Evening Headlines

Bloomberg:    

• A Week of Mayhem in China Stocks Exposes Global Index Fund Risks. 
  
• SEC to Demand More Info From Chinese Firms Seeking to Go Public.
• Big Rethink Ahead for U.S. Chinese-Listed Stocks After Ugly July.
• CDC Scaled Back Breakthrough Hunt; Walmart Mandate: Virus Update.
• Senate Heads Toward Passage of Infrastructure Deal Next Week.
• Wall Street Emerges as GOP’s New Villain Amid House Price Pinch.
• Biden Hosts Cuban-American Leaders to Discuss Cuba Protests.  
• America’s Oil Demand Is Roaring Back Faster Than Expected.
• A Bet Against Cathie Wood.  
• KeyCorp Doles Out Bonuses as Large as $25,000 Amid Talent War.  
• Jeff Bezos Loses $13.5 Billion After Amazon Disappointment.  
• Brainard Says Jobs Market Has Ways to Go to Meet Fed Taper Test.  
• Charting Global Economy: Supply Chains Challenge U.S., Germany.
• Online Retailers Tumble as Amazon Sales Miss Shows Reopening Hit.

Wall Street Journal:

• World Economy Roars Back From Covid-19 Collapse.
• The CDC’s Delta Variant Panic.
• On Censorship, Big Tech Has It Both Ways.
• Maybe With Delta the CDC Will Learn to Count.
• Elon Musk’s ‘Delivery Hell’.
• Robinhood Stock Sale Soured By Investor Confusion.
• Investors Lost Hundreds of Billions on China in July.
• U.S. Crypto Traders Evade Offshore Exchange Bans.

CNBC:

• July jobs report could be what gives the market its next big jolt in the week ahead.
• Walmart tells corporate staff, managers they must have Covid vaccine by October.
• Disney tells salaried and non-union employees in the US they must be vaccinated by end of September.
• Amazon delivery companies routinely tell drivers to bypass safety inspections.
• Congress fails to extend eviction moratorium expiring Saturday.
• Google founders have sold $1 billion in stock since May, the most since 2017.

IG:

• Weekend Markets Trading Live.

MarketWatch.com:      

• S&P 500 notches 6th straight monthly gain even as Amazon disappointment fuels Friday selling.

Fox News:  

• CDC director tells Fox News Biden admin 'looking into' potential federal COVID vaccine mandate.

Newsmax: 

• US Sues Texas After It Blocks Transport of Migrants in State.
• Thomas Peterffy: Social Infrastructure 'Disastrous' for Inflation.

Zero Hedge:

• Even Banks Join The Mockery: The Stimulus Is Neverending As Pandemic Goalposts Shift All The Time.
• Hong Kong Police Arrest Man For Booing During Chinese National Anthem.
• 74% Of COVID-19 Cases From Massachusetts Outbreak Occurred In Fully Vaccinated People: CDC.
• First Hong Konger Jailed Under Freedom-Crushing National Security Law Gets 9 Years.
• "Extreme Staffing Shortages" Causes Trash Pile Up In Maryland.
• The Shadow State: Twitter Suspends Commentator For Criticizing Vaccine Policies.
• America's Top Graduates Don't Want Jobs On Wall Street.
• Wrong Predictions Don't Deter The Predictors.
• Have The Social Media Companies Become Way Too Powerful?
• "The War Has Changed" - Leaked CDC Report Claims Delta Spreads As Easily As "Chickenpox".
• AOC Goes After Senator Krysten Sinema With A "No Climate, No Deal" Threat.
• July Jolt: Small Caps & Bond Yields Plunge Most Since March 2020 COVID Crash.

TheGatewayPundit.com:

• Arizona: Healthcare Workers Rally Against COVID-19 Jab Mandates – Employees REQUIRED To Show Proof of Jab By November 1st.
• “In All Probability” – Joe Biden When Asked if Americans Should Expect More Covid Restrictions (VIDEO).
• LIARS: Study Cited by CDC to Push New Mask Guidance was Rejected by Peer Review and Based on Vaccine Not Used in US.
• 1.6 Billion Disposable Masks Wound Up in the Ocean in 2020 and Will Take 450 Years to Biodegrade.
• BREAKING: GOP Senators Reveal Contents of Redacted Fauci Letter – HHS Hid His Collaboration with Dr. Daszak and Wuhan Lab.
• JUST IN: 111,000+ Vaccine Breakthrough Cases Identified in US – More Than **10X** CDC’s Count When They Stopped Tracking in May.
• Gov. DeSantis Leads the Way: ‘In Florida There Will Be No Lockdowns, No School Closures, No Restrictions, No Mandates’ (VIDEO).
• “Other Than F*ck Em?” – Hunter Biden When Asked What He Has to Say to People Questioning His Shady Art Selling Scheme (AUDIO).

