Monday, January 11, 2016

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Technical Buying, Bargain-Hunting, Homebuilding/Tech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 25.69 -4.89%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 133.47 -.33%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.87 -.50%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.04 -.59%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 90.0 +18.0%
  • Total Put/Call 1.14 -14.93%
  • NYSE Arms .96 -45.16% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 99.0 +1.81%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,334.95 +.71%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 79.88 -2.59%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 17.86 +3.96%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 75.91 -.53%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 380.92 +1.55%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 123.48 -.09%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.25 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 42.75 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.5 -1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.49 -.27%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .18% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 123.0 +4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $41.31/Metric Tonne -1.95%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -22.6 -1.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 24.0 -1.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -1.70 -2.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.48% -2.0 basis points
  • 38.6% chance of Fed rate hike at March 16 meeting, 43.2% chance at April 27 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -423 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -120 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -12 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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