Monday, March 14, 2016

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on China Bubble-Bursting Fears, Oil Decline, Technical Selling, Energy/Homebuilding Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.95 +2.73%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 131.92 -.51%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.46 -1.72%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 58.42 -1.58%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 71.0 -6.58%
  • Total Put/Call 1.0 -.99%
  • NYSE Arms 1.14 +44.65% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 85.36 +2.88%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,754.0 -5.11%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 77.25 +2.66%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 27.59 -.7%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 64.59 -2.42%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 320.42 -.04%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 125.60 +.25%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 5.25 unch.
  • TED Spread 31.25 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -23.75 -1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.89 +.24%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .32% unch.
  • Yield Curve 100.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $55.55/Metric Tonne -2.70%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -7.50 +1.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -51.40 +3.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -21.30 +.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.53% unch.
  • 26.7% chance of Fed rate hike at April 27 meeting, 53.1% chance at June 15 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +16 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -11 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +19 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my medical/biotech/tech sector longs and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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