S&P 500 4,594.6 +.8% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 36,245.5 +2.4%
- NASDAQ 14,305.0 +.4%
- Russell 2000 1,862.6 +3.1%
- NYSE FANG+ 8,210.7 -.9%
- Roundhill Meme Stock ETF 36.94 +11.9%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 141.3 +8.1%
- Wilshire 5000 45,805.2 +1.2%
- Russell 1000 Growth 2,935.5 +.34%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,564.49 +1.9%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 747.05 +.55%
- MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,326.88 +.34%
- NYSE Technology 4,086.1 +1.6%
- Transports 15,463.7 +2.5%
- Utilities 876.01 +1.2%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 88.72 +1.9%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 39.65 +.47%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 188.72 +.70%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 106.73 -.05%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 461,644 +.86%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 5.2-20.5%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 140 +221
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -28.7 +16.6%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 207,324 -3.9%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,553,677 -5.2%
- Total Put/Call .84 -25.0%
- OEX Put/Call .94 -37.3%
- ISE Sentiment 127.0 +1.0 point
- NYSE Arms .88 +2.33%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 60.8 -9.8%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .52 +9.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .23 -15.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 12.6 +1.4%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing .84% +196.9%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 21.1 +9.8%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.51 +4.6%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.83 +1.7%
- Smart Money Flow Index 13,275.3 +.48%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 81.4 +3.4
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $5.836 Trillion +1.3%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$7.573 Million
- AAII % Bulls 48.8 +7.7%
- AAII % Bears 19.6 -17.0%
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 270.77 -.45%
- Crude Oil 74.07/bbl. -1.5%
- Reformulated Gasoline 212.11 -.63%
- Natural Gas 2.81 -1.8%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 43.5 euros/megawatt-hour -5.0%
- Heating Oil 266.15 -5.7%
- Newcastle Coal 135.5 (1,000/metric ton) +5.9%
- Gold 2,072.22 +3.6%
- Silver 25.5 +4.8%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 406.9 -.4%
- Copper 393.15 +3.7%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 383.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.52%
- China Iron Ore Spot 130.9 USD/Metric Tonne -.53
%
- CME Lumber 525.5 -4.8%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,576.75 -.15%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 322.50 USD/Short Ton -3.0%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 4Q Forecast +1.19% -.91 percentage point
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate (graph)
- US Recession Within 3 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 28.4% +3.5 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.12 +15.9%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 94.2 +129.2%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(491 of 500 reporting) +4.5% n/a
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 242.07 n/a: Growth
Rate +9.3% n/a, P/E 18.9 n/a
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.13% -1.0 basis point
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(9 of 10 reporting) +50.6% n/a
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 284.46 n/a: Growth Rate +33.4% n/a, P/E 30.0 n/a
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 25.6 -5.6 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -23.7 -.9 point
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 25.8 +3.4 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply .00%(-0.0 percentage point) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 97.3%(+1.8 percentage points) chance of no
change, 2.7%(-1.8 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 12/13
- US Dollar Index 103.19 -.27%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,717.50 +.46%
- Bitcoin/USD 38,779.3 +2.89%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 171.14 -2.2%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -34.5 +14.0 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.23% -24.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.759 Trillion -.2%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $2.557 Billion +16.8%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 47.0 -4.8%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 178.6 -3.4%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 174.0 -3.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 35.4 -.23%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 58.9 -1.6%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 145.2 -2.0%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 114.6 -2.0%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 28.3 -5.3%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 25.38 -.5%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 76.69 -4.0%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +5.9% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.2% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.3% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.9% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.46% -9.0 basis points: CPI YoY +3.04% -6.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.23% -5.0 basis points
- TED Spread 25.75 +1.25 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -18.25 +.5 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -12.0 +3.25 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 61.3 -2.5%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 167.0 -2.6%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 345.0 +17.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 76.6 -2.9%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 233.81 -3.7%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 186.45 -1.9%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 152.0 -9.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 944.0 +6.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .88 -4.0 basis points
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -3.3% +30.0 basis points
- Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,275.2 +1.7%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 220,000 -.23%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.3% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 39.3 -21.1%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.57% -24.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 176,100 +.28%
- Weekly Retail Sales +3.90% +70.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY n/a
- Box Office Weekly Gross $207.9M +80.70%
- Nationwide Gas $3.25/gallon -.01/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 2,937.0 +39.7%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 857.72 -2.2%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 37.50 unch.
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 23.8 -32.1%
- Rail Freight Carloads 219,384 -16.9%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,266,124 -13.0%
Best Performing Style
- Small-Cap Value +3.0%
Worst Performing Style
- Large-Cap Growth +.3%
Leading Sectors
- Gold & Silver +7.4%
- Regional Banks +6.7%
- REITs +4.6%
- Steel +4.6%
- Retail +4.3%
Lagging Sectors
- Foods -.4%
- Healthcare Providers -.5%
- Oil Service -.9%
- Gambling -1.1%
- Electric Vehicles -1.3%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (50)
- ESTC,
PATH, IOT, AAOI, GCT, UPST, VNO, MARA, LYFT, APLS, BXP, BMEA, PARA,
HCP, ZUMZ, ERO, ETRN, AFRM, RIOT, ARE, NVRO, ASO, CC, GTLB, METC, BANC,
VAC, CRDO, CLF, DOMO, COIN, SATS, PRO, ABR, ERJ, CCU, ONB, GME, FCX,
UMBF, MSTR, CNHI, FLT, WEN, BHP, FA, TCBI, CRM and SBLK
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (4)
- PFE, DELL, CWAN and MRVL
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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