Tuesday, January 05, 2010

Today's Headlines

Bloomberg:

- Ford Motor Co.(F) and Nissan Motor Co. posted U.S. sales gains in December that beat analysts’ estimates as the industry showed signs of stabilizing after the worst year in almost three decades. Ford’s deliveries jumped 33 percent to 184,655, the Dearborn, Michigan-based company said today in a statement. Nissan’s sales rose 18 percent to 73,404. Chrysler Group LLC said sales fell 3.7 percent to 86,523. “People are waking up and realizing the world didn’t end and are starting to return to showrooms,” said Aaron Bragman, a forecaster at IHS Global Insight in Troy, Michigan. “It’s way too early to say the trend is pointing north, but if it continues this quarter, it’s a positive sign.” An industrywide increase for December would cap automakers’ first quarterly improvement since the last three months of 2006, after October and November totals were little changed. Ford, spurred by an 83 percent gain for the Fusion and a doubling of Taurus sales, said the December results gave the second-largest U.S. automaker an estimated 15 percent of 2009 domestic sales for the first full-year increase in its home market since 1995. Ford said 2008’s total was about 14 percent. The shares rose 74 cents, or 7.2 percent, to $11.02 at 12:48 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading, after touching $11.21 for the highest intraday price since June 2005.

- The cost to protect against defaults on U.S. corporate bonds fell to the lowest in two years as factory orders in November rose more than twice as much as economists anticipated. A benchmark credit-default swaps index that allows investors to speculate on investment-grade corporate debt and typically falls as demand for corporate bonds rises, declined to the lowest since January 2008. A swaps index tied to North American high-yield, high-risk corporate loans reached its highest level since it was created in April. The Markit LCDX Index Series 12, which is linked to the senior secured loans of 90 companies with below-investment-grade ratings and rises as the cost of debt protection falls, climbed 0.35 percentage point to 105.25 percent of face value today, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. That’s up from 79.5 percent when Series 12 started trading April 15. The price of the Markit CDX North America High Yield Index, a credit swaps index linked to non-investment grade bonds, also climbed, gaining 0.2 percentage point to about 100.6 percent of face value as of 11:30 a.m. in New York, CMA DataVision prices show.

- Treasuries rose for a second day as investors bet the biggest monthly increase in 10-year note yields in almost six years was overdone and pending sales of existing U.S. homes fell more than forecast in November. Ten-year note yields touched the lowest levels in almost two weeks after rising 64 basis points in December, the most since April 2004.

- Copper, which more than doubled last year, is “breaking higher” after passing through a so-called Fibonacci retracement level, according to technical analysis by Dan Smith, an analyst at Standard Chartered Plc.

- Cold weather from China across Europe and the U.K. reaching to the U.S. is disrupting travel and pushing up fuel prices.

- The lowest-rated corporate bonds rallied above so-called distressed trading levels for the first time since January 2008 on optimism the economy is recovering. The average yield on U.S. bonds rated CCC or lower tightened to 9.82 percentage points more than similar-maturity Treasuries, from as much as 36.7 percentage points in March, according to Merrill Lynch & Co. index data. The debt has been distressed, or trading at a spread of at least 10 percentage points, since Jan. 8, 2008, the data show.

- Bruce Berkowitz, head of the $9.99 billion Fairholme Fund, was named the top U.S. stock fund manager for 2009 by research firm Morningstar Inc., which cited his winning bets on drug and defense companies. The group that oversees American Funds’ $98.2 billion EuroPacific Growth Fund won in the international stock fund category, Chicago-based Morningstar said today in a statement. The team that runs the $18.8 billion Loomis Sayles Bond Fund was selected best fixed-income manager.

- Continental Airlines Inc.(CAL) rose to its highest in almost a year in New York trading and led a rise in shares of major U.S. carriers after reporting that December unit revenue fell the least in 11 months. In its main jetliner operations, revenue for each seat flown a mile dropped as much as 5.5 percent from a year earlier, the smallest decline since January 2009, the Houston-based airline said in a statement yesterday. Its passenger traffic last month increased 6.3 percent, the largest gain since September.

- U.S.-China ties will likely deteriorate this year as trade tensions rise between the two countries, posing the biggest geopolitical risk this year, according to a report by a political risk consulting group.

- General Electric’s(GE) share of the Dow Jones Industrial Average shrunk to the smallest of any company for the first time since at least 1992 after a rally in financial stocks lifted banks at a faster rate.