The Epoch Times:

• NBA Players Benefit From Chinese Firms Complicit in ‘Slave Labor’: US Lawmakers.

Covid-19(Data, Maps, Graphs):

• Our World in Data:  New Global Covid-19 Cases(7-day rolling average graphs). New US Covid Hospital Admissions/ICU Admissions/Deaths
  
• FT.com:  Fully Vaccinated by Country(graph). Global Lockdown Stringency Index(map).
  
• NYTimes.com:  County Trends and Clusters.
  
• Brown School of Public Health:  Covid Severity by State/County(map).  US Hospital Capacity.
  
• CovidActNow:  Covid Severity/Infection Rate by Metro Area.
  
• KFF:  US Vaccinations by Race/Ethnicity.
  
• Carnegie Mellon: Covid-Like Symptoms in Community. Covid Symptom Searches on Google. Covid-Related Dr.Visits.  Restaurant Visits. Wearing Masks. (graphs)
  
• Safegraph.com:  Commerce Patterns(graphs).

Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 4,397.54 -.47%*

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com. 

Indices

• DJIA 34,979.0 -.41%

• NASDAQ 14,684.29 -1.1%

• Russell 2000 2,221.50 +.54%

• S&P 500 High Beta 72.67 +1.0%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 322.0 -1.1%

• Wilshire 5000 45,674.0 -.3%

• Russell 1000 Growth 2,822.35 -1.4%

• Russell 1000 Value 1,574.18 +.48%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 739.69 +.24%

• MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,419.55 -.68%
  

• NYSE Technology 4,168.74 -1.1%

• Transports 14,474 -2.1%

• Utilities 907.84 +.3%

• Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 71.7 +1.3%

• MSCI Emerging Markets 51.45 -2.0%

• HFRX Equity Hedge 1,442.25 -.07%

• HFRX Equity Market Neutral 932.42 +.05%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 479,292 +.7%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 659 +497

• Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -40.11 -.16%

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 448,740 -10.1%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,243,475 -7.1%

• Total Put/Call .77 -11.5%

• OEX Put/Call 2.77 +8.0%

• ISE Sentiment 96.0 -25.0 points

• NYSE Arms 1.8 -1.7% 
• Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 2,595.0 -283.0 points
• Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index + Bubbles 5.61 +57.5% 
  

• Volatility(VIX) 18.6 +7.7%

• S&P 500 Implied Correlation 52.0 +1.0%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.0 +.5%
  

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.5 -.2%

• Smart Money Flow Index 15,126.60 +1.4%

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $4.502 Trillion +.33%

• ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -3.361 Million

• AAII % Bulls 36.2 +18.3%

• AAII % Bears 24.1 -21.2%

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 218.08 +.69%

• Crude Oil 74.14 +2.2%

• Reformulated Gasoline 236.19 +2.6%

• Natural Gas 3.89 -4.0%

• Heating Oil 219.9 +2.5%

• Gold 1,814.16 +1.1%
• Silver 25.5 +1.4%
  

• S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 479.65 +3.1%

• Copper 448.45 +.4%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 485.0 USD/Metric Tonne -1.42%

• China Iron Ore Spot 17.0 USD/Metric Tonne -13.6%

• Lumber 603.30 -7.0%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,262.31 +.17%
• US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 550.0 USD/Short Ton unch.
  

Economy

• Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +6.1% -1.5 percentage points
  

• ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate +11.1% -1.6 percentage points
  
• Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 10.0% unch.
  

• NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index +8.37 -6.4%

• US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 208.68 +169.2%

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 208.45 +1.8%

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index -13.8 -22.5 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 40.4 -24.8 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 49.3 -7.2 points

• Fed Fund Futures imply 100.0% chance of no change, 0.0% chance of rate hike on 9/22

• US Dollar Index 92.16 -.85%

• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,732.32 +.46%
  

• Bitcoin/USD 39,044 +13.1%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 134.50 +.03%
  

• Yield Curve 105.0 +4.0 basis points
  

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 1.23% -6.0 basis points
  

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $8.182 Trillion -.24%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 9.33 -.05%

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 121.69 +3.0%
  

• Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 108.0 +4.0 basis points
  

• China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.3 +2.7%
  

• Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 175.57 +1.0%
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 40.5 -.5%

• South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 18.4 -.83%

• Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 87.04 +1.0%

• China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KCCB) 37.80 -2.5%

• 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.41% +6.0 basis points

• TED Spread 8.5 +.5 basis point

• 2-Year Swap Spread 7.75 -.75 basis point
  

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.75 +.75 basis point

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 49.07 +1.4%
  

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 317.0 +1.8%

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 54.17 +.7%
  

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 163.61 +1.9%
  

• MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 71.5 -1.0 basis point
  
• Markit CMBX BBB-6 73.75 +.25 basis point

• M2 Money Supply YoY % Change 12.2 -1.6 percentage points
  

• Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,139.0 +.6%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 394,000 +9,250
  

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.4% unch.
  

• Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 2.8% +2.0 basis points

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 737,900 +5.7%

• Langer Consumer Comfort 53.2 +1.7 points

• Weekly Retail Sales +15.0% +1.5 percentage points

• Nationwide Gas $3.16/gallon unch.

• Baltic Dry Index 3,214 +.5%

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 2,771.54 unch.

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 17.5 unch.
• Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 153.74 +2.9%

• Rail Freight Carloads 273,124 -1.7%
• US Covid-19:  144 infections/100K people(last 7 days) +51/100K people
• US Covid-19:  27% of Jan. 7th,2021 peak +10.0 percentage points
  

Best Performing Style

• Small-Cap Value +1.7%

Worst Performing Style

• Large-Cap Growth -1.4%
  

Leading Sectors

• Steel +7.7%

• Gold & Silver +5.8%
  

• Hombuilding +2.9%

• Disk Drives +2.9%
  

• Alt Energy +2.9%
  

Lagging Sectors

• Road & Rail -.9%
  

• Paper -1.2%

• Video Gaming -1.6%

• Gaming -3.1%

• Internet -3.4%
  

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (17)

• POWI, VCYT, DXCM, MITK, KLAC, MMSI, CLPT, XM, JBI, ASIX, SGEN, RDNT, ICHR, INT, MRNA, MAXR, AMD, RL and FSLR
  

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (18)

• TNL, NVCR, BJRI, POSH, TWLO, POLY, TWOU, CAKE, AMZN, ETSY, EHTH, MGI, W, VNDA, ZYXI, ANVS, PINS and SAVA
  

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Global Virus Shutdown/Mandate Worries, China Economic Crackdown Fears, Dollar Strength, Commodity/Airlines Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:

• Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  

• Sector Performance: Mixed
  

• Volume: Below Average

• Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
  

Equity Investor Angst:

• Volatility(VIX) 18.0 +1.7%
• Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 2,647.0 -107.0 points

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 134.47 +.07%

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.5 -.2%

• S&P 500 Implied Correlation 52.5 +4.4%

• ISE Sentiment Index 95.0  -20.0 points
  

• Total Put/Call .76 +!3.4%

• NYSE Arms 1.6 +68.0%

Credit Investor Angst:

• North American Investment Grade CDS Index 49.24 +1.1%
  

• US Energy High-Yield OAS 424.38 +.8%

• European Financial Sector CDS Index 54.23 +.69%

• Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 108.0 unch.
  

• Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 91.1 +.5%
  

• Emerging Market CDS Index 163.83 +1.5%
  

• China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KCCB) 37.8 -.45%

• 2-Year Swap Spread 7.75 unch.

• TED Spread 8.5 -.25 basis point
  

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.75 -.25 basis point
  
• MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  72.5 +2.5 basis points
  
• IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 73.75 +.25 basis point
  

Economic Gauges:

• Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.06 -.37%
• 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% unch.
  

• Yield Curve 105.0 +1.0 basis point
  

• China Iron Ore Spot 176.80 USD/Metric Tonne -7.1%

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index -13.8 +5.2 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 40.4 -5.0 points
  

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 49.3 -.3 point

• 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.40 -2.0 basis points
• 100.0% chance of no change at Nov. 3rd meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at Dec. 15th meeting

US Covid-19:

• 144 infections/100K people(last 7 days) +7/100K people
• 27% of Jan. 7th, 2021 peak(highest daily avg. new infections) +1.0 percentage point
  

Overseas Futures:

• Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +230 open in Japan 
• China A50 Futures: Indicating -51 open in China

• DAX Futures: Indicating -7 open in Germany

Portfolio:

• Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/medical sector longs, index hedges and emerging market shorts
  

• Disclosed Trades: None
  

• Market Exposure: 75% Net Long