Wednesday, May 08, 2013

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
  • Large-Cap Value +.42%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Gold & Silver +3.20% 2) Education +2.32% 3) Steel +2.02%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • WTI, LMOS, OAS, JCP, CPA, PSE, LEDR, ICUI, AMAP, WBMD, LOPE, EA, WFM, OEH, YY, DVA, EZCH, MYGN, MCK, VVUS, WLT, WTI, CLF, TWO, ONXX, TFM and CTSH
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) WFM 2) LAMR 3) AFFY 4) CHRW 5) Z
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) MYGN 2) MCK 3) APA 4) LOW 5) CTSH
Charts:

Wednesday Watch

Evening Headlines 
Bloomberg: 
  • Emerging Markets Growing at Slowest Pace Since 2011, HSBC Says. Emerging-market economic growth was probably the weakest since September 2011 last month as global demand for manufacturing and services declined, HSBC Holdings Plc said, citing a survey of purchasing managers. The HSBC Emerging Markets Index, which is compiled by London-based Markit Economics and tracks conditions at more than 5,000 companies, fell to 51.3 in April from 52.5 in March, HSBC said today in a report. A value above 50 indicates expansion and below 50 signals contraction.
  • PBOC Signals It May Resume Bill Sales as Capital Inflows Rise. China’s central bank signaled it will resume sales of bills for the first time in 17 months as global funds pour money into the country to take advantage of the yuan’s rise. “The central bank’s gauging of demand shows it will resume bill sales soon,” said Shi Lei, Beijing-based head of fixed- income research at Ping An Securities Co., a unit of the nation’s second-biggest insurance company. “Foreign capital inflows are too big. The central bank needs more tools to mop up excess liquidity.”  
  • Asian Stocks Climb Third Day. Komatsu Ltd. (6301), the world’s second-biggest maker of construction and mining equipment, advanced 3.3 percent in Tokyo, leading industrial companies higher. Wilmar International Ltd. (WIL), the world’s No. 1 palm-oil processor, climbed 3.9 percent in Singapore as first-quarter profit surged 23 percent. Toshiba Corp. (6502) slumped 3.9 percent in Tokyo after the Nikkei newspaper reported sales at the No. 2 maker of flash-memory will miss the company’s forecast. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.9 percent to 143.33 as of 11:01 a.m. in Tokyo, with all 10 industry groups on the gauge rising.
  • Bond-Loan Inversion Exposes Fed-Induced Excesses: Credit Markets. Yields on junk-rated corporate bonds have fallen below loans that rank higher in the capital structure by the most ever, underscoring the anomalies being created by the Federal Reserve's unprecedented monetary policies. At about 5.08%, yields on speculative-grade bonds are 51 basis points less than rates on U.S. leveraged loans, according to data from JPMorgan Chase(JPM). Before this year, creditors had almost never accepted lower payments on junk bonds over loans, which get repaid first in a bankruptcy. Concerns that credit markets are overheating are rising as the Fed, which has pumped about $2.5 trillion into the financial system since the financial crisis, keeps its benchmark rate at about zero for a fifth year. Repressed investors are seeking out almost anything that generates higher yields regardless of the risk. "Junk-bond yileds are in freefall, and every time that is pointed out, you look like an alarmist," Martin Fridson, CEO of NY-based financial research firm FridsonVision LLC, said in an interview. "People think it's okay as long as they are the first ones out when things change direction. Of course, everybody is not going to be the first one out."
  • Hedge Funds Rush to $108 Billion Trading Where Wall Street Tread. Hedge funds using debt-trading strategies honed on Wall Street are expanding at a record pace as they profit from risks big banks are no longer taking. BlueCrest Capital Management LLP doubled its New York staff in the two years through December, while Pine River Capital Management LP increased its global workforce by one-third in 2012. Hedge-fund firms are hiring from companies such as Deutsche Bank AG (DBK), Barclays Plc (BARC) and Bank of America Corp. as their credit funds have attracted $108 billion since 2009, data compiled by Chicago-based Hedge Fund Research Inc. show. 
