Tuesday, October 06, 2009

Today's Headlines

Bloomberg:

- Saudi Arabia hasn’t held talks with China and other countries on dropping the dollar as the currency for pricing oil, Saudi Central Bank Governor Muhammad al-Jasser said, denying a report in the U.K.’s Independent newspaper. The Independent report is “absolutely incorrect” and there has been “absolutely nothing” of that nature discussed between Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest oil exporter, and other countries, al-Jasser told reporters in Istanbul, where he’s attending an International Monetary Fund summit. The dollar pared losses after his remarks. “I don’t give credence to this story,” said Simon Williams, a Dubai-based economist at HSBC Holdings Plc. “Short- term, it’s highly unlikely that oil will not continue to be priced in dollars.”

- Sustainable economic growth and low interest rates worldwide will spur a “multi-year” bull market in equities, led by developing nations, said Fidelity International’s Anthony Bolton. “Low growth means low interest rates, and actually that’s one of the best environments for stock-market investing,” Bolton, president of investments at Fidelity International, which oversees about $141 billion, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television in Hong Kong. “Anything that can show growth in this low-growth environment is going to be bid up by investors.

- Emerson Electric Co.(EMR), the maker of power and cooling systems for data centers, agreed to buy Avocent Corp.(AVCT) for about $1.2 billion to add devices used to monitor computer networks. The acquisition at $25 a share is expected to be completed by Jan. 1, the companies said today in a statement. The offer values Huntsville, Alabama-based Avocent at 22 percent higher than the shares’ closing price yesterday.

- Gold rose to a record on speculation that currencies will depreciate, spurring inflation and boosting the appeal of the precious metal for investors seeking to preserve their wealth. Gold futures climbed as high as $1,045 an ounce in New York, topping the previous record of $1,033.90 in March 2008. The spot price is headed for a ninth straight annual gain, the longest rally since at least 1948. The dollar fell as much as 0.7 percent against a basket of six major currencies.

- Defense Secretary Robert Gates said any perceived U.S. retreat from Afghanistan would spur support for the Taliban insurgency in what he termed the “epicenter of jihad” and might deal a blow to American power. The Afghan-Pakistan border area is “where the mujahedeen defeated the other superpower,” Gates said at a forum taped by CNN in Washington yesterday, referring to the defeat of the Soviet army by Islamic fighters in the 1980s. “And their view is they now have the opportunity to defeat a second superpower.”

- A majority of Americans are skeptical that diplomacy with Iran will succeed and say the U.S. should use military action if necessary to prevent the Iranian government from developing a nuclear weapon. A Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey released today found 61 percent of Americans would support a military strike. Twenty-four percent said it is more important to avoid conflict even if that means Iran will end up building nuclear arms.

- Tiffany & Co.(TIF) rose to the highest level in more than a year after Citigroup recommended buying shares of the world’s second-largest luxury jeweler, projecting they will increase to $50 within 12 months. The stock climbed $2.29, or 6 percent, to $40.80 at 12:12 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading, after reaching $40.96, the highest level since September 2008.

- The U.S. economy is on the mend and housing is poised for a rebound, said Joseph LaVorgna, chief U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. in New York. “The momentum in the economy is moving forward,” LaVorgna said today in an interview on Bloomberg Radio. Housing is close to a turnaround because “we have had a tremendous improvement on inventories,” he said. “We are much closer to a housing bottom than many believe.” At the current sales pace it would take 8.5 months to sell all the previously owned homes on the market, compared with 11.3 months in April 2008, the highest level since at least 1999. For new houses, supply dropped to 7.3 months in August, the shortest period since January 2007. Economic growth will reach 3 percent next year, “maybe a little more,” LaVorgna said. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News last month projected the world’s largest economy will expand 2.4 percent in 2010, according to the median estimate. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy costs, will fall below 1 percent in 2010, and that will open the way for the Federal Reserve to refrain from raising its benchmark interest rate next year, LaVorgna said.

