Monday, November 16, 2020

Tuesday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are +.25% to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 60.0 +.25 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 32.5 +1.75 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 61.0 -.02%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 1,218.0 +36.0 points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 24.70 +.71%
  • FTSE 100 futures -.31%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.16%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.28%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • (ARMK)/-.34
  • (HD)/3.02
  • (JKS)/.85
  • (KSS)/-.44
  • (LM)/.85
  • (SE)/-.55
  • (WMT)/1.19
After the Close:
  • (LZB)/.47
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Retail Sales Advance MoM for Oct. is estimated to rise +.5% versus a +1.9% gain in Sept.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM for Oct. is estimated to rise +.6% versus a +1.5% gain in Sept.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos and Gas MoM for Oct. is estimated to rise +.6% versus a +1.5% gain in Sept.
  • The Import Price Index MoM for Oct. is estimated unch. versus a .3% gain in Sept.
  • The Export Price Index MoM for Oct. is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.6% gain in Sept.
9:15 am EST
  • Industrial Production MoM for Oct. is estimated to rise +1.0% versus a -.6% decline in Sept.
  • Capacity Utilization for Oct. is estimated to rise to 72.3% versus 71.5% in Sept.
  • Manufacturing Production for Oct. is estimated to rise +1.0% versus a -.3% decline in Sept.
10:00 am EST
  • Business Inventories for Sept. is estimated to rise +.6% versus a +.3% gain in Aug.
  • The NAHB Housing Market Index for Nov. is estimated at 85.0 versus 85.0 in Oct.
4:00 pm EST
  • Net Long-Term TIC Flows for Sept.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Japan Trade Data report, Wolfe Healthcare Conference, Jefferies Healthcare Conference, Scotiabank Transport/Industrials Conference, RBC Tech/Internet/Media/Telecom Conference and the (ROK) investor meeting could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by commodity and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

No comments: