.0%
- Steel +5.5%
Lagging Sectors
- Restaurants unch.
- Pharma -.2%
- Foods -1.2%
- Healthcare Providers -1.2%
- Utilities -2.0%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (35)
- DELL,
IOT, NTNX, LOVE, SLRN, HE, RLAY, GCT, COGT, NXGN, PSTG, XMTR, OII,
PTEN, NTRA, ACMR, AMR, IMVT, TXG, HPE, AFRM, LPG, VEEV, CRGY, S, VERV,
BTU, MOD, MDB, ALKT, LRN, SBRA, RNG, OHI and CMC
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (11)
- HCP, ERII, DG, PD, WBA, PARA, OLN, WBD, NXST, GH and SBGI
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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