- Investors led by Starwood Capital Group LLC and TPG won an auction for the real estate assets of failed Chicago lender Corus Bankshares Inc. by outbidding the nearest competitor by 20 percent, including about $100 million more of their own cash, people familiar with the matter said. The Corus auction, managed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., drew interest from real estate developers and investors specializing in distressed debt. Corus was a lender to Miami condominium developers and held as much as $3.9 billion in condo loans as of March 31, including almost $1 billion tied to properties in southeast Florida. Corus, which was seized on Sept. 11, had a $5.4 billion commercial real estate loan portfolio.

- U.K. manufacturing production unexpectedly slumped in August to the lowest level since 1992, a sign the economy is struggling to shake off the recession. Factory output dropped 1.9 percent from the previous month, the Office for National Statistics said today in London. Economists predicted a 0.3 percent increase, according to the median of 26 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey. The index of manufacturing fell to 87.8, the lowest in 17 years.

- The recession and a cleaner fuel mix in the electricity sector should push U.S. carbon-dioxide emissions from coal, oil and natural gas 5.9 percent lower this year, the Energy Information Administration said today. “Changes in energy consumption in the industrial sector, a result of the weak economy, and changes in electricity generation sources are the primary factors for the decline,” the EIA said in its October Short-Term Energy Outlook.

- KeyCorp(KEY), Ohio’s second-largest bank, may jump by two thirds in New York trading as “problem” loans decrease and earnings rise, RBC Capital Markets analyst Gerard Cassidy said. KeyCorp shares may reach $10, the Cleveland-based company’s book value, Cassidy said today in an interview on Bloomberg Radio.


Wall Street Journal:

- The Pentagon is establishing two new units devoted to the Afghan war, highlighting the military's focus on the conflict even as the White House considers scaling back the overall U.S. mission there. The units -- a so-called Afghan Hands program run out of the Pentagon and a new intelligence center within Central Command, which oversees the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan -- are designed to help troops deepen their intelligence about the country's complex political and tribal dynamics. The Defense Department also is expected to announce that Brig. Gen. John M. Nicholson, one of the military's top experts on counterinsurgency, will assume the helm of the Pakistan-Afghanistan Coordination Cell, a Pentagon office established earlier this year to improve the military's performance in Afghanistan. The moves underline the military's efforts to remake itself in response to the Afghan war despite the Obama administration's signals that it is far from committed to the current counterinsurgency approach.

- The U.S. slightly tweaked its forecast higher Tuesday for OPEC crude oil output and surplus production capacity in 2009. Crude oil production from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries will average 29.02 million barrels a day this year, a marginal increase over the previous estimate of 29.01 million barrels a day, the U.S. Department of Energy estimates in its latest monthly outlook. OPEC produced 28.7 million barrels a day during the first half of 2009. The EIA also raised its 2010 outlook for OPEC production by 300,000 barrels a day to 29.19 million barrels a day.

- The chief executive of International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) sees a huge business opportunity in making the U.S. health-care system more efficient. "Someone is going to drive incredible progress," IBM Chief Executive Sam Palmisano told a conference on medical innovation at the Cleveland Clinic Tuesday. "Someone is going to unlock this incredible economic opportunity. And I suggest, why shouldn't it be us?"


The Detroit News:

- The Senate Finance Committee's health care reform bill cut in half, to $5 billion, the amount set aside to help the United Auto Workers' health care trusts and other similar programs. A health care reform bill approved by a House committee in July included $10 billion to defray the medical costs of union members and others in retiree group health care associations through a reinsurance program. A plan proposed by Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus, D-Mont., would have eliminated the provision completely. But Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., and Debbie Stabenow, D-Lansing, however, were able to get $5 billion restored. It's not clear how long that money will last. "The UAW obviously believes the $10 billion amount more accurately reflects the need for this program," Reuther said.


NJ.com:

- Governor Corzine overwhelmingly finances key Democratic campaign funds, feeding more than $1.4 million into a system that critics -- and he himself -- have targeted for reform. He is the biggest individual contributor to New Jersey Democrats’ three fattest pots, according to campaign-finance data. And he has given more than any other person to 20 of 21 Democratic county committees. Publicly, Corzine has faulted these funds’ tradition of “wheeling” -- or sending checks to out-of-district candidates, free of contribution caps. Critics say the practice wrongfully favors moneyed interests over donors who can give just $2,600 to each candidate. Privately, the governor has added $1,457,000 of his personal wealth to the wheeling pool since he took office in 2006. That’s nearly eight times the $185,000 given by the second-highest donors, real-estate developer David S. Steiner and his wife, Sylvia.

Rassmussen:

- Twenty-nine percent (29%) of Americans say they are less like to watch CBS’ “Late Night With David Letterman,” following the talk show host’s admission that he has had affairs with women who work on the show. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that five percent (5%) say that Letterman’s disclosure of sexual misbehavior makes them more likely to watch the show.

- Fifty-nine percent (59%) of U.S. voters favor putting a provision in the health care reform plan that would prohibit any new taxes, fees or penalties on families who make less than $250,000 a year. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that just 22% of voters oppose such a provision.

- Republican congressional candidates have moved slightly further ahead of Democrats this week in the latest edition of the Generic Congressional Ballot. The new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 43% would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate while 39% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent.

Politico:

- Democrats involved in the Senate Intelligence Committee investigation of CIA interrogation techniques have found a way to avoid partisan fights: Keep working after the ranking Republican quits. Late last month, Sen. Kit Bond (R-Mo.) abruptly withdrew from the probe to protest Attorney General Eric Holder’s decision to appoint a special prosecutor to review the legality of Bush-era interrogation techniques. Bond’s departure means that Republican staffers aren’t playing much of a role in the investigation, either. And that suits several Democrats on the panel just fine.

Washington Times:

- The outcome of a legislative tussle over rum taxes between Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands remains in doubt, but there is already one clear winner -- the House's top tax writer, Rep. Charles B. Rangel, a New York Democrat who is pocketing campaign cash from both territories.


Reuters:

- A top U.S. bailout watchdog has her eye on the "pay czar" charged with vetting the packages of some of Wall Street's top earners. Elizabeth Warren, head of the Congressional Oversight Panel for the government's financial bailout program, is intent on ensuring taxpayers get to see how their money may be adding zeroes to those paychecks. Warren told Reuters she is pleased the government's pay czar, Kenneth Feinberg, is planning to publicly release his rulings on the contracts for the top 25 earners at firms that have received the biggest government bailouts. But she wants more. She said Feinberg has an obligation to detail how taxpayer dollars are being used to pay key workers at bailed out firms.

- While most retailers saw bleak sales this back-to-school season, consumer electronics chains saw renewed demand for notebook personal computers, according to a report from market research firm NPD Group. That could be good news for PC makers this holiday shopping season, with few stand-out gadgets to woo shoppers.

- Fund manager BlackRock(BLK) remains bullish on stocks, particularly in the United States and in emerging markets, forecasting U.S. equity markets will offer annual returns of 6 to 8 percent over the next several years.


Financial Times:

- ExxonMobil(XOM) has agreed to acquire large stake in Ghana’s Jubilee oil field from its private equity owners, paying about $4bn for one of Africa’s most potentially lucrative oil discoveries in recent years.


Correio Braziliense:

- Brazil’s central bank and finance ministry are concerned that companies may lose money on wrong-way currency bets. Brazilian companies have $8 billion in bets against the US dollar.


ThisDay:
- Nigeria may peg the price of oil for planning its 2010 budget at $50 a barrel, compared with $45 last year, citing Finance Minister Mansur Muhtar.

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
Small-Cap Value (+.55%)

Sector Underperformers:
Medical Equipment (-.75%), REITs (-.59%) and Steel (-.20%)

Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:
PSEC, STJ, ARRS, CIEN, PPD and STJ

Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
1) SGP 2) EMR 3) MDT 4) MNKD 5) FDO

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
Small-Cap Value (+2.07%)

Sector Outperformers:
Gold (+7.05%), Oil Service (+3.60%) and Semis (+2.82%)

Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
ROSE, FFG, TLM, PT, MFC, HES, MICC, SU, CMN, AVCT, NTRI, SRDX, SYKE, CHTT, ECLP, RINO, ILMN, GOLD, HRBN, CHCO, HITK, HMIN, PAAS, RIMM, MLNX, SSRI, INSU, EZPW, OGXI, IAK, DLR, TBH, HIT, GPN, TKF and IGW

Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
1) STJ 2) UTHR 3) NTRI 4) BRCD 5) ADSK

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Monday, October 05, 2009

Tuesday Watch

Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:

- The Federal Reserve should be forced to identify companies that received loans from the central bank because it can’t demonstrate that borrowers would be harmed by the disclosure, according to lawyers who won a Freedom of Information Act lawsuit. There’s nothing proprietary in the details sought by the Bloomberg News unit of Bloomberg LP, the New York-based company majority-owned by Mayor Michael Bloomberg, attorneys for the company said today in court papers. The filing by Bloomberg opposes the Fed’s request for a court to halt disclosure of information while an appeal proceeds.

- Russian steelmakers’ plans for world domination are in tatters. A spending spree on U.S. mills meant to lift their billionaire owners into the industry’s top rank is instead forcing them to renegotiate debt and write down assets. OAO Severstal, the biggest producer, may sell some of the U.S. plants it bought for almost $4 billion at fire-sale prices or seek bankruptcy for them, Uralsib Financial Corp. analyst Dmitry Smolin said. Outstanding debt at Severstal and next- largest producer Evraz Group SA almost tripled after they ramped up buying in 2006, while the cost of funding debt in Russia has risen by about 50 percent, according to data Bloomberg compiled. “Russian steelmakers’ acquisitions in the U.S. were all unsuccessful,” said Dan Yakub, a Citigroup Inc. analyst in Moscow who recommends investors sell Evraz and who has a “hold” rating on Severstal. “The management wanted a global business, to get more flags on the map. They overestimated the potential of the U.S. market and underestimated the depth of the price collapse.”

- Manufacturers such as Caterpillar Inc.(CAT) and Apple Inc.(AAPL) wouldn’t have to post extra cash as collateral for hedging transactions under legislation proposed to tighten oversight of the $592 trillion derivatives market. The draft bill released by House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank on Oct. 2, drawn from Obama administration proposals, would require the most common and actively traded over-the-counter derivatives contracts to be bought and sold on exchanges or processed through a regulated trading platform. It would impose new rules and collateral requirements, except on so-called end users such as Caterpillar.

- MGM Mirage(MGM) and Dubai World, owners of the largest development on the Las Vegas Strip, cut the price of condominiums at the CityCenter project by 30 percent for existing buyers to reflect the collapse in housing prices. The reductions will be offered at residences at Mandarin Oriental, Veers Towers and Vdara Condo Hotel, Las Vegas-based MGM Mirage said today in a statement.

- American International Group Inc. Chief Executive Officer Robert Benmosche’s $10.5 million annual pay package was approved by Kenneth Feinberg, the Obama administration’s special master on compensation. Feinberg completed his review after New York-based AIG provided him with details of Benmosche’s previous compensation and pay comparisons with other leaders, according to a Treasury Department letter dated Oct. 2. Benmosche, named CEO of the bailed-out insurer in August, will get a $7 million salary and as much as $3.5 million in long-term incentives.

- Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Richard Fisher said that the U.S. is likely to undergo “a very slow process” of recovery and probably won’t endure a double-dip recession. “We’re going to have to be tolerant of slower growth than we’re used to,” Fisher said in a televised interview today with PBS’ Nightly Business Report. When asked whether the U.S. might fall back into recession soon after recovering, Fisher, 60, said, “I don’t consider that a likely scenario right now.”

- Samsung Electronics Co., Asia’s biggest maker of chips, flat screens and mobile phones, reported third-quarter earnings more than doubled, exceeding analysts’ estimates, helped by a rebound in prices. Operating profit jumped to as high as 4.3 trillion won ($3.7 billion), compared with 1.48 trillion won a year earlier, the Suwon, South Korea-based company said in a statement today. Samsung climbed as much as 1.9 percent in Seoul trading after the preliminary results beat the 3.85 trillion won median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of 10 analysts.