- U.S. retail sales in December probably rose more than projected as shoppers visited stores after Christmas to redeem gift cards, according to a trade group. December retail sales at stores open at least a year probably increased about 2.5 percent from a year earlier, the International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said today in a statement. The ICSC had previously projected a gain of 2 percent. Sales in the week ended Jan. 2 climbed 2.5 percent, the New York-based group said. “Holiday sales were late in coming, but showed healthy gains as the season wrapped up,” Michael Niemira, the ICSC’s chief economist, said in the statement.

- Discovery Communications Inc.(DISCA), Sony Corp. and Imax Corp.(IMAX) plan to start a 3-D cable-television channel in 2011, following recent 3-D success with films such as “Avatar.” The joint venture, which doesn’t have a name yet, will air 3-D shows 24 hours a day, seven days a week in the U.S., the companies said today in a statement. Discovery, based in Silver Spring, Maryland, Sony and Imax will own equal stakes in the channel, according to the statement.

- Students in New York City charter schools outperformed their public school counterparts in reading and math, according to a Stanford University study. Fifty-one percent of charter school students showed gains in math that are “statistically larger” than they would have achieved in conventional public schools, according to the report released today by the Center for Research on Education Outcomes, which is based at Stanford, near Palo Alto, California. The study, which analyzed six years of data at 49 charter schools from 2003 through 2009, also found that 29 percent of charter schools students showed greater gains than their public-school counterparts in reading.

- Trading in bullish Ciena Corp.(CIEN) options reached a four-month high and the shares climbed on speculation that businesses including Nokia Siemens Networks may bid for the maker of fiber-optic gear for phone companies.


Wall Street Journal:

- Copenhagen’s Dodged Bullet. Modern men have lived through 20 sudden global warmings. Al Gore said the other week that climate change is "a principle in physics. It's like gravity. It exists." Sarah Palin agreed that "climate change is like gravity," but added a better conclusion: Each is "a naturally occurring phenomenon that existed long before, and will exist long after, any governmental attempts to affect it." Over time climates do change. As author Howard Bloom wrote in The Wall Street Journal last month, in the past two million years there have been 60 ice ages, and in the 120,000 years since the development of modern man, "we've lived through 20 sudden global warmings," and of course this was before--long before--"smokestacks and tail pipes." In truth, the world dodged a bullet in Copenhagen. There could have been significant damage to many nations' economies if the warming alarmists' full agenda had been adopted. But of course the game has not ended. Here in America, Mr. Obama, Congress and the Environmental Protection Agency all seem committed to regulating our behavior and consumption under the guise of addressing a crisis that is not a crisis. They will do so in a way that will not meaningfully reduce global temperatures, but will substantially hurt the economies and opportunities of the world's people.

- The U.K. government faces an 80% chance of a credit-rating downgrade if its deficit reduction plans remain as they are, according to Scott Mather, Pacific Investment Management Co.'s head of global portfolio management.

- Google(GOOG) this week is taking two dramatic steps to try to catapult devices using its Android mobile operating system into stronger competition with Apple's iPhone and Research in Motion's BlackBerry in the battle for supremacy in the super-smartphone category.


MarketWatch.com:

- CME Group Inc.(CME) closed 2009 year strongly, improving upon November's turnaround to growth with a 13% daily volume increase in December from a year ago, although its performance again fell short of smaller rival IntercontinentalExchange Inc.(ICE). ICE has been picking up market share in recent months, gaining as trading slowed at CME and then outpacing CME's growth since CME's turnaround.


CNBC:

- Apple(AAPL) announced that more than three billion applications—or apps—have been downloaded from its App Store by iPhone and iPod touch users worldwide.

- If the stock market holds to a pattern it has followed for most of the past 40 years, 2010 could be a big year for investors. Since 1973, a big advance on the first trading day of January has been a strong sign stocks will post robust gains for the rest of the year.


The Business Insider:

- David Tepper is one of the recovery's biggest success stories. His hedge fund, Apaloosa, has made $6.5 billion this year, a 120% gain after betting big on bank stocks and debt. In BusinessWeek today, he gets a glowing profile. "I don't think Warren Buffet holds a candle to him," says Alan Fournier, a former Appaloosa co-worker and founder of Pennant Capital Management LLC. From 1993 to this year, Tepper's average return is 38 percent, 30.7 percent net of fees. Warren Buffet's returns for that same time period average 12.3%.

- Securities-fraud class-action lawsuits fell 24 percent in 2009 as litigation related to the credit crunch, and especially subprime-mortgage losses, began to dry up, according to a study.

- Economists Don’t Know Jack: This Is Going to Be A Barburner Of a Recovery.

- David Rosenberg: Government Handouts Are Now 1/5th Of The National Income. (graph)


LATimes:

- Democrats Reid, Pelosi ponder crafting Obama’s final healthcare bill behind closed doors. Since it's basically one-party rule in Washington nowadays, Democratic leaders including Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi are seriously considering pushing President Obama's beloved healthcare legislation through Congress without the normal conference committee work involving both party's members from both houses. Such a select conference committee is normally charged with reconciling differing House and Senate bills on the same issue before final votes in each house on the compromise version. But since American voters collectively wanted so much change so badly in 2008, they handed over the White House, House of Representatives and Senate to Democrats with such lopsided majorities that, much as in Chicago, the ruling party doesn't really need any Republican help driving the differing bills through a blender to produce a final version, possibly by early February.


ABCNews:

- C-SPAN CEO Brian Lamb last week wrote to Congressional leaders asking that they "open all important negotiations, including any conference committee meetings, to electronic media coverage" as the House and Senate work to reconcile the differences between the House and Senate health care reform bills. "The C-SPAN networks will commit the necessary resources to covering all of these sessions LIVE and in their entirety," Lamb wrote. "We will also, as we willingly do each day, provide C-SPAN’s multi-camera coverage to any interested member of the Capitol Hill broadcast pool."


Gizmodo:

- Google(GOOG) Nexus One Liveblog.


SeekingAlpha:

- Smallcap Nanotech Company NVE(NVEC) Is Wade Slome’s Highest Conviction Holding – Here’s Why. Wade W. Slome, CFA, CFP is President and Founder of Newport Beach, California based Sidoxia Capital Management, LLC. He managed one of the ten largest growth funds in the country ($20 billion in assets under management) at American Century Investments, and currently manages a hedge fund in addition to separate customized accounts for a selective client base at his firm.


Politico:

- The top Republican on the Senate Judiciary Committee is pushing Attorney General Eric Holder to explore links between a jihadist rehabilitation program in Saudi Arabia and Yemeni extremists linked to the failed Christmas Day terror plot. Sen. Jeff Sessions (R-Ala.) on Tuesday rereleased a letter he sent last month to Holder demanding that the Department of Justice suspend a program that sends select Guantanamo detainees to Saudi Arabia to shed their extremist tendencies. The program has not been successful, Sessions contends, and his letter alleges that 11 of Saudi Arabia’s 85 most-wanted terrorists are “graduates of the Saudi program.”


InvestmentNews:

- In an effort to get its advisers to focus on snagging more of their existing clients’ assets, along with new clients, Wells Fargo Advisors LLC has introduced a new rewards program in its deferred-compensation plan.


HedgeFund.Net:

- There’s a new sheriff in town at the New York office of the Securities and Exchange Commission and he wants the hedge fund industry to listen up. “We have planned a number of significant sweeps of investment advisors,” George Canellos, the N.Y. SEC Regional Director tells HedgeFund.net. “In the last few months -- really in the last year or two -- we have tried to orient our program, especially the investment management program, more toward cause- and risk-based exams.” The Bernard Madoff $65 billion Ponzi scam, and more recently, an alleged $20 million insider trading scheme at hedge fund firm Galleon Group, has trained the SEC’s sights on the private investment industry. “Investment management, and especially hedge funds, is a big area of emphasis,” Canellos acknowledges.w sheriff in town at the New York office of the Securities and Exchange Commission and he wants the hedge fund industry to listen up

USA Today:

- ESPN is going 3D. The venerable sports network will launch ESPN 3D on June 11 with a World Cup soccer match, creating what it says will be the first all three-dimensional television network to the home. ESPN 3D expects to showcase at least 85 live sporting events during the first year. There'll be no reruns initially, so the network will be dark when there's no 3D event. Among other events planned for 3D broadcast: the Summer X Games (extreme sports), NBA games, college basketball and college football. ESPN is committing to the 3D network through June 2011.


Reuters:

- The number of financial advisers defecting from the biggest brokerage firms picked up in December after a recent lull, suggesting Wall Street's revolving door has not yet stopped spinning.

- Standard & Poor's on Tuesday said the U.S. speculative-grade default rate decreased to 10.9 percent in December, the first monthly decline since October 2007.

- The Federal Reserve is discussing re-entering the mortgage-backed securities market later this year if its buying power is needed to hold down interest rates, Market News said on Tuesday in a story citing Fed officials.


theInquirer:

- Intel(INTC) has taken the wraps off its upcoming series of Westmere processors, the 32nm version of the Nehalem architecture, with chips dubbed Clarkdale for the desktop version and Arrandale for mobile. Hitting the 'Tock' on Intel's TickTock process schedule, these LGA1156 Core i3 and i5 dual core processors can have a graphics unit and DDR3 memory controller integrated in the package, lowering production costs and system footprint as well as opening up a host of enhanced power management features and minimizing latency between the CPU, GPU and memory controller.


