Friday, July 22, 2016

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Less European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Diminished Global Growth Fears, Yen Weakness, Transport/Utility Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.17 -4.47%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 121.49 -.32%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.96 -1.29%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 49.30 -1.71%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 96.0 +20.0%
  • Total Put/Call .79 -16.84%
  • NYSE Arms 1.18 +10.17
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 70.75 -.88%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 725.0 -.33%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 92.0 +4.1%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 25.95 +.56%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 47.52 -.79%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 252.43 -1.05%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 131.03 +.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.0 -.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 39.25 +1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -49.75 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.20 -.17%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .31% unch.
  • Yield Curve 86.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $55.87/Metric Tonne -2.27%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 36.70 +3.9 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 8.0 +10.0 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -11.0 -.4 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.51% +4.0 basis points
  • 24.4% chance of Fed rate hike at Sept. 21 meeting, 26.0% chance at Nov. 2 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +48 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +9 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -3 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges 
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

No comments: