Friday, March 11, 2016

Stocks Surging into Afternoon on Central Bank Hopes, Less European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Oil Bounce, Energy/Financial Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.0 -5.65%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 132.63 +.29%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.67 -.60%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 60.34 +.42%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 76.0 +7.0%
  • Total Put/Call .98 -1.01%
  • NYSE Arms .88 +21.97
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 85.75 -5.6%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,825.0 -2.82%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 75.28 -15.97%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 28.16 -4.61%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 65.74 -3.16%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 319.87 -3.96%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 125.28 +.36%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 5.25 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 32.0 -1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.50 -1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.05 +.75%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .32% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 102.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $57.09/Metric Tonne -1.43%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -9.30 +.5 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -54.80 +.2 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -21.30 -1.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.53% +3.0 basis points
  • 22.9% chance of Fed rate hike at April 27 meeting, 50.7% chance at June 15 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +150 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +23 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +11 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my medical/retail/biotech/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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