Friday, January 15, 2016

Morning Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Stocks Substantially Higher into Afternoon on Oil Bounce, Yen Weakness, Bargain-Hunting, Biotech/Energy Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Heavy
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 24.13 -4.32%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 134.08 +.26%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.75 +1.21%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.55 -3.98%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 72.0 -4.0%
  • Total Put/Call 1.09 -8.4%
  • NYSE Arms .58 -51.03% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 104.71 +2.76%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,764.0 +2.1%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 83.77 +3.61%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 17.82 +1.63%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 78.22 +1.96%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 384.14 +1.04%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 122.83 +.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 7.35 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 40.5 -1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.0 -1.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.69 +.01%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .24% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 120.0 +4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $40.22/Metric Tonne +1.80%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -26.3 -1.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 20.50 -2.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.80 -.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.47% +2.0 basis points
  • 33.1% chance of Fed rate hike at March 16 meeting, 40.5% chance at April 27 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +240 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -214 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +59 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
  • Mid-Cap Growth +.1%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Coal -6.5% 2) Gold & Silver -4.3% 3) Homebuilding -1.2%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:
  • WBMD, TSEM, MBLY, TMH, BMRN, GPRO, ZBIO, EXR, BBY, DLPH, CUK, NHTC, AZPN, YELP, CPTA, MAIN, BC, AVGR, CAR, SRPT, UBNT, FUN, NVDQ, AHGP, AMBA, AXL, CG, PMT, HRTX, LEA, XPO, EXP, CST, BWA, KCG, KKD, UBNT, RH, MUSA, Z and TMH
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) Z 2) RH 3) BBY 4) XBI 5) KRE
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) YELP 2) GPRO 3) FCAU 4) BBY 5) AMBA
Charts:

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
  • Large-Cap Value +1.1%
Sector Outperformers: 
  • 1) Energy +3.0% 2) Biotech +2.5% 3) Drugs +1.7%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume: 
  • TREE, INFY, WMB, NBIX, RIO, MTDR and DYN
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity: 
  • 1) TMUS 2) KKR 3) HTZ 4) MCD 5) GNC
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions: 
  • 1) VRTX 2) TREE 3) CMG 4) TGNA 5) FANG
Charts: 

Morning Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

Stocks Reversing Substantially Lower into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Rising Eurozone/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Oil Decline, Road & Rail/Biotech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 25.50 +12.91%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 133.93 +.33%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.51 -4.08%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.03 +4.56%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 73.0 -18.89%
  • Total Put/Call 1.09 +6.86%
  • NYSE Arms 1.13 +19.31% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 102.53 +4.21%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,717.0 -.26%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 80.86 -.29%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 17.54 -2.01%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 75.80 -.80%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 384.93 +1.81%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 122.82 -.41%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 7.5 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 41.75 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.25 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.70 +.36%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .22% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 116.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $39.51/Metric Tonne -4.08%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -24.7 -.6 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 22.70 -.7 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.50 +5.9 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.45% -1.0 basis point
  • 36.8% chance of Fed rate hike at March 16 meeting, 42.6% chance at April 27 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -456 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -285 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -182 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long