Thursday, July 14, 2016

Friday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are +.25% to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 120.0 -4.25 basis points.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 47.25 -1.5 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.06 +.02%
  • S&P 500 futures +.03%. 
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.05%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate 

  • (C)/1.10
  • (FHN)/.23
  • (INFY)/15.11
  • (PNC)/1.75
  • (USB)/.80
  • (WFC)/1.01 
Economic Releases  
8:30 am EST
  • Retail Sales Advance MoM for June are estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.5% gain in May.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM for June are estimated to rise +.4% versus a +4% gain in May.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos and Gas for June are estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.3% gain in May.
  • The CPI MoM for June is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.2% gain in May.
  • The CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM for June is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.2% gain in May.
  • Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY for June.    
  • Empire Manufacturing for July is estimated to fall to 5.0 versus 6.01 in June.     
9:15 am EST
  • Industrial Production MoM for June is estimated to rise +.3% versus a -.4% decline in May.
  • Capacity Utilization for June is estimated to rise to 75.1% versus 74.9% in May.
  • Manufacturing Production for June is estimated to rise +.3% versus a -.4% decline in May.  
10:00 am EST
  • Business Inventories for May are estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.1% gain in April.
  • Preliminary Univ. of Mich. Consumer Sentiment for July is estimated to fall to 93.3 versus 93.5 in June.
Upcoming Splits 
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Kashkari speaking and the Eurozone Trade Balance report could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are higher, boosted by technology and commodity shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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