Monday, July 26, 2004

Monday Watch

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
AXP/.67
ANDW/.13
BLS/.50
BSX/.45
CTX/1.29
CHKP/.25
CHK/.29
HCA/.65
HUM/.39
IP/.38
PETS/.10
PBI/.61
PVN/.21
PHM/1.43
SWK/.67
SLAB/.38
UNA/.08
VECO/.13

Splits
CWTR 3-for-2

Economic Data
Existing Home Sales for June estimated at 6.66M versus 6.8M in May.

Weekend Recommendations
Forbes on Fox had guests that were positive on SLM and TEVA. Bulls and Bears had guests that were positive on LU, AAPL, MMC, EOG, RTN, F, DCX, TM, ROST and mixed on MSFT. Cashin' In had guests that were positive on JNJ, FLO, PTR, TXN and mixed on MSFT, RHAT. Louis Rukeyser's Wall Street had guests that were positive on UPS, WMT, XMSR, SIRI, JCP and VLO. Wall St. Week w/Fortune had guests that were positive on FO, STZ, PEP, DIS, HDI, GE, SHFL, MGAM, BUD, POOL, MSFT and UTX. Barron's had positive comments on MSFT, DEX, OLN, GTOP, SGR, WG, HGR, MHR, DNR, NR and negative comments on NXTL. Goldman Sachs reiterated Outperform on AGN, DD, AMT, HOT, EBAY, ITT, SLB and Underperform on SIAL, WM, SGP.

Weekend News
North Korea rejected a U.S. proposition to end its nuclear program in exchange for economic aid and improved relations as having "little worthy to be discussed," Agence France-Presse reported. Ford Motor, which accounts for about 80% of all police patrol cars sold in the U.S., may face a challenge from a police version of DaimlerChrysler's Dodge Magnum sports wagon, the LA Times reported. The U.S. Senate gave final approval to a bill that requires states to close loopholes in unemployment insurance laws that allow companies to avoid paying millions of dollars in premiums, the Washington Post reported. A group claiming to be the European arm of al-Qaeda has threatened to attack Australia an Italy with car bombs if their troops aren't withdrawn from Iraq, the Australian Broadcasting Corp. reported. Iraq and Syria agreed to restore diplomatic ties severed in 1982 and control security along their common borders to stop militants from crossing into Iraq, Al-Hayat reported. The campaign of John Edwards will return $44,035 in contributions raised by a LA attorney under scrutiny by California election officials, Newsweek reported. A 312-111 vote last week in the U.S. House favoring the technology industry's position of expensing options shows Silicon Valley's influence in Congress may be reviving, the NY Times said. Consumers fed up with having to pay more costly phone bills have been switching in increasing numbers to phone service over the Internet, the New York Times reported. AT&T will probably be the target of a takeover bid, Newsweek reported. Google may announce the estimated price range for its IPO as early as today, the Financial Times reported. President Bush wants to make decisions within days about enacting some of the recommendations of the commission that investigated the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, the Washington Post said. Intel is looking for ways to return some of its $16.7 billion in cash to shareholders, the Financial Times reported. Former President Clinton will play a prominent role in the campaign of Democratic presidential candidate Kerry over the next three months, the Financial Times said. Mylan Labs plans to buy King Pharmaceuticals in a transaction valued at $4 billion, as it seeks to expand its branded-drug business, the Wall Street Journal reported.

Late-Night Trading
Asian indices are mostly lower, -1.0% to -.25% on average.
S&P 500 indicated +.11%.
NASDAQ 100 indicated +.29%.

BOTTOM LINE: I expect U.S. stocks to open mixed in the morning ahead of a number of important earnings releases, economic reports and the Democratic convention. The Portfolio is 50% net short heading into the week.

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