Wednesday, November 18, 2020

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Mounting US Voter Fraud Evidence, Virus Shutdown Worries, Technical Selling, Biotech/Metals&Mining Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Around Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 23.1 +1.7%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 1,101.0 -10.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.48 -.36%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.47 -.19%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 38.9 -2.7%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 134.0 +11.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .70 -18.6%
  • NYSE Arms 1.06 +24.7%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 52.97 +.66%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 712.89 -1.39%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 62.90 -1.15%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 121.0 +1.0 basis piont
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 60.31 +.25%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 170.04 -2.08%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 181.27 -.15%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.25 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 14.0 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -14.0 -1.0 basis points
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  73.75 +.5 basis point
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 71.0 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 61.28 +.20%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .08% unch.
  • Yield Curve 68.0 -5.5 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 123.50 USD/Metric Tonne +.46%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 66.4 -1.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 109.2 +6.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 58.5 -.8 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.71 -1.0 basis point
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Jan. 27th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at March 17th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +72 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +10 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -53 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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