Portfolio Manager's Commentary on Investing and Trading in the U.S. Financial Markets
Thursday, January 22, 2009
Links of Interest
Market Performance Summary
Style Performance
Sector Performance
WSJ Data Center
Top 20 Biz Stories
IBD Breaking News
Movers & Shakers
Upgrades/Downgrades
In Play
Exchange Volume vs. Average
NYSE Unusual Volume
NASDAQ Unusual Volume
Hot Spots
Option Dragon
NASDAQ 100 Heatmap
DJIA Quick Charts
Chart Toppers
Real-Time Intraday Quote/Chart
Dow Jones Hedge Fund Indexes
Wednesday, January 21, 2009
Thursday Watch
Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:
- The Markit iTraxx
- Container-shipping lines are about to receive a surge of new vessels just as world trade heads for its first decline since 1982. Ships with a combined capacity of 3.9 million cargo-boxes are due for delivery by the end of 2010, a third more than in the past two years, according to AXS-Alphaliner data. Meanwhile, AP Moeller-Maersk A/S, Neptune Orient Lines Ltd. and other shippers are cutting trips and slashing rates on waning demand. The glut stems from optimism in 2007, when record global trade and booming Chinese exports sparked orders for ships, which typically take two or three years to be delivered.
Wall Street Journal:
NY Times:
BusinessWeek:
- The Best Cities for Tech Jobs.
Forbes:
- 10 Things We’re Still Buying.
Politico:
- 10 Dems Obama should watch out for.
All Things Digital:
Reuters:
Late Buy/Sell Recommendations
RBC Capital:
- Rated (ELN) Underperform, target $4.
Night Trading
Asian Indices are +.50% to +1.50% on average.
S&P 500 futures +.51%.
NASDAQ 100 futures +1.50%.
Morning Preview
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Commentary
Pre-market Stock Quote/Chart
Before the Bell CNBC Video(bottom right)
Global Commentary
WSJ Intl Markets Performance
Commodity Movers
Top 25 Stories
Top 20 Business Stories
Today in IBD
In Play
Bond Ticker
Economic Preview/Calendar
Daily Stock Events
Upgrades/Downgrades
Rasmussen Business/Economy Polling
Earnings of Note
Company/EPS Estimate
- (LUV)/.05
- (UNP)/1.24
- (BBT)/.51
- (BAX)/.89
- (CMA)/.30
- (SHW)/.53
- (ED)/.69
- (LMT)/1.91
- (UNH)/.78
- (KEY)/.04
- (IGT)/.27
- (MTB)/1.16
- (ESI)/1.42
- (STI)/.03
- (ABC)/.69
- (EXC)/1.03
- (FITB)/.00
- (IBKR)/.53
- (COF)/.29
- (AMD)/-.55
- (WFR)/.61
- (FII)/.50
- (GOOG)/4.96
- (ISRG)/1.27
- (MSFT)/.49
- (AVT)/.66
- (EAT)/.19
- (MSCC)/.35
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
- Housing Starts for December are estimated to fall to 605K versus 625K in November.
- Building Permits for December are estimated to fall to 600K versus 615K in November.
- Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to rise to 543K versus 524K the prior week.
10:00 am EST
- The House Price Index for November is estimated to fall 1.2% versus a 1.1% decline in October.
11:00 am EST
- Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory build of +1,400,000 barrels versus a +1,144,000 barrel build the prior week. Gasoline supplies are expected to rise by +1,800,000 barrels versus a +2,068,000 barrel gain the prior week. Distillate supplies are estimated to rise by +500,000 barrels versus a +6,346,000 barrel increase the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to fall by -.5% versus a .66% rise the prior week.
Upcoming Splits
- None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
- The weekly MBA mortgage applications report, (JBL) Shareholders Meeting, (NAV) Analyst Meeting, (MOH) Investor Day, (DRI) Analyst Meeting, (APD) Shareholders Meeting and Bank of America REIT Summit could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are higher, boosted by financial and technology stocks in the region. I expect US equities to open modestly higher and to strengthen into the afternoon, finishing higher. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.
Stocks Finish at Session Highs, Boosted by Financial, REIT, Technology and Energy Shares
Market Summary
Top 20 Biz Stories
Today’s Movers
Market Performance Summary
WSJ Data Center
Sector Performance
ETF Performance
Style Performance
Commodity Movers
Market Wrap CNBC Video(bottom right)
S&P 500 Gallery View
Timely Economic Charts
GuruFocus.com
PM Market Call
After-hours Commentary
After-hours Movers
After-hours Real-Time Stock Bid/Ask
After-hours Stock Quote
After-hours Stock Chart
In Play
Stocks Soaring into Final Hour on Less Economic Pessimism, Declining Financial Sector Pessimism, Short-Covering
Today's Headlines
Bloomberg:
- China’s economy faces an “extremely sharp” slowdown this year that will trail most economists’ growth forecasts, according to Balestra Capital’s Ryan Atkinson. Declining electricity output and tumbling exports are two signals China’s economic growth may slow to as low as 2% in 2009, said Atkinson, chief market analy6st at the NY-based hedge-fund manager. That compares with the 7.9% expansion forecast by economists in a Bloomberg survey.
NY Times:
- Police Departments Look for More Fuel-Cutting Cars.
Finextra.com:
Morningstar:
Journal Register:
Boston Globe:
Crain’s NY Business:
Miami Herald:
Silicon Alley Insider:
- Apple(AAPL) Earnings Preview: How Are Sales? How Is Steve?
Bear Radar
Style Underperformer:
Mid-cap Value (+.46%)
Sector Underperformers:
Airlines (-6.76%), Homebuilders (-3.58%) and Semis (-2.04%)
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:
USB, NXY, WFR, TYC, HBHC, SYNT, FCFS, EZPW, UAUA, MELI, CSH, BLK, AF, COH and COF
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
1) USB 2) UAUA 3) SHW 4) NTRS 5) AMR