Monday, November 09, 2020

Stocks Sharply Higher into Final Hour on Vaccine Hopes, Short-Covering, Oil Gain, Energy/Transport Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Heavy
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 23.6 -5.2%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 1,138.0 +539.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 129.10 +1.47%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.6 -.47%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 43.6 -6.7%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 153.0 +5.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .71 -15.5%
  • NYSE Arms .74 -12.9%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 51.21 -4.23%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 729.86 -4.67%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 64.30 -6.82%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 127.0 +1.0 basis point
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 60.92 -4.33%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 171.21 -9.84%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 180.68 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 7.5 -1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 12.0 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -14.75 -.75 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  72.0 -2.0 basis points
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 68.25 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.67 +.91%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .09% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 67.25 +5.5 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 119.17 USD/Metric Tonne +1.0%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 105.0 -13.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 96.5 +1.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 50.5 -3.5 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.73 +8.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Jan. 27th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at March 17th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +736 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +48 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -27 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my medical/biotech/industrial sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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