  • Egypt Investment Is Collapsing as Citizens Turn Into Vigilantes. In a dimly lit Cairo workshop, Hussein spins a metal pipe on a lathe, sending sparks flying. In a few minutes, it’ll become the barrel of a gun. Sometime after that it will join the growing arsenal of illegal weapons on the streets of Egypt. Artisans who make machine parts by day are turning into bootleg gunmakers at night, says Hussein, 54, who asked not to be identified by his full name for fear of prosecution.
  • CIA’s Brennan Picks New Spy Chief Passing Over Woman Holding Job. John Brennan, director of the Central Intelligence Agency, picked an undercover officer as the new head of the agency’s national clandestine service, passing over a woman who had been serving as the acting chief. The acting chief wasn’t chosen because she was associated with the CIA’s interrogation program, which is said to have resorted to torture to elicit information from al-Qaeda suspects, said Reuel Marc Gerecht, a former CIA case officer who’s now a fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.
Wall Street Journal: 
  • Pentagon Plans for the Worst in Syria. The Pentagon is stepping up plans to deal with a dangerous regional spillover from Syria's possible collapse—a scenario it had recently seen as remote—drawing up proposals including a Jordanian buffer zone for refugees secured by Arab troops, said U.S. officials familiar with the discussion. The plans seek to minimize direct U.S. involvement, but they reflect a reassessment of the Pentagon's hands-off approach. The shift comes after Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel's trip last month to the Middle East, during which Arab leaders appealed for the U.S. to focus on the danger of Syria's disintegration into warring sectarian fiefdoms. "The Syria message was loud and strong," said a senior diplomat briefed on Mr. Hagel's trip. "Everybody's scared. And nobody knows what the hell we are going to do there." 
  • Boehner Says He 'Probably' Won't Support Online Sales-Tax Bill. House Speaker John Boehner said he "probably" wouldn't support a bill to give states the right to force out-of-state online retailers to collect sales tax for them, sounding more negative than fellow Republicans who have themselves been lukewarm on the measure.
  • Egypt's Brotherhood Gains More Power. Egyptian President Mohammed Morsi swore in new cabinet ministers Tuesday in a reshuffle of his government that strengthened the position of the Muslim Brotherhood in key ministries and provoked complaints from the nation's disparate opposition. Members of the opposition had demanded that Mr. Morsi form a more inclusive government—one including liberals, moderates, Coptic Christians and women—ahead of parliamentary elections due to take place later this year. They also sought the removal of Prime Minister Hisham Qandil, who is viewed by his critics as lacking political experience and charisma. But Mr. Qandil retained his post in the reshuffle, helping to form the new cabinet that includes 10 officials belonging to the ruling Freedom and Justice Party, the political arm of the Muslim Brotherhood.
  • Battery-Driven Tesla(TSLA) May Run Out of Juice. Without so much as a puff of smoke, Tesla Motors Inc.'s stock has rallied an incredible 64% this year. One catalyst: an announcement last month that it had reached "full profitability" for the quarter through March. Analysts don't seem so sure, though, projecting the company on Wednesday will report a loss of seven cents a share.
Fox News: 
  • Republicans look to show 'cover-up' as whistle-blowers give Benghazi testimony. Republican lawmakers hounding the Obama administration for months over unanswered questions on the Benghazi attack will have their moment, on Wednesday, to demonstrate whether the internal response amounted to a cover-up -- as whistle-blowers give long-awaited testimony expected to challenge the White House's version of events. Two of the whistle-blowers' opening statements were obtained by Fox News, and in the statements they affirm their credentials and credibility in testifying about what happened last Sept. 11 in Libya. "I am a career public servant," Greg Hicks' statement reads. "Until the aftermath of Benghazi, I loved every day of my job." He was deputy chief of mission in Libya and became top U.S. diplomat in the country after Ambassador Chris Stevens was killed in the terror attack. The other statement, by Mark Thompson of the State Department Counterterrorism Bureau, is mostly biographical. Testimony also is due Wednesday from Eric Nordstrom, a diplomatic security officer who was formerly the regional security officer in Libya.