TimesOnline:

- Freed Guantanamo Inmates are Heading for Yemen to Join al-Qaeda Fight. At least a dozen former Guantánamo Bay inmates have rejoined al-Qaeda to fight in Yemen, The Times has learnt, amid growing concern over the ability of the country’s Government to accept almost 100 more former inmates from the detention centre. The Obama Administration promised to close the Guantánamo facility by January 22, a deadline that it will be unable to meet. The 91 Yemeni prisoners in Guantánamo make up the largest national contingent among the 198 being held. Six prisoners were returned to Yemen last month. After the Christmas Day bomb plot in Detroit, US officials are increasingly concerned that the country is becoming a hot-bed of terrorism. Eleven of the former inmates known to have rejoined al-Qaeda in Yemen were born in Saudi Arabia. The organisation merged its Saudi and Yemeni offshoots last year.


Guardian:

- Powerful American banks spending lavishly on lobbying are more likely to engage in high-risk lending and their shares have performed less well than others, a groundbreaking study by the International Monetary Fund has found. The in-depth research will prompt calls for a wholesale clean-up of Capitol Hill by the Obama administration. Lobbying by the finance, insurance and real estate (Fire) sector outstrips any other in the US economy. The study, entitled A Fistful of Dollars: Lobbying and the Financial Crisis, published by the IMF, reveals a stark correlation between lobbying by lenders and high loan-to-income loans.


MailOnline:

- Goldman Sachs(GS) is being widely blamed within the financial industry for igniting a war with the government over its bonus supertax. Rivals are privately incensed at the scale of the rewards the Wall Street giant is preparing to dole out in the forthcoming annual bonus round. The firm's largesse has forced many competitors to follow suit.


JerusalemPost:

- The Shin Bet (Israel Security Agency) is considering beefing up its teams of security guards stationed at Ben-Gurion Airport and on Israeli commercial flights, The Jerusalem Post has learned.

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
Large-Cap Growth (-.20%)

Sector Underperformers:
Drugs (-1.45%), Computer Service (-1.22%) and Utilities (-1.20%)

Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:

PNFP, AVAV, PRGO, MANT, BEXP, SPTN, GTIV, ASIA and NFLX


Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
1) WLP 2) MOT 3) TSO 4) CNX 5) STEC

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
Small-Cap Growth (+.28%)

Sector Outperformers:
Airlines (+4.39%), Coal (+3.19%) and Agriculture (+2.36%)

Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
ANW, BCS, HOC, TKC, VIP, PTR, LGCY, GNW, MFC, DB, SLXP, F, STP, CADX, HNP, CETV, CAAS, TKTM, WPRT, CAGC, HRBN, STEC, LIWA, RINO, PTEN, SWIR, ENER, EBIX, APWR, ECLP, WYNN, SEED, RMBS, SMSC, IVAC, KFT, WNS, LVS and RSH


Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
1) NBR 2) DAL 3) OVTI 4) CIEN 5) BIIB

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Tuesday Watch

Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:

- Temperatures in northern China may fall to the lowest in half a century today as the Chinese capital recovers from the heaviest snowfall in almost six decades. Beijing temperatures are forecast to drop to as low as minus 16 degrees Celsius (3.2 degrees Fahrenheit) tonight, according to the China Meteorological Administration. Northern China may have 50-year low temperatures today, China Central Television reported yesterday. The Chinese capital was hit by the heaviest daily snowfall since 1951 on Jan. 3, the official Xinhua News Agency reported.

- Dubai renamed the world’s tallest building in honor of the ruler of Abu Dhabi less than a month after receiving a $10 billion lifeline from the neighboring emirate that defused a financial crisis. The 200-story Burj Khalifa, or Khalifa Tower, was known until yesterday as Burj Dubai. Sheikh Khalifa Bin Zayed Al Nahyan, who has ruled Abu Dhabi since 2004, is also president of the United Arab Emirates.


Wall Street Journal:

- Even for the ETF industry's dominant player, maintaining a big lead on rivals isn't easy when the field is growing. But that is exactly what iShares did in 2009. This exchange-traded-fund brand—which was sold to BlackRock Inc. by Barclays PLC last year—not only maintained but also increased its market share in the ETF business in 2009, the first time it has done so since 2006. At year-end, iShares ETFs held about $373 billion, or about 50.1% of the assets in all U.S. ETFs, according to fund researcher Morningstar Inc. In 2008, iShares had 47.7% of ETF assets in 2008.

- Kia Motors America and Microsoft Corp.(MSFT) are partnering to provide a new system that will allow drivers and passengers to make phone calls and control a car's audio system through voice commands. Called UVO, the hands-free system will be offered in several Kia vehicles by the end of the year.

- Looking to build on the momentum of its iPhone and iPod, Apple Inc.(AAPL) will unveil a new multimedia tablet device later this month, but isn't planning to ship the product until March, say people briefed by the company. While the device's ship date hasn't been finalized and could still change, people briefed on the matter said the new product will come with a 10 to 11-inch touch screen—which would make it closer in size to Apple's line of MacBook laptops than its smart phone. The tablet is expected to be a multimedia device that will let people watch movies and television shows, play games, surf the Internet and read electronic books and newspapers. Though companies like Toshiba Corp. and Hewlett-Packard Co. have introduced Windows-based tablet computers before and Amazon.com Inc. and others sell similarly-sized digital-book readers, people briefed by Apple say the company intends to carve out a new product category. With the new device, Apple wants to change the way consumers interact with a variety of content, these people said. Textbooks and newspapers, for example, could be presented differently through color screens, a touch interface, and the integration of live up-to-the-minute information from multiple sources. As Apple readies a tablet device, the company has also been working on revamping its iTunes service so it can offer people more ways to access and manage their content. Apple acquired music-streaming service La La Media Inc. in December, and it has been in talks with TV networks regarding a monthly subscription service for shows. Though Apple has historically preferred to unveil products when they are ready to ship, analysts believe it wants to show a tablet early before related key patents become public and so it can generate the excitement necessary to convince TV networks to commit to licensing deals. Apple took a similar strategy with the original iPhone when it announced it six months earlier than its ship date in June 2007.

- Less than three weeks after "Avatar" hit theaters, the high-tech science fiction epic is already the most successful movie ever in Russia, with $55.5 million in box-office receipts. In France, the movie has raked in $85.6 million—more money than in any country besides the U.S—while Germans have bought $56.1 million worth of "Avatar" tickets. The movie's resonance with audiences abroad is a crucial propellant behind "Avatar's" ascent to the box-office stratosphere, where it topped the $1 billion mark in ticket sales this past weekend. Two thirds of the total box-office receipts so far have been generated abroad. "Avatar" sold $352.1 million worth of tickets in the U.S. and Canada after 17 days, while its international haul stood at $670.2 million as of the weekend, according to Hollywood.com. Foreign audiences routinely flock to Hollywood "event" movies like the "Harry Potter" series, "The Lord of the Rings" trilogy and the "Pirates of the Caribbean" franchise. Those films also took in about two-thirds of their revenue overseas—underscoring the growing importance of foreign audiences for American studios that have seen their revenue from DVD sales dwindle. In France, "Avatar" is the second-most successful American-made movie in history, right behind 1997's "Titanic"—Mr. Cameron's previous movie. (Four French-made movies have done better than both.) Some moviegoers abroad are drawn to what they see as an anti-capitalist message in the film's plot. In the movie, the villains work for a corporation intent on mining a mineral on a far-off planet, dislocating a population of nature-loving humanoids in the process. The movie's hero, a former Marine, eventually changes sides to lead the inhabitants' fight against the destructive, capitalist Earthlings. The plot line has drawn complaints from some conservative U.S. moviegoers, while the left-leaning French daily Liberation praised Mr. Cameron, the director, as the "galaxy's eco warrior." Francois Eygun, a 19-year-old student in Paris, saw in the film's plot a message about U.S. foreign policy: "With what is happening in Iraq and Afghanistan it is quite relevant."

- Apple(AAPL) is set to announce that it has acquired Quattro Wireless for $275 million, several sources confirmed. The announcement might come as soon as tomorrow, upping the ante in the mobile advertising business significantly. Google (GOOG) recently forked over an astonishing $750 million for AdMob, a Quattro competitor, which Apple (AAPL) had also made a bid to acquire.

- An Arctic blast swept across a large swath of the U.S. on Monday, sending temperatures plunging from Minnesota to Florida and bringing a bone-chilling start to the first workweek of the year. Growers in Florida kept a close eye on citrus groves, concerned that further cold could damage their crops, while icy roads gave children in Arkansas an extra day of winter break.

- The Obama Administration continues to negotiate with the Russians over a new Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (Start), but one big question is whether it can get the result through the U.S. Senate. A group of Senators is telling the White House that it will have little or no chance of success unless it also moves ahead with nuclear-warhead modernization.

CNBC.com:
- The U.S. Federal Reserve sees a moderate economic recovery continuing in 2010, but needs to keep interest rates "exceptionally low" for an "extended period" to foster job growth, a Fed policymaker said on Monday.

