Bloomberg:
- Steel demand has fallen 30% in the first quarter and will suffer a “further significant decline” in the following three months, according to Eurofer, the Eruopean steel industry lobby group. Consumption has “collapsed” since the fourth quarter of last year, with order levels down almost 60%, the group said.
- The Baltic Dry Index, a measure of shipping costs for commodities, declined for a second consecutive week on falling demand for iron-ore transporters. The index fell 16% to 1,782 points this week. Rents for capsize vessels that typically haul iron ore to make steel slid 15% to $19,997 a day. Smaller panamaxes that compete for the same cargoes and also carry grains lost 32% to $11,804 a day. “Dry-bulk rates may see additional near-term downside, as China’s iron-ore imports will likely slow in coming months on elevated inventories,” Justin Yagerman, an analyst at Wachovia Corp. in NY, wrote today.
- The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development may cut its forecast for China’s economic growth this year to as little as 6 percent because of the deepening global slump, Secretary-General Angel Gurria said.
In November, the estimate was 8 percent.
Wall Street Journal:
CNBC.com:
- Wall Street Legends on Hedge Funds. (video)
- The economy is “starting to improve,” Omega Advisers Inc. founder Leon Cooperman told CNBC. In a roundtable discussion, Cooperman said signs of a recovery in included seeing stability in economic statistics, an improvement in financial stocks and a return of credit.
- Poll: Did Congress Overreact to AIG Bonuses?
NY Times:
Hartford Courant:
Politico:
- The Federal Reserve’s bold action this week to boost the US economy with large-scale purchases of government debt created on Thursday fresh headaches for the European Central Bank, which is eschewing such steps in favor of fighting the economic crisis via eurozone banks. The Fed’s surprise move sent the euro sharply higher; on a trade-weighted basis. Europe’s common currency ended on Thursday at its highest this year. With the Swiss National Bank intervening this week to weaken the Swiss franc, the ECB is in danger of appearing to be standing idle as eurozone exporters suffer and deflationary risks build in the 16-country region. “The ECB is definitely under enormous pressure right now because pretty much every big central bank is starting to engage in traditional ‘quantitative easing’ – it has become the orthodoxy,” said Marco Annunziata, chief economist at Unicredit. Erik Nielsen, European economist at Goldman Sachs, argued that at its regular press conference this month, the ECB “should have torn up its usual statement and said ‘look we’re in a very different situation. This is what we’re doing’.” many believe that the ECB will yet be forced to follow the US Fed and Bank of England in embarking on outright asset purchases. Mr Trichet confirmed on Tuesday that “further measures” were being assessed. “That statement in itself – saying that they are looking at the possibility of implementing other measures – means that there must be some view that there are other solutions,” said Jacques Cailloux, European economist at Royal Bank of Scotland. The risks of deflation that would be posed by further euro appreciation, “increases the odds that the ECB will embark in some kind of purchase program even soon than we had anticipated”.