MarketWatch.com: 
CNBC: 
Zero Hedge: 
New York Times:
  • U.S. Weighs Wider Wiretap Laws to Cover Online Activity. The Obama administration, resolving years of internal debate, is on the verge of backing a Federal Bureau of Investigation plan for a sweeping overhaul of surveillance laws that would make it easier to wiretap people who communicate using the Internet rather than by traditional phone services, according to officials familiar with the deliberations.
LA Times:
  • Gun crime has plunged, but Americans think it's up, says study. Gun crime has plunged in the United States since its peak in the middle of the 1990s, including gun killings, assaults, robberies and other crimes, two new studies of government data show. Yet few Americans are aware of the dramatic drop, and more than half believe gun crime has risen, according to a newly released survey by the Pew Research Center. In less than two decades, the gun murder rate has been nearly cut in half. Other gun crimes fell even more sharply, paralleling a broader drop in violent crimes committed with or without guns. Violent crime dropped steeply during the 1990s and has fallen less dramatically since the turn of the millennium.
ABC News:
  • Authorities: 42 Dead in Nigeria Islamic Extremist Attacks. Coordinated attacks by Islamic extremists armed with heavy machine guns killed at least 42 people in northeast Nigeria, authorities said Tuesday, the latest in a string of increasingly bloody attacks threatening peace in Africa's most populous nation. The attack struck multiple locations in the hard-hit town of Bama in Nigeria's Borno state, where shootings and bombings have continued unstopped since an insurgency began there in 2010. Fighters raided a federal prison during their assault as well, freeing 105 inmates in another mass prison break to hit the country, officials said.
Mediaite:
Real Clear Politics:
Reuters: 
  • China April trade data beats expectations, scepticism remains. China's exports and imports grew more than expected in April from a year earlier, possibly easing some of the concerns about weakness in the recovery of the world's second-largest economy, though doubts remained over the strength of real demand and the accuracy of the figures. 
  • U.S. consumer credit posts smallest gain in 8 months. U.S. consumer credit recorded its smallest increase in eight months in March, a possible hint that Americans are still trying to pare their debts. Consumer installment credit rose by $7.97 billion to $2.81 trillion, the Federal Reserve said on Tuesday. It was the smallest increase since July and well below economists' expectations for a $16 billion rise.
Hong Kong Economic Times:
  • Hong Kong Unattractive to Hot Money as Asset Prices High. Hong Kong stocks have high valuations and the property market has slowed since the govt's cooling measures, making the city unattractive to hot money, citing Stuart Gulliver, CEO at HSBC Holdings.
People's Daily:
  • U.S. Is Real 'Hackers Empire'. The U.S. is the "real hacker empire" and has been strengthening Internet tools in recent years to engage in political subversion in other countries, a commentary said today. Pentagon report accusing the Chinese military of a cyber espionage creates an "imaginary enemy," the commentary said.
Evening Recommendations 
Bernstein:
  • Rated (ETN) Outperform, target $76.
Night Trading
  • Asian equity indices are +.25% to +1.0% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 100.0 -1.0 basis point.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 80.75 -1.5 basis points.
  • FTSE-100 futures +.31%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.03%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.06%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note

Company/Estimate
  • (WEN)/.02
  • (CTSH)/.92
  • (AOL)/.46
  • (NWSA)/.35
  • (GMCR)/.73
  • (ATVI)/.11
  • (CXW)/.66
  • (CF)/6.00
  • (TSLA)/.04
  • (MNST)/.46
  • (GRPN)/.03
  • (MDR)/.14
  • (JOE)/.-01
  • (MRX)/.71
  • (SKYW)/-.01
  • (MBI)/.15   
Economic Releases
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory build of +2,000,000 barrels versus a +6,696,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to fall by -475,000 barrels versus a -1,818,000 barrel decline the prior week. Distillate supplies are estimated to rise by +500,000 barrels versus a +474,000 barrel gain the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +.5% versus a +.9% gain the prior week.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The China Trade data, 10Y T-Note auction, China CPI data, weekly MBA mortgage applications report, Wells Fargo Industrial/Construction Conference and the (SNDK) investor day could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by automaker and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

Tuesday, May 07, 2013

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Less Eurozone Debt Angst, Short-Covering, Transport/Bank Sector Strength

Today's Market Take:

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 12.87 +1.66%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 104.0 -1.89%
  • Total Put/Call .88 +12.82%
  • NYSE Arms 1.10 +37.22%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 68.82 -2.49%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 128.25 -2.0%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 89.39 -1.29%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 231.02 +.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 14.25 -.25 bp
  • TED Spread 24.50 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -15.50 +1.0 bp
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% unch.
  • Yield Curve 156.0 +1 bp
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $130.0/Metric Tonne+1.48%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -4.9 -1.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.31 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +90 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +12 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

Today's Headlines

Bloomberg:
  • Slovenia Plans Tax Increases as Debt Sale Eases Concern Over Aid. Slovenia plans to increase taxes to make up for the swelling budget shortfall as the country works to recapitalize its banks after its first international debt sale this year. The government will increase the sales tax and introduce a “crisis” tax on wages, Prime Minister Alenka Bratusek told reporters yesterday in Brdo, Slovenia. The country’s largest banks need 900 million euros ($1.2 billion) by the end of July, according to the government. That capital boost will widen the budget deficit to 7.8 percent this year from 4 percent at the end of 2012, Bratusek said.
  • Enel Profit Falls as Europe’s Economic Slump Cuts Power Demand. Enel SpA (ENEL), Italy’s largest utility, said first-quarter profit dropped 26 percent as Europe’s economic slump cut electricity sales. Net income slid to 852 million euros ($1.12 billion) from 1.15 billion euros a year earlier after 125 million euros of writedowns, according to a stock-exchange statement. The Rome- based company said revenue fell 1.5 percent to 21 billion euros. Economic stagnation in the company’s main markets in Italy and Spain is hurting earnings as clients reduce energy consumption. Enel said electricity sales in the quarter fell 7.1 percent to 76.7 terrawatt hours, while gas sales remained flat at 3.4 billion cubic meters.
  • Europe Stocks Rise as SocGen, Commerzbank Results Beat. European stocks climbed, extending a near five-year high for the region’s benchmark gauge, as financial companies from HSBC Holdings Plc (HSBA) to Allianz SE reported results that topped analysts’ estimates.
  • China Said to Tighten Approvals for Local Government Bond Sales. China has ordered greater scrutiny of bond sales by local government finance vehicles with higher levels of debt, three people with knowledge of the matter said. The National Development and Reform Commission, which approves bond sales by companies that local governments set up to finance projects, will more strictly review applications for debt with credit ratings below AA+ sold by issuers with debt-to- asset ratios exceeding 65 percent, said the people, who asked not to be identified as they weren’t authorized to speak publicly about the order.
  • North Korea Threatens Retaliation as South’s Leader Visits U.S. North Korea threatened “immediate counteractions” if shells fired as part of military drills hit its waters, as the U.S. an South Korea conducted annual anti- submarine exercises in the region. U.S. and South Korean forces are trying “to push the present state of war to an actual war,” the official Korean Central News Agency said today. The two allies on April 30 concluded the annual two-month Foal Eagle exercises, which rehearse ground-based operations.
  • Pentagon Report on Cyber Attack ’Irresponsible,’ Xinhua Says. A Pentagon report that accuses China of a cyber espionage campaign is irresponsible and harmful to the mutual trust, the official Xinhua News Agency said, citing a military researcher. The Pentagon report said the Chinese military has targeted U.S. government computers with intrusions that seek sensitive data. It was irresponsible for the Pentagon to make such an assertion as the Chinese government and armed forces have never sanctioned hacking activities, Xinhua cited Wang Xinjun as saying. Wang is a researcher at the Academy of Military Sciences of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army. “It is an allegation based on presupposition,” Wang said, according to Xinhua. “The groundless accusations reflect the U.S. distrust of China.”
  • Copper Falls From Three-Week High on Chinese Concerns. Copper futures fell from a three-week high on concern that trade data this week in China, the world’s top user of industrial metals, will add to evidence that the country’s economy is slowing
  • Gold Futures Decline as Haven Demand Ebbs. Gold futures for June delivery fell 1.7 percent to $1,442.60 an ounce at 10:17 a.m. on the Comex in New York. Bullion dropped 7.7 percent last month, including the biggest two-day drop in 33 years, as some investors lost faith in the precious metal as a store of value.
  • Einhorn Increases Apple Bet, Praises Plan to Return Capital. Hedge fund manager David Einhorn said he increased his bet on Apple Inc. (AAPL) and that the iPhone maker took a “major step forward” by issuing debt (AAPL) so it could return cash to investors. Einhorn anticipates more innovations from the Cupertino, California-based technology company, he said on a conference call today held by his Greenlight Capital Re Ltd. (GLRE) reinsurer. “Our thesis remains that Apple has a terrific operating platform,” he said. “Its loyal, sticky and growing customer base will make repeated purchases of a growing portfolio of Apple products.”
  • Emerson(EMR) Trims 2013 Forecast as Sluggish Economy Curbs Demand. Emerson Electric Co. (EMR), a maker of parts for refrigerators and air conditioners, cut its 2013 earnings forecast after a sluggish worldwide economy curbed demand in the first quarter. “Economies around the world are struggling for momentum,” Chief Executive Officer David Farr said in the statement. “Demand slowed in the second half of the quarter as overall global business confidence deteriorated. We do not see a catalyst to economic growth over the next six to nine months.”
Wall Street Journal:
  • NY Fed Warns of Continued Risk to Financial System. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York said in a paper released Tuesday that a key short-term funding market remains vulnerable to destabilizing runs that can threaten the broader health of the financial system. “Limited tools are available to mitigate the risk of pre-default fire sales,” the paper’s authors warned. What’s more, “no established tools currently exist to mitigate the risk of post-default sales.”
Fox News:
  • Islamist militia linked to Sept. 11 Benghazi attack operates freely in city. The Ansar al Sharia Brigade, the Islamist terror group linked to the Sept. 11, 2012, attack on the U.S. diplomatic compound in Benghazi, continues to operate freely in that Libyan city, according to U.S. military officials. The group remains active in the Mediterranean port city, operating patrols and checkpoints, and earlier this year reached an agreement with other Islamist groups allowing it to operate openly, said military officials familiar with intelligence reports from North Africa. The group "continues to spread its ideology in the Benghazi area, particularly targeting youth," said one official, who noted that the lack of central government security was the key reason the militia has not been suppressed. 
MarketWatch:
Zero Hedge: 
Business Insider: 
The Truth About Cars:
  • Sub-Prime: Fitch Sends Shot Across Bow Of Auto Lenders. Seeing delinquencies and credit losses going up while used car sales and lending standards deteriorate, rating agency Fitch warned today that “U.S. auto lenders will likely report further weakening in asset quality metrics this year.” Translated into English, lenders will become increasingly dependent on sub-prime loans and exposed to their perils. Fitch saw average credit losses go up 16 basis points in the first quarter, delinquencies rose 67 basis points. Double-digit increases in auto leasing volumes may boost auto sales, but Fitch views this “with caution, particularly since used car values will likely return to more typical levels after recent rises.” Translated into English: Their residual value assumptions are based on fantasy, and there will be a rude awakening.
Reuters: 
  • Vale CEO sees trouble in Brazil's currency, fast-rising wages. Brazil has enjoyed years of prosperity but its competitiveness is now hindered by fast wage growth and a currency that looks "out of place," said Murilo Ferreira, chief executive of giant mining company Vale SA , at an event on Tuesday. Those two factors are the "cost, although very low," of the social and economic progress that is bolstering Latin America's largest economy, Ferreira said.
  • Long-term investors bet on commodity currencies falling. The Australian, Canadian and New Zealand dollars may be set for a decline, dragged down by a slowdown in China and a sharp fall in commodity prices.
The Week:

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
  • Mid-Cap Growth +.26%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Oil Tankers +2.92% 2) Steel +.89% 3) Networking +.79%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • EOG, ROSE, DTV, IDT, SKM, CHTR, MKTG, HIMX, DWRE, MXWL, ININ, MELI, STE, SNTS, FOSL, NSM, PODD, EOG, VNTV, ALNY, ANF, SGY and DFT
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) DG 2) NRG 3) HOLX 4) NSM 5) FOSL
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) DTV 2) FOSL 3) EOG 4) APC 5) TRN
Charts:

Tuesday Watch

Evening Headlines 
Bloomberg: 
  • Pentagon Accuses China of Cyberspying on U.S. Government. The Chinese military has targeted U.S. government computers with intrusions that seek sensitive data, according to a report in which the Pentagon for the first time directly accuses China of a cyber espionage campaign. The incursions “appear to be attributable directly to the Chinese government and military,” the Pentagon said yesterday in a report to U.S. lawmakers on security issues involving China. The information targeted could be used to bolster China’s defense and technology industries and to support military planning, the Defense Department report said. “China is using its computer network exploitation capability to support intelligence collection against the U.S. diplomatic, economic, and defense industrial base sectors that support U.S. national defense programs,” the report said.
  • China Quake Zone Absent Men Show Labor Supply Curbing Growth. When Zhang Youneng’s house was flattened by an earthquake last month, the Chinese factory worker had no choice but to travel 2,000 kilometers (1,240 miles) back home to help his wife deal with the aftermath. Like rural communities across China, Zhang’s village in southwestern Sichuan province is home these days mainly to the old, the weak and the young. Able-bodied men have left to seek work in the cities, and some of the women have gone, too. The dearth of workers in the area struck by a 6.6-magnitude temblor illustrates how China is approaching the limits of its supply of cheap labor.
Wall Street Journal: 
  • Hezbollah Steps Up in Syria as Israel Tries to Ease Tension. Hezbollah fighters joined Syrian government forces in the siege of a rebel-held town inside the war-torn country, local residents said, deepening the Iran-backed group's involvement in Syria's civil war and raising alarm among U.S. officials.
  • Virus's Toll in Saudi Arabia Raises Fears of Faster Spread. Saudi Arabia Reports 7 Deaths in Outbreak of SARS-Like Disease. Saudi Arabia's announcements in the past five days of seven new deaths from a SARS-like virus have heightened fears that the Mideast outbreak is entering a more-aggressive phase.
Fox News: 
  • Cops arrest 3 people after 3 Ohio women missing for a decade found alive. Three people are in custody after three women who vanished about a decade ago in separate cases were found alive Monday in a residential area just south of downtown Cleveland, within a few miles of where they disappeared. Police said a 52-year-old man was among those arrested, but released no names and gave no details about the others arrested or what charges they might face. They described one of the suspects as a Hispanic male but said they planned to provide more information at a news conference Tuesday. Cheering crowds gathered Monday night on the street near the home where police said Amanda Berry, Gina DeJesus and Michelle Knight were found earlier in the day. A 6-year-old also was found in the home, according to authorities. 
  • Democrat Menendez introduces bill in Senate to arm Syria opposition. A top Senate Democrat nudged the Obama administration to provide weapons to the Syrian opposition, introducing a bill Monday that would explicitly allow the U.S. to provide arms, military training and non-lethal aid to the rebels. Sen. Bob Menendez of New Jersey, chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, introduced the legislation on the heels of U.S. intelligence claims that chemical weapons likely were used in the country.  "The Assad regime has crossed a red line that forces us to consider all options," Menendez said in a written statement. "The greatest humanitarian crisis in the world is unfolding in and around Syria, and the U.S. must play a role in tipping the scales toward opposition groups and working to build a free Syria."
CNBC: 
  • Anonymous to US: 'We Will Wipe You Off the Cyber Map'.  Anonymous claims it will launch cyberattacks against banking and government websites on Tuesday. The group is calling the planned attacks OperationUSA or OpUSA and said in a message on pastebin.com that the they are in response to social and political injustices. "Anonymous will make sure that's this May 7 will be a day to remember. On that day anonymous will start phase one of operation USA. America you have committed multiple war crimes in Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and recently you have committed war crimes in your own country," the hackers said last month in a statement. "We will now wipe you off the cybermap. Do not take this as a warning." 
Zero Hedge: 
Business Insider: 
Washington Post:
