Friday, March 18, 2016

Stocks Rising Midday on Central Bank Hopes, Less Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Short-Covering, Healthcare/Gaming Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.82 -4.16%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 131.56 -.17%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.55 unch.
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 56.91 -1.57%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 164.0 +42.6%
  • Total Put/Call .59 -11.94%
  • NYSE Arms 1.01 -4.4% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 83.42 +.1%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,651.0 -13.0%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 81.54 +1.45%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 28.18 +1.70%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 61.10 -1.28%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 298.25 -2.11%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 126.35 +.35%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.25 +1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 36.0 +1.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.75 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.69 -.24%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .28% unch.
  • Yield Curve 104.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $57.50/Metric Tonne +2.51%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -.2 +.1 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -45.90 +.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -18.70 -.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.63% +4.0 basis points
  • 36.6% chance of Fed rate hike at June 15 meeting, 44.2% chance at July 27 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -34 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +81 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +31 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/retail/biotech/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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