Friday, July 29, 2016

Stocks Reversing Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Oil Reversal Higher, Short-Covering, Energy/REIT Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.18 -4.25%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 119.01 -2.38%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.43 -2.78%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.83 -3.2%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 62.0 -34.04%
  • Total Put/Call 1.31 +45.56%
  • NYSE Arms 1.07 +.06
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 73.24 -1.44%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 796.0 +1.72%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 92.48 -3.1%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 25.30 -1.63%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 47.30 -2.76%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 261.66 -1.11%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 131.33 +.10%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 21.75 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 51.75 +6.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -46.75 +5.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.49 +.78%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .25% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 80.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $59.37/Metric Tonne -2.19%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 16.30 -20.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 28.3 +2.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -6.40 +1.3 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.52% unch.
  • 19.8% chance of Fed rate hike at Nov. 2 meeting, 35.7% chance at Dec. 14 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -209 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +25 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/medical/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

No comments: