Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
- Sector Performance: Every Sector Declining
- Volume: Above Average
- Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 25.50 +12.91%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 133.93 +.33%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.51 -4.08%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.03 +4.56%
- ISE Sentiment Index 73.0 -18.89%
- Total Put/Call 1.09 +6.86%
- NYSE Arms 1.13 +19.31%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 102.53 +4.21%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,717.0 -.26%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 80.86 -.29%
- Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 17.54 -2.01%
- Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 75.80 -.80%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 384.93 +1.81%
- iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 122.82 -.41%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 7.5 +.25 basis point
- TED Spread 41.75 +.5 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.25 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.70 +.36%
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .22% +2.0 basis points
- Yield Curve 116.0 -2.0 basis points
- China Import Iron Ore Spot $39.51/Metric Tonne -4.08%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index -24.7 -.6 point
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 22.70 -.7 point
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.50 +5.9 points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.45% -1.0 basis point
- 36.8% chance of Fed rate hike at March 16 meeting, 42.6% chance at April 27 meeting
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -456 open in Japan
- China A50 Futures: Indicating -285 open in China
- DAX Futures: Indicating -182 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
- Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
- Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long
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