Monday, March 14, 2016

Tuesday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.50% +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 136.5 +1.25 basis points. 
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 65.0 -1.25 basis points
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.76 -.07%. 
  • S&P 500 futures -.05%. 
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.14%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate 

  • (DSW)/.07
  • (FDS)/1.66
  • (HDS)/.24
  • (JASO)/.68
  • (VRX)/2.62
  • (XONE)/-.15
  • (ORCL)/.62
Economic Releases 
8:30 am EST
  • Retail Sales Advance MoM for February are estimated to fall -.2% versus a +.2% gain in January.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM for February are estimated to fall -.2% versus a +.1% gain in January.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos and Gas MoM for February are estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.4% gain in January.
  • PPI Final Demand MoM for February is estimated to fall -.2% versus a +.1% gain in January.
  • PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM for February is estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.4% gain in January.
  • Empire Manufacturing for March is estimated to rise to -10.5 versus -16.64 in February. 
10:00 am EST
  • The NAHB Housing Market Index for March is estimated to rise to 59.0 versus 58.0 in February. 
  • Business Inventories for January are estimated unch. versus a +.1% gain in December. 
4:00 pm EST
  • Net Long-Term TIC Flows for January.
Upcoming Splits 
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The BoJ rate decision, RBA minutes, US weekly retail sales reports, Barclays Healthcare Conference, BofA Merrill Consumer/Retail Tech Conference and the (CBS) investor day could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by commodity and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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