Wall Street Journal:

- U.S. light-vehicle sales are beginning to show signs of improvement, according to an automobile market researcher that forecasts sales will jump 9.6% in 2010 to 11.2 million. R.L. Polk & Co., in raising its 2010 forecast by 400,000 vehicles, said the bottoming out of the housing market, expansion in manufacturing and improved consumer sentiment were signs the economic recovery was under way. "We are confident the worst is behind us, said Dave Goebel, a Polk consultant. "We also believe the 'cash for clunkers' program will have little to no impact on 2010 sales, because the overall economic outlook has improved since earlier this year and this serves auto makers well as they bring new models into their showrooms." A number of analysts, including Global Insight Data, have said auto sales, on track to hit the lowest levels in decades, will begin to recover next year.

- Democratic lawmakers in a handful of states are facing pressure from Republicans to distance themselves from the Service Employees International Union as a result of its ties to Acorn. Republicans in Kansas, Virginia and Illinois in recent weeks have called on union-backed Democrats to return SEIU campaign contributions, citing the close connection between the union and the community organizing group, whose full name is the Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now. The Virginia Republican Party urged Democratic gubernatorial candidate Creigh Deeds to return campaign contributions from the SEIU, one of the biggest financial backers of Democratic candidates. Mr. Deeds received a total of $200,000 from the SEIU in 2009, according to the Virginia Public Access Project, which tracks campaign contributions in the state. "The close, almost symbiotic, relationship that SEIU and Acorn have call into question the propriety of being so closely involved with this union," said Tim Murtaugh, spokesman for the Virginia GOP.

- Financial industry groups eager to shape congressional regulatory overhaul proposals plan to press U.S. House lawmakers Tuesday on the registration of hedge funds, scaling back mandatory arbitration clauses, and balancing oversight of investment advisers and broker-dealers. Representatives from the private-equity and hedge-fund universe will be among those testifying before the House Financial Services Committee on a range of proposals to boost investor protections and tighten oversight of investment funds that typically fall outside rigorous government purview. Highlighting the difficulty for policy makers attempting to shepherd an ambitious financial regulatory system overhaul through Congress this year, the message from industry participants shows few areas of solid agreement. "Requiring open-ended disclosures to these third parties, as the draft contemplates, is highly problematic," Douglas Lowenstein, president and chief executive of the Private Equity Council, said in his prepared remarks.

- Google Inc.(GOOG), which has long championed the belief that advertising should be less about art and more about science, is working harder to embrace its inner creative side. As it searches for new growth, the company has in recent months focused more on creating custom ad campaigns spanning multiple Google services for big spenders like Hewlett-Packard Co. and Ford Motor Co. Since the summer, Google has helped J.C. Penney Co. and PepsiCo Inc.'s Quaker Oats unit launch ad campaigns on YouTube and across the hundreds of thousands of sites across which Google sells display ads, along with search ads. As part of the shift, Google is thinking up and tailoring more ad campaigns in close consultation with ad agencies. In May, the Mountain View, Calif., Internet giant altered its sales structure to work more closely with ad agencies and react more quickly to trends by organizing sales staff by industry, like automotive and technology. It also created a senior position responsible for improving communication with the largest ad agencies.

- The Obama administration is expected on Tuesday to unveil an outline of sweeping changes for the nation's immigration-detention system, saying it will decide whom to lock up and for how long based on the danger and flight risk posed by detainees. Officials familiar with the report said the administration is pledging to revise detention standards and will turn to the private sector for ideas, asking for proposals to construct two model facilities. Until now, the Obama administration has been reluctant to revise detention standards, which were updated late in the administration of former President George W. Bush. The immigration detention system expanded dramatically during the Bush years as the government took a much tougher line against illegal immigrants. The moves come in response to criticisms of the system over issues including the quality of medical treatment given to detainees and their inability to access basic services, such as phones to speak with lawyers.

- In President Obama's Washington, medical specialists are slightly more popular than the H1N1 virus. Compared to bread-and-butter primary care doctors, specialists cost more to train and make more use of expensive procedures and technology—and therefore cost the government more money. Even so, the quiet war Democrats are waging on specialists is astonishing.


MarketWatch.com:
- The Reserve Bank of Australia Tuesday surprised by raising its policy rate by a quarter-point to 3.25% in response to stronger-than-expected economic conditions. The increase in the cash rate marks the RBA's first rate increase since March 2008 and makes it the first central bank in a major developed economy to hike rates. Several analysts had expected the RBA to commence rate hikes a few months later. Governor Glenn Stevens wrote in a statement that the "basis for such a low interest rate setting has now passed" and that it was now prudent to "begin gradually lessening the stimulus provided by monetary policy."

- Americans may be wary of the eye-popping figures the federal government paid out in an effort to keep the recession from freefalling into a depression. But in the context of health reform, close to a trillion dollars may not be strong enough medicine over the next decade to extend coverage to the uninsured and make health insurance affordable for people who soon may be required to have it, some experts say. Karen Pollitz, project director of the Georgetown University Health Policy Institute, said she understands a feeling of "trillion-dollar fatigue" in the wake of the financial bail-out and stimulus package aimed at reviving a moribund economy. At the same time, the goals of health reform can't be met with $1 trillion, she said. "All the bills that are on the table are too small. Everybody's kind of in the ball park of a trillion dollars. That's what the Clinton plan cost 15 years ago," she said of the last attempt at comprehensive reform in 1994, when per-person health-care spending was about half of the $7,300 it is today and the U.S. had 38 million uninsured compared with today's 46 million.


CNBC.com:
- Fertilizer maker Mosaic(MOS) posted a 91 percent drop in fiscal first-quarter profit on Monday.


ABCNews:

- Will Wall Street Bet on Your Life? After Dr. Eddie Powell lost both his legs to a hospital infection, he desperately needed financial help to support his practice and three children in medical school. So the 61-year-old did what more and more cash-strapped Baby Boomers are doing these days: He sold his life insurance. "For close to a million dollars of insurance, I got a hundred and some thousand dollars," Powell said. Coventry, a life settlement company, took Powell's policies, bundled them with others and sold them to banks or hedge funds as investments. Since they pay the premium every month, the sooner he dies the more money they will make. And now, Wall Street wants in on the action and the life settlement industry welcomes the potential spike in business. For critics, the move to securitize the life insurance industry harkens back to the early days of the subprime mortgage boom. That crisis began when banks gave loans to people who couldn't afford them, but it got much worse when Wall Street used exotic forms of investments (called collateralized debt obligations) to bet that those loans would go bad. With Wall Street's trillions in play, banks had more incentive to issue more subprime loans. When those loans went bad, the investors got rich but the housing market -- and the entire economy -- nearly collapsed. If Wall Street is allowed to bet on the early death of seniors or the terminally ill, some worry it could not only strain the insurance industry, but also create a market for shady brokers to prey on the sick and elderly while adversely affecting the health policy of the nation. "People who have bets on early death will find themselves lobbying against effective health care," said Michael Greenberger, a University of Maryland law professor and former director with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. "There's no two ways about it, this is an accident waiting to happen in terms of investment…. It's setting up the same wild financial infrastructure that turns out to be nothing more than a casino, unrelated to the underlying transaction." As for Dr. Powell, he says he regrets his decision to sell his life insurance for pennies on the dollar. "I made a stupid mistake," he said. Every few months, a representative from Coventry calls to see if he is still breathing. He plans to keep answering for a long time. "My grandma lived to be 115…you've got a long time before Eddie Powell dies," he said. But if Coventry gets its way, there will soon be plenty of investors on Wall Street hoping, and betting, he is wrong.


Politico:

- Rep. Steven King (R-Iowa), a religious conservative, wants President Obama to dump "school safety czar" Kevin Jennings, claiming the former history teacher promoted "homosexuality" in elementary schools by penning a forward for a book titled [I kid you not] "The Queering of Elementary Education."

