Tuesday, November 10, 2020

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Mounting Election Fraud Evidence, Increasing Virus Concerns, Rising Long-Term Rates, Tech/Gaming Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Heavy
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 25.6 -.6%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 1,050.0 +102.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 128.94 +.01%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.7 +1.7%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 44.8 -9.9%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 122.0 -31.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .78 +6.9%
  • NYSE Arms 1.40 +105.8%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 52.08 -.58%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 717.82 -.86%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 63.83 -.71%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 125.0 -2.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 58.66 -3.55%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 171.56 -.11%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 180.69 +.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.5 +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 11.25 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -14.0 -.75 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  71.75 -.25 basis point
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 70.0 +1.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.59 -.17%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .09% unch.
  • Yield Curve 74.5 +7.25 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 119.60 USD/Metric Tonne +.4%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 101.90 -3.1 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 91.8 -4.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 50.2 -.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.76 +3.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Jan. 27th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at March 17th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +440 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +32 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +9 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my medical/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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