Weekly Scoreboard*

 

S&P 500 7,423.0 +.6%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

• DJIA 51,195.9 +.8%

• NASDAQ 25,846.7 +.7%

• Russell 2000 2,948.1 +4.1%

• NYSE FANG+ 16,918.7 -.5%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 312.4 +2.5%
• Vaneck Social Sentiment 36.89 +.1%

• Wilshire 5000 73,679.7 +.9%

• Russell 1000 Growth 4,890.4 -1.0%

• Russell 1000 Value 2,378.5 +2.6%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 953.1 +2.4%

• Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 256.5 -.2%
  

• NYSE Technology 9,750.9 +4.9%

• Transports 22,618.2 +3.1%

• Utilities 1,115.2 +.4%

• MSCI Europe Banks 116.7 -1.5%
  

• MSCI Emerging Markets 68.2 +6.3%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 261.5 -.6%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 134.3 -.01%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 617,173 -.2%
• Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 15.6 +95.9%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 113 -281

• Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -17.8 unch.

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 155,874 -3.2%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,025,180 +1.1%

• Total Put/Call .80 -17.7%

• OEX Put/Call .26 -40.3%

• ISE Sentiment 179.0 +3.5%

• NYSE Arms 1.43 +90.5%
  
• Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 121.2 +.1%
• Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .96 -26.0 basis points
• Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.18 -27.0 basis points

• Volatility(VIX) 18.2 -15.1%
• S&P 500 Intraday % Swing 1.27 +5.6%

• CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 10.7 -12.5%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.38 -.31%

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.86 -3.1%

• Smart Money Flow Index 20,800.9 -2.9%
• NAAIM Exposure Index  79.3 -7.5

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.873 Trillion -.3%

• ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$9.571 Million

• AAII % Bulls 30.4 -16.3%

• AAII % Bears 47.7 +28.9%
• CNN Fear & Greed Index 34.0 (Moved to FEAR from NEUTRAL) -14.0

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 368.9 -3.7%

• Crude Oil 84.5/bbl. -6.4%

• Reformulated Gasoline 304.5 -.02%

• Natural Gas 3.11 -3.0%
• US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 75.8 USD/Megawatt +1.9% 
• Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 46.52 euros/megawatt-hour -5.0%
  

• Heating Oil 339.91 -5.9% 
• Newcastle Coal 143.0 (1,000/metric ton) -2.7%

• Gold 4,214.1 -2.4%
• Silver 67.90 +.4%
  

• Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 182.7 +.12%

• Copper 647.8 +3.1%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 402.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.3%

• China Iron Ore Spot 101.60 USD/Metric Tonne +1.2%
• China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 24,600.0 USD/metric tonne -6.3%
• Silicon Data LLM Token Expenditure Index 1.75(price per million tokens) -10.6% 
• inSpectrum Tech Inc. DRAM Spot DDR4 16Gb 2048Mx8 62.99 +1.6%  

• CME Lumber 624.5 +2.6%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,335.4 -.7%
• US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 342.50 USD/Short Ton unch.
• US Gulf NOLA Urea Granular Spot 386.0 USD/Short Ton -14.9% 

Economy

• Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +3.3% +.3 percentage point

• US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 14.4 -.3 percentage point

• NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.90 -9.9%
• Caldara Iacoviello Geopolitical Risk Index 198.3 -6.2% 
• Global Monitor Iran Instability Index 64.0 -20.0
• Strait of Hormuz Oil Tanker Traffic Curtailed 81.0% -9.0 percentage points

• US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 220.4 -38.7%
• Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index .5 -.6
• DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
• S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(498 of 500 reporting) +27.9% -.1 percentage point

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 364.38 +1.69:  Growth Rate +23.9% +.6 percentage point, P/E 20.3 -.6
• S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 15.47% unch.
• NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(10 of 10 reporting) +66.6% unch.
• NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 911.07 +14.23: Growth Rate +75.7% +2.8 percentage points, P/E 18.7 -1.3

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index 57.0 -6.2 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -41.9 +7.4 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 46.60 +6.7 points

• Fed Fund Futures imply 1.4%(-1.4 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 98.6%(+1.4 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 6/17

• US Dollar Index 99.73 -.4%

• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,858.7 -.05%
  

• Bitcoin/USD 63,646.2 +3.2%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 211.8 +.5%
• Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.49 -.43%

• Yield Curve(2s/10s) 40.0 +2.25 basis points

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.48% -6.0 basis points
• Japan 30-Year Yield 3.81% -9.0 basis points

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.678 Trillion +.2%
• Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $6.035 Billion -4.6%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 42.0 -.9%
  

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 184.9 +1.4%
  

• Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 73.0 -3.0 basis points
• UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 18.3 -4.1%

• China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.8 -1.8%
  

• Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 125.5 +.8%
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 49.0 -11.9%
• Dubai Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 71.9 -6.8%

• South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 22.5 -2.1%

• China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.21 +.33%
• China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 119.02 -.4%
  

• Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.3% -30.0 basis points
• Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +1.7% unch.
• US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.1% -10.0 basis points
• CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.5% +30.0 basis points
• Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.30% -3.0 basis points: CPI YoY +4.05% -13.0 basis points
• 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.28 -36.0 basis points
• 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.32 -5.0 basis points

• Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 11.75 +.25 basis point
• 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -14.0 +.25 basis point

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.0 -.25

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 50.56 -3.6% 
• BofA Private Credit Proxy Index 71.54 +.9%

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 152.0 -.7%
• High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 441.0 +1.2% 
• Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 228.0 -21.0

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 54.9 -2.3%

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 144.6 -4.8%
  

• MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 110.0 -1.0 basis point
• Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 552.0 +2.0 basis points
• Avg. Auto ABS OAS .47 unch.

• M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.7% unch.

• Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,413.1B +.8%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 219,000 +2.0%

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
• Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 56.3 +6.9%

• Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.57% -3.0 basis points

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 280,100 +10.8%

• Weekly Retail Sales +9.1% +20.0 basis points
• OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +8.0% -5.0 percentage points
• Box Office Weekly Gross $268.8M -1.3%

• Nationwide Gas $4.11/gallon -.11/gallon

• Baltic Dry Index 2,729.0 -8.5%
• Drewry World Container Freight Index $3,549.3/40 ft Box +3.4%
  

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,480.1 +4.9%

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 210.0 unch.
• Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 161.4 +3.8%

• Rail Freight Carloads 293,728 +11.1%
• TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,809,243 +19.1% 
• US Morning Consult Daily Consume Sentiment Index 89.6 -3.0 points
• Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 41.0% unch.

Best Performing Style

• Large-Cap Growth -1.0%

Worst Performing Style

• Small-Cap Value +4.2%

Leading Sectors

• Semis +10.1%

• AI/Innovation +8.1%
• Airlines +7.2%

• Retail +6.4%
  

• Gambling +5.8%
  

Lagging Sectors

• Coal -2.2%

• Internet -2.7%
  

• Drone Tech -3.8%

• Computer Services -4.5%
  

• Software -5.5%
  

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (58)

• TBN, ELVN, ALMS, ALOY, CIFR, ARM, WBI, AKTS, ALB, ZBIO, ROKU, AIP, SVM, DNTH, ASYS, TENX, AYA, CRWV, RMIX, MOS, ODD, VECO, INTC, ERO, INTC, IREN, ONTO, NGL, WDS, FWRD, NOK, FA, CDNL, SCI, MIAX, BIRK, PRE, CMCO, KRUS, MATW, IESC, NESR, AEM, CBRL, ATEX, ACMR, AEO, WTS, BRUN, HTFL, CMG, DB and FRO

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (21)

• DRUG, PTC, UNF, ADSK, GEL, SPXC, MH, SMCI, TRLV, RKLB, ADBE, SHAZ, RDW, NAVN, LUNR, SATS, ASTS, VOYG, FLY and DXYZ

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change