Forbes:

- What's Next For the Virtual Economy.

- Semiconductor Mega-Trends In 2010. Entertainment and communications, energy and health care will be key growth areas for the chip sector.


Washington Post:

- The suicide bomber who killed seven CIA operatives in Afghanistan last week was a Jordanian informant who lured intelligence officers into a trap by promising new information about al-Qaeda's top leadership, former U.S. government officials said Monday. The attacker, a physician-turned-mole, had been recruited to infiltrate al-Qaeda's senior circles and had gained the trust of his CIA and Jordanian handlers with a stream of useful intelligence leads, according to two former senior officials briefed on the agency's internal investigation. His track record as an informant apparently allowed him to enter a key CIA post without a thorough search, the sources said. The bomber, identified as Humam Khalil Abu-Mulal al-Balawi, was standing just outside an agency building on the base on Wednesday when he exploded a bomb hidden under his clothes, killing the seven Americans along with a Jordanian officer who had been assigned to work with him. Six CIA operatives were wounded. The agency has declined to publicly identify the victims, a mix of career officers and contractors with backgrounds ranging from law enforcement to military Special Forces. Details about the suicide bomber's identity provided jarring insight into how a vital intelligence post in eastern Afghanistan was penetrated in the deadliest attack on the CIA in more than 25 years.


CNNMoney.com:

- Google(GOOG) is expected to take a giant leap forward into the smartphone arena Tuesday, with the much-anticipated unveiling of the Nexus One, the first smartphone completely designed by the search leader.

- Small business lending begins to rebound. Small businesses are still struggling to find financing, but for those seeking government-backed loans, the worst may be over. The Small Business Administration's flagship lending program backed 37% more loans in its latest quarter than it did a year ago, at the height of the financial crisis. In the three months ended Dec. 31, the SBA's 7(a) lending program processed 12,393 loans totaling $3.8 billion, according to preliminary data released Monday by the agency. That's a sharp increase from the 9,070 loans, totaling $1.9 billion, processed in the year-earlier quarter.


Business Insider:

- Dow Jones is combining two of its business units: Its consumer media group -- which includes The Wall Street Journal, Barron's and MarketWatch -- and its research tools and news wire services. In a top-management shake-up, Todd Larsen, the former head of consumer business, was named president of the company. Stephen Daintith, Dow Jones' chief financial officer, will take on the additional job of chief operating officer.

- Google's(GOOG) Eric Schmidt has been on Twitter for about a month, and he's yet to take a real liking to it. He's only blasted out eight tweets. So, on the rare occasion that he does send out an update to his 20,993 followers, we like to see what he's talking about. Today he sent out two tweets, one a link to the Op-Ed column from Ross Douthat at the NYT, another to a story that Douthat cited. Douthat's column deals with America's rise through the nineties, its stagnation in the last decade, and its prospects for this decade. Douthat isn't particularly optimistic about what the government is doing:

- Just when it looked like healthcare reform was a sure thing without anything standing in its way... Suddenly the special election in Massachusetts to replace Ted Kennedy is drawing interest among Republicans. There's no facts to suggest that the race is close, but the GOP is definitely motivated, and now David Weigel confirms that Rasmussen will conduct its first poll to see whether challenger Scott Brown can beat Attorney General Martha Coakley. If it's close and it looks like Brown can win it means the 60th vote is in jeopardy, meaning both the GOP and the Democrats will pull out all the stops on this one.


Business Week:

- Emerging-market equity and bond funds closed 2009 with record annual inflows as a recovery from the global financial crisis boosted demand for riskier assets, EPFR Global said. Emerging-market equity funds received $64.5 billion while those investing in developing-nation bonds drew more than $8 billion, also an all-time high, EPFR said, citing initial figures from funds reporting daily and weekly.

- Stockpickers are making bets on which parts of the market could be hot in the coming year. Some corners of tech and health care have caught their attention.


Politico:

- The populist angst aimed at Wall Street banks is already spilling into Senate deliberations on regulatory reform, and a powerful new sentiment — big is bad — is being echoed by liberals and conservatives alike. The anger at the nation’s financial behemoths is taking shape in a variety of ways, most notably in a bill from Sens. Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.) and John McCain (R-Ariz.), who are targeting big financial institutions such as JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup. The bipartisan duo’s bill would reinstate the Depression-era law that built a wall between commercial banking and the riskier activities of investment banking. The separation — originally set up in the Glass-Steagall Act — was repealed in 1999. But reinstating Glass-Steagall has become something of a rallying cry among progressives, as well as some conservatives. They believe that allowing banks to provide all services to all people creates the very sort of “too big to fail” institutions that threatened the stability of the global financial order in 2008. In other words, big is bad. The idea has some powerful backers, including former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker — a giant in the financial world and also an outside economic adviser to President Obama — who literally has been traveling the world arguing in favor of returning to Glass-Steagall-type restrictions on what trading activities banks can engage in, though not a full return to the Depression-era restrictions.

