Friday, November 06, 2020

Stocks Slightly Higher into Afternoon on Stimulus Hopes, Dollar Weakness, Diminished Tax Hike Fears, Tech/Medical Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 25.3 -8.3%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 576.0 +214.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.17 +.22%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.7 +.76%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.96 -11.3%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 148.0 +48.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .82 +3.8%
  • NYSE Arms .77 -11.5%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 52.57 -2.8%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 798.55 -.27%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 69.0 -.53%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 126.0 -5.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 63.85 -1.34%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 189.86 -.03%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 180.61 +.13%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.75 unch.
  • TED Spread 12.75 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -14.0 -1.75 basis points
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  74.0 -1.25 basis points
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 68.25 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 59.97 +.37%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .09% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 61.75 +2.5 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 116.95 USD/Metric Tonne +2.43%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 118.0 -2.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 94.70 -2.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 54.0 -.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.65 -1.0 basis point
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Jan. 27th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at March 17th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +89 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +64 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +18 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my medical/consumer staple/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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