BOTTOM LINE: The Portfolio is higher into the final hour on gains in my Financial longs, Biotech longs, Medical longs and Technology longs. I have not traded today, thus leaving the Portfolio 100% net long. The tone of the market is positive as the advance/decline line is higher, most sectors are rising and volume is slightly above average. Investor anxiety is high. Today’s overall market action is bullish. The VIX is falling -1.46% and is around average at 17.59. The ISE Sentiment Index is around average at 140.0 and the total put/call is below average at .75. Finally, the NYSE Arms has been running around average most of the day, hitting 1.12 at its intraday peak, and is currently 1.03. The Euro Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index is falling -1.10% to 58.48 basis points. This index is down from its record March 10th high of 208.75. The North American Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index is rising +.88% to 81.29 basis points. This index is also well below its Dec. 5th record high of 285.99. The TED spread is unch. at 21 basis points. The TED spread is now down 442 basis points since its all-time high of 463 basis points on October 10th, 2008. The 2-year swap spread is falling -1.44% to 25.68 basis points. The Libor-OIS spread is unch. at 11 basis points. The 10-year TIPS spread, a good gauge of inflation expectations, is down -2 basis points to 2.35%, which is down -30 basis points since July 7th, 2008. The 3-month T-Bill is yielding .05%, which is up +1 basis point today. Small-cap shares are outperforming again today.A number of market leaders are outperforming, as well. Gaming, HMO, Drug, Bank, Computer Service, Software and Oil Service shares are especially strong, rising 1.0%+. (XLF) has improved throughout the day and is now outperforming despite bank tax worries.(INTC), which had been in a trading range for over 4 months, is breaking to a new 52-week high today on volume ahead of tonight’s earnings release.Oil tanker rates have risen another +11.5% and are up 45.0% over the last 5 days.On the negative side, the Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index is surging 8.5% today to a new 52-week high.As well, semis are underperforming today, despite Intel’s move higher.This year has been very good for stockpicking, so far.I continue to see numerous stocks breaking meaningfully higher on volume and massively outperforming the major averages.Nikkei futures indicate a +43 open in Japan and DAX futures indicate an +16 open in Germany tomorrow. I expect US stocks to trade modestly higher into the close from current levels on short-covering, technical buying, diminishing financial sector pessimism, lower long-term rates and declining energy prices.
- For Google Inc.(GOOG) users in China, the big question isn't whether the Internet giant retreats from China, but if Beijing retaliates by blocking Google's international search site. If Beijing decides to put the site on the other side of the "Great Firewall," as the country's system of Internet controls is informally known, college student Shi Yuchen has a workaround already planned. She'll simply fanqiang, or "scale the wall."
- President Obama will propose fees of 15 basis points (.15) on so-called high-risk transactions of big banks and financial institutions who derive profits from trades in derivatives and other complex financial instruments. A senior administration official said Obama's proposal is designed to take affect June 30 and run for at least ten years, longer if the fees do not cover unpaid sums from the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP).Obama will call the new levy the "financial crisis responsibility fee." The administration, through current Treasury Department accounting, estimates TARP is running a deficit $117 billion. Officials said that amount may shrink by billions and, even if the new transaction fees recoup all of the TARP-derived deficit, the administration intends to keep them on the books as a means to reduce the deficit and punish big-dollar firms. Significantly, the administration will exempt GM, Chrsyler, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac from the fees even though most of the current TARP deficit is linked to taxpayer bailouts of these firms.
- Soros Fund Management LLC, owned by billionaire investor George Soros, appealed a decision by a Hungarian court upholding a fine for manipulating the share price of OTP Bank Nyrt. Hungary’s financial regulator, known as PSZAF, imposed a fine of $2.7 million in March for manipulating the share price of Hungary’s largest lender on Oct. 9, 2008, triggering an intraday drop in the stock of over 20%.
Emirates Business 24/7: - The UAE plans to spend billions of dollars in Iraq, making it the biggest investor in the oil rich country, citing Iraq’s Minister of State for National Security, Shirwan Al-Waili.