- The health care debate resumes in earnest on Tuesday after more than a week of quiet following Senate passage of its landmark bill on Christmas Eve. The four relevant House chairmen will meet with Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her leadership team at 1 o'clock in the speaker's Capitol office to start setting the parameters for negotiations with the Senate. Then, Pelosi and House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Nev.) will head to the White House for an early-evening meeting with President Barack Obama to discuss the final bill, according to Democratic officials. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) and party Whip Dick Durbin (D-Ill.) will participate in the meeting via conference call because neither has returned to Washington from the holiday break.


Rasmussen Reports:

- Voters feel more strongly than ever that Congress is performing poorly and that most of its members are in it for themselves. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of U.S. voters now say Congress is doing a poor job. That’s the highest negative finding since Rasmussen Reports began surveying on the question in November 2006. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 12% of voters believe Congress is doing a good or excellent job.


LA Times:

- For car buyers, four words mean the difference between going home in a new sedan or their old clunker: Your loan is approved. They are being uttered more often these days. Consumers are paying less to borrow. Interest rates have been at record lows since last December. Financial firms wrote 5.5 percent more car loans in the third quarter compared with the prior three months, Experian Automotive says. Fourth-quarter figures aren't yet available, but Jesse Toprak, vice president of the auto pricing tracker TrueCar Inc., says December saw an uptick in auto loan approvals for consumers with average or above-average credit as auto finance companies tried to clear out inventory. Paul Taylor, chief economist for the National Auto Dealers Association, said used-car prices also have stabilized due to limited supply, making used-car loans more attractive to banks. The proportion of loans — auto and other — requiring TALF support has declined steadily over the past several months and should continue to fall early this year as the market for securitized loans continues to improve, says Tom Deutsch, deputy executive director of the American Securitization Forum, an industry group that represents those who turn debt into bonds. "It should be relatively easy to wean off TALF," he says. In the meantime, the easier lending market has helped car buyers like Marissa Corbitt, who last month bought her first-ever car with a loan from Nissan's financing arm, NMAC. Corbitt, a 24-year-old accountant from Chattanooga, Tenn., was able to negotiate the cost of her 2010 Rogue down several thousand dollars to about $20,500 after some incentives. She said she was then pleasantly surprised by the interest rate NMAC offered her for the crossover. "Nissan was offering a 2.9 percent APR, so I got that," said Corbitt, whose top-tier credit score helped her case. "It's a good interest rate." George Pipas, Ford Motor Co.'s top U.S. sales analyst, says the industry appears to have passed through its lowest point and is trending toward a slow recovery.


Crain's Chicago Business:

- Citing enormous potential harm to local jobs and industry, Illinois will fight other states that want an immediate shutdown of Chicago-area shipping to keep the voracious Asian carp from invading the Great Lakes. The state is working closely with industry groups and the Illinois Chamber of Commerce to bolster its response, due Tuesday, to lawsuits filed by Michigan, environmental groups and other states seeking an emergency order from the U.S. Supreme Court to close locks on the Chicago Sanitary and Ship Canal.


ScienceDaily:

- An experimental drug currently being tested against breast and lung cancer shows promise in fighting the brain cancer glioblastoma and prostate cancer, researchers at UT Southwestern Medical Center have found in two preclinical studies.


USAToday:

- Property owners at four struggling and bankrupt resorts in Idaho, Montana, Nevada and the Bahamas have filed a $24 billion federal lawsuit against Credit Suisse Group, saying the banking giant gave predatory loans to the resorts' investors as part of a scheme to take over the properties. Property owners at Idaho's Tamarack Resort, the Yellowstone Club in Montana, Nevada's Lake Las Vegas resort and the Ginn Sur Mer Resort in the Bahamas contend that Credit Suisse set up a branch in the Cayman Islands to skirt U.S. federal bank regulations and appraised the resorts at artificially inflated values as part of a plan to foreclose.


Reuters:

- U.S. regional bank SunTrust Banks Inc (STI) is trying to sell RidgeWorth Investments, its multi-boutique asset management business, amid losses due to the financial crisis, people familiar with the matter said on Monday.

- Chinese banks must carefully pace their lending this year because heavy issuance of loans amid industrial overcapacity has created growing credit risks, China's central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan said in comments seen on Tuesday. Zhou also said that the experience of the international financial crisis showed that it was not enough to simply focus on inflation and that the People's Bank of China considered a wider range of issues in determining its monetary policy, including international balance of payments.

- Speculators increased bets the U.S. currency has room to rise by going long the dollar for a second straight week, according to Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released on Monday.


Financial Times:

- There is an inexorable drive on both sides of the Atlantic to finalise new rules, regulations and laws to place the financial system on a sounder footing. But in their zeal to act, politicians and regulators are looking through the wrong end of the telescope. Too much attention is being paid to maintaining a status quo that allows banks to continue engaging in the full range of activities to which they have become accustomed – admittedly under a number of regulatory constraints – without dealing with the fundamental causes of today’s critical difficulties. Policymakers are intent on announcing all manner of new capital requirements, leverage ratios, “living wills” and directives on risk management, while brushing aside warnings by both Mervyn King, the governor of the Bank of England, and former US Federal Reserve chairman Paul Volcker that our banking system is unsound. Mr King and Mr Volcker are not alone in their concern that we may now miss a unique opportunity to secure core reforms.

- Tiaa-Cref has become the first large US asset manager to sell stakes in four Asian oil groups over concerns about human rights abuses in Sudan, a move that will increase pressure on other investors to sever ties with those companies. Tiaa-Cref, which has more than $400bn (£248bn, €279bn) under management, said on Monday that it had divested holdings in PetroChina, CNPC Hong Kong and Sinopec – three state-controlled Chinese oil companies, and India’s Oil and Natural Gas Corporation.


Telegraph:

- Britain told American intelligence agents more than a year ago that the Detroit bomber had links to extremists, Downing Street has announced. Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab was named in a file of people based in Britain who had made contact with radical Muslim preachers. The file was sent to the US authorities in 2008. The disclosure will embarrass President Barack Obama, who is already under pressure after failures by US intelligence to identify the bomber. It will also add to concern over the state of the “special relationship” between Downing Street and the White House following last year’s dispute over the early release of the Lockerbie bomber. It is extremely unusual for the Prime Minister’s office to comment on intelligence matters. The move could be seen as an attempt to rebuff criticism from senior American figures who claimed that Britain had nurtured Islamic extremism. At first it was thought that MI5 gathered only limited information on Abdulmutallab and had therefore not alerted the US. However, in an official briefing, the Prime Minister’s spokesman said that British intelligence was shared with the Americans. He said: “Clearly there was security information about this individual’s activities and that was information that was shared with the US authorities. That is the key point.”


Evening Recommendations

Citigroup:

- Reiterated Buy on (GLW), raised estimates, boosted target to $24.

- Rated (LEA) Buy, target $85.


Morgan Stanley:

- Rated (QCOM) Overweight, target $57.

- Rated (PALM) Overweight, target $14.

- Rated (MOT) Underweight, target $8.75.

- Rated (RIMM) Overweight, target $90.


Night Trading
Asian indices are +.25% to +1.25% on avg.

Asia Ex-Japan Inv Grade CDS Index 91.50 -3.0 basis points.
S&P 500 futures -.11%.
NASDAQ 100 futures -.08%.


Morning Preview
BNO Breaking Global News of Note

Google Top Stories

Bloomberg Breaking News

Yahoo Most Popular Biz Stories

MarketWatch News Viewer

Asian Financial News

European Financial News

Latin American Financial News

MarketWatch Pre-market Commentary

U.S. Equity Preview

TradeTheNews Morning Report

Briefing.com In Play

SeekingAlpha Market Currents

Briefing.com Bond Ticker

US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Stock Quote/Chart
WSJ Intl Markets Performance
Commodity Futures
IBD New America
Economic Preview/Calendar
Earnings Calendar

Conference Calendar

Who’s Speaking?
Upgrades/Downgrades

Politico Headlines
Rasmussen Reports Polling


Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
- (MOS)/.37

- (SONC)/.13


Economic Releases

10:00 am EST

- Factory Orders for November are estimated to rise by +.5% versus a +.6% gain in October.

- Pending Home Sales for November are estimated to fall by -2.0% versus a +3.7% gain in October.


Afternoon:

- Total Vehicle Sales for December are estimated to rise to 11.0M versus 10.92M in November.


Upcoming Splits

- (EBIX) 3-for-1


Other Potential Market Movers
- The Fed's Hoenig speaking, weekly retail sales reports, API energy inventory report, Google "Android Press Gathering" and the ABC Consumer Confidence reading
could also impact trading today.


BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are higher, boosted by industrial and commodity stocks in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.