  • Special ops halted from responding to Benghazi attacks, U.S. diplomat says. As the weakly protected U.S. diplomatic compound in eastern Libya came under attack the night of Sept. 11, 2012, the deputy head of the embassy in Tripoli 600 miles away sought in vain to get the Pentagon to scramble fighter jets over Benghazi in a show of force that he said might have averted a second attack on a nearby CIA complex. Hours later, according to excerpts of the account by the U.S. diplomat, Gregory Hicks, American officials in the Libyan capital sought permission to deploy four U.S. Special Operations troops to Benghazi aboard a Libyan military aircraft early the next morning. The troops were told to stand down.
New York Times: 
  • G.O.P. Is Readying a New Offensive Over Health Law. As the administration struggles to put in place the final, complex piece of President Obama’s signature health care law — an endeavor on a scale not seen since Medicare’s creation nearly a half-century ago — Democrats are worried about major snags in the face of Republican plans to use the law as a weapon in next year’s midterm elections.
LA Times:
  • Google's(GOOG) YouTube poised to enter subscription business for some content. The next time you click on a YouTube video, you might be asked to pony up some cash before it plays. The Google-owned online video site is getting ready to enter the subscription business, according to people with knowledge of the situation. The Internet's dominant source for online videos will allow content creators to charge a monthly fee to bring a broader range of entertainment to the platform, these people said.
Reuters: 
  • BMC Software(BMC) profit misses estimates on higher expenses. BMC Software Inc, which has agreed to be taken private, on Monday reported a quarterly profit which rose less than analysts polled by Reuters had expected, as higher operating expenses ate into the business software maker's bottom line. 
  • China reports four more bird flu deaths, toll rises to 31. Four more people in China have died from a new strain of bird flu, bringing to 31 the number of deaths from the mysterious H7N9 virus, with the number of infections rising by two to 129, according to Chinese health authorities. Among the deaths, two occurred in the eastern province of Jiangsu; one was from eastern Zhejiang; while another was from central Anhui, based on a Reuters analysis of the data provided by Chinese health authorities on Monday.
Financial Times:
  • Pension fund sues banks over CDS ‘dominance’. A pension fund for Ohio-based sheet metal workers is challenging big banks’ “collective dominance” of the $27tn market for so-called credit default swaps. The class action antitrust suit filed by the pension fund accuses banks including Citigroup, Deutsche Bank and JPMorgan of engaging in “anti-competitive conduct” when it comes to CDS contracts. The fund, the Sheet Metal Workers Local No. 33 Cleveland District Pension Plan, said it had entered into CDS deals with Citigroup.
Telegraph: 
21st Century Business Herald:
  • April new loans were 245b yuan at Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd., China Construction Bank Corp., Bank of China Ltd. and Agricultural Bank of China Ltd., citing people familiar with the matter. China end-March outstanding non-performing loans in commercial banks rose 20.7% on year to 524.3b yuan.
JTA: 
  • With Netanyahu in Shanghai, China rips Syrian airstrikes. As Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu began a five-day visit to China, the Chinese Foreign Ministry criticized the military strikes on Syria without singling out Israel. "We oppose the use of military force and believe any country's sovereignty should be respected," Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying said Monday. She did not mention Israel by name. "China also calls on all relevant parties to begin from the basis of protecting regional peace and stability, maintain restraint and avoid taking any actions that would escalate tensions and jointly safeguard regional peace and stability."
Evening Recommendations 
  • None of note
Night Trading
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 101.0 -1.5 basis points.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 82.25 -1.75 basis points.
  • FTSE-100 futures +.16%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.11%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.03%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note

Company/Estimate
  • (TAP)/.34
  • (EMR)/.78
  • (STE)/.65
  • (FOSL)/.97
  • (LPX)/.45
  • (DTV)/1.09
  • (OMX)/.23
  • (DISCA)/.64
  • (MCK)/2.31
  • (WBMD)/-.15
  • (BMC)/.93
  • (CA)/.55
  • (DIS)/.77
  • (SYMC)/.38
  • (EA)/57
  • (MRO)/.72
  • (Z)/-.04
  • (WFM)/.73
  • (WMB)/.24
  • (ONXX)/-.48       
Economic Releases
10:00 am EST
  • JOLTs Job Opening for March are estimated to fall to 3770 versus 3925 in February.
3:00 pm EST
  • Consumer Credit for March is estimated to fall to $15.5B verss $18.139B in February.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Eurozone Industrial Production data, weekly retail sales reports, 3Y T-Note auction, IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index for May, Jefferies Tech/Media/Telecom Conference, Robert W. Baird Growth Stock Conference, BofA Merrill Smid-cap Conference, (LXK) analyst meeting, (DNKN) analyst day, (KBH) analyst conference and the (MUR) analyst meeting could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by automaker and financial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.