- The subject line of the e-mail said, “Heard anything about Rangel?” And the text of the message delivered: “Rumor is that he steps down as w&m chair tonight. It’s been floating around K St today.” That one came from a lobbyist at a prominent Washington firm — about a week before a Republican financial lobbyist called POLITICO to report that Charlie Rangel was “toast” as House Ways and Means Committee chairman, to be replaced at any minute by a more junior Democrat on the panel. A month later, Rangel still has his gavel, and Democratic insiders say that the lobbyist’s rumors — and a new Republican resolution aimed at ousting the chairman — will remain wishful thinking until House Speaker Nancy Pelosi decides that it’s time for Rangel to lose his chairmanship. And that’s not going to happen, they say, unless the House ethics committee, which has been investigating Rangel for more than a year, comes down hard against him.


Atlanta Business Chronicle:

- Atlanta city officials confirmed Monday they have reached an agreement in principle on a new master lease that would keep the world’s largest airline from moving capacity out of the world’s busiest airport. The deal, if approved by the air carrier and Atlanta City Council, would ensure Delta Air Lines Inc.(DAL) keeps its fortress hub intact at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport through at least September 2017. A new lease also is a boost for the massive International Terminal construction project, which has been threatened by the brouhaha between Delta and the city. It could also open the door for other carriers to gain a toehold in Atlanta.


The Business Insider:

- We've highlighted before how the United States Oil ETF (USO) can be hurt rolling its positions when oil is in "contango", ie. when future oil prices are higher than spot or near term prices. Unfortunately for USO, oil contango has been the norm lately despite its opposite, "backwardation", having generally been the case for the oil market in the past.

- Letterman Extortionist Lawyer Fights Back: Dave A “Master At Manipulating Audiences.”


Reuters:

- North Korea is in the final stages of restoring facilities at its Yongbyon nuclear complex, South Korea's Yonhap news agency quoted a government source as saying on Tuesday. "We have obtained indications that point to restoration work being in the final stages," the unnamed South Korean government source was quoted as saying. "The work to restore nuclear facilities at Yongbyon has been ongoing since early this year."

North Korea had walked away from a deal to end its nuclear programme citing what it called U.S. intentions to attack it but its leader Kim Jong-il said this week his country was willing to return to dialogue.

- Fitness-products company NutriSystem Inc (NTRI) said it would start selling its Nutrisystem 14-Day starter weight loss program on Wal-Mart Stores Inc's (WMT) shelves from the first week of October, sending its shares up 22 percent after the bell.

- Hewlett-Packard Co (HPQ) may get acquisitive again despite its recent absence from the technology sector's M&A scene, analysts said, and Brocade Communications Systems Inc (BRCD) may a prime target. Brocade is putting itself up for sale, and HP has looked at the company's assets but has not made a formal bid, sources told Reuters. Brocade and HP declined to comment.
- A tepid economic recovery should allow the U.S. Federal Reserve to keep interest rates at rock-bottom lows for a prolonged period, New York Federal Reserve President William Dudley said on Monday. Because the U.S. economy faces many headwinds, including an anemic labor market and a fragile banking system, Dudley said, inflation will not become a problem in the foreseeable future.


Financial Times:

- Citigroup(C) is moving further away from its 11-year focus on marrying brokerage and banking by outsourcing some investment services offered to US branch customers to outside advisers and shifting up to 550 employees to new roles. The move in Citi’s wealth management business, which manages about $30bn on behalf of customers, underlines the desire by the troubled bank to focus on larger businesses and overhaul its strategy in the low-growth US retail banking market. Under the new plan - which was announced on Monday - Citi will begin referring some wealthy customers who currently deal with 550 brokers based in some of its 1,000-plus branches to independent financial advisers. Under the new strategy, Citi will receive a referral fee for each customer they direct to an independent adviser. Citi will also retrain some of its existing brokers to be part of internal teams of fee-based financial consultants as well as helping customers to choose between internal and external advisers. The changes - to be implemented next year - will have practical implications for Citi’s customers. Financial advisers levy fees based on the assets held by each customer while brokers charge commissions depending on the number and value of trades they execute and products they sell. Citi plans to eliminate all commission-based compensation by 2011.

- Nomura is poised almost to double its headcount in the US in an expansion that highlights the Japanese institution’s ambition to transform itself into one of the top five global investment banks. Nomura’s hiring spree will increase staff in the US to 1,200 by the end of this fiscal year next March, twice the number on its American payroll in January, 2009.


The Independent:

- In the most profound financial change in recent Middle East history, Gulf Arabs are planning – along with China, Russia, Japan and France – to end dollar dealings for oil, moving instead to a basket of currencies including the Japanese yen and Chinese yuan, the euro, gold and a new, unified currency planned for nations in the Gulf Co-operation Council, including Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi, Kuwait and Qatar. Secret meetings have already been held by finance ministers and central bank governors in Russia, China, Japan and Brazil to work on the scheme, which will mean that oil will no longer be priced in dollars. The plans, confirmed to The Independent by both Gulf Arab and Chinese banking sources in Hong Kong, may help to explain the sudden rise in gold prices, but it also augurs an extraordinary transition from dollar markets within nine years.


Globe and Mail:

- BCE Inc.'s Bell Canada and Telus Corp. will begin selling the iPhone next month, breaking the stranglehold on the iconic device that rival Rogers Communications Inc. has held for more than a year. The country's two largest incumbent telecom companies, under pressure to re-ignite growth as new wireless competitors begin operations this year, are banking on Apple Inc.'s ground-breaking smart phone to help them sign up bigger-spending customers and shift the balance of power in Canada's mobile market. Bell announced Monday that it will launch national service in November on the $1-billion next-generation wireless network it has been building with Telus, months ahead of schedule. The project extends the two companies' existing third-generation (3G) networks to include the same technology standard employed by Rogers, the nation's largest cellphone company.


Commercial Times:

- Acer Inc. expects is fourth-quarter consolidated revenue to rise 10% from the third quarter on a recovery in the economy and demand spurred by the Microsoft Corp. Windows 7 Operating System, citing company Chairman J.T. Wang. With rising demand for laptops, there are also component shortages in graphic card chips, flat panels and hard drives, citing Wang.


The Nation:

- Negotiations to finalize an ambitious international climate-change deal have not made any progress at the midway point of a two-week meeting in Bangkok. "Two months to Copenhagen and we are not making any progress in Bangkok," Chinese ambassador Yu Qingtai, who is special representative to the UN's climate-change talks said yesterday.


Late Buy/Sell Recommendations
Citigroup:

- Rated (TIF) Buy, target $50.


Sanford Bernstein:

- Rated (RIMM) Underperform, target $60.


Wells Fargo:

- Rated (MDRX) Outperform.

- Upgraded (DFT) to Outperform.


Night Trading
Asian Indices are unch. to +1.50% on average.

Asia Ex-Japan Inv Grade CDS Index 110.0 -10.50 basis points.
S&P 500 futures +.02%.
NASDAQ 100 futures +.18%.


Morning Preview

BNO Breaking Global News of Note

Google Top Stories

Bloomberg Breaking News

Yahoo Most Popular Biz Stories

MarketWatch News Viewer

Asian Financial News

European Financial News

Latin American Financial News

MarketWatch Pre-market Commentary

U.S. Equity Preview

TradeTheNews Morning Report

Briefing.com In Play

SeekingAlpha Market Currents

Briefing.com Bond Ticker

US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Stock Quote/Chart
WSJ Intl Markets Performance
Commodity Futures
IBD New America
Economic Preview/Calendar
Earnings Calendar

Conference Calendar

Who’s Speaking?
Upgrades/Downgrades

Politico Headlines
Rasmussen Reports Polling


Earnings of Note
Company/EPS Estimate
- (PBG)/1.07

- (CHTT)/1.21

- (YUM)/.58


Economic Releases

- None of note


Upcoming Splits
- None of note


Other Potential Market Movers
-
The Fed’s Hoenig speaking, Treasury’s 3-year Note Auction, weekly retail sales reports, William Blair Emerging Growth Stock Conference, ABC Consumer Confidence reading, (RHT) analyst meeting, (VQ) analyst day, (IRM) investor day, JMP Securities Healthcare Conference, (OKE) investor conference, Deutsche Bank Energy Conference and the Johnson Rice Energy Conference could also impact trading today.


BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and commodity shares in the region. I expect US equities to open modestly mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.