Friday, February 20, 2026

Weekly Scoreboard*


S&P 500 6,902.2 +1.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

  • DJIA 49,590.0 +.3%
  • NASDAQ 22,871.2 +1.3%
  • Russell 2000 2,654.7 +1.5%
  • NYSE FANG+ 14,425.8 +1.2%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 251.1 +1.2%
  • Vaneck Social Sentiment 30.3 +1.4%
  • Wilshire 5000 68,358.3 +1.2%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 4,559.1 +1.0%
  • Russell 1000 Value 2,209.4 +1.1%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 976.1 -2.2%
  • Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 252.2 +2.3%
  • NYSE Technology 7,095.8 +1.7%
  • Transports 19,802.3 +4.1%
  • Utilities 1,161.6 +1.8%
  • MSCI Europe Banks 118.7 +3.5%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 62.3 +3.5%
  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 255.1 +.5%
  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 133.4 +1.5%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 607,887 +.5%
  • Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 10.0 +1.7%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 193 -780
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -15.5 -5.2%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 117,814 -5.4%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,070,538 -.99%
  • Total Put/Call .92 -3.4%
  • OEX Put/Call .79 -6.5%
  • ISE Sentiment 103.0 -6.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.31 +4.2%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 100.6 +.8%
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .58 +12.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.49 -13.0 basis points
  • Volatility(VIX) 19.1 -6.0%
  • S&P 500 Intraday % Swing 1.08 -16.4%
  • CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 15.2 -.6%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.7 -3.0%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.9 unch.
  • Smart Money Flow Index 19,850.1 -1.1%
  • NAAIM Exposure Index  82.9 +2.3
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.791 Trillion +.2%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$3.993 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 34.5 -10.4%
  • AAII % Bears 36.9 -3.2%
  • CNN Fear & Greed Index 42.0 (FEAR) +1.0
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 309.1 -.1%
  • Crude Oil 66.4/bbl. +5.6%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 199.9 +5.0%
  • Natural Gas 3.04 -2.8%
  • US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 69.9 USD/Megawatt -.2% 
  • Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 32.0 euros/megawatt-hour -1.0%
  • Heating Oil 257.9 +9.5% 
  • Newcastle Coal 121.8 (1,000/metric ton) +1.9%
  • Gold 5,074.5 +.5%
  • Silver 83.2 +6.3%
  • Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 169.0 +.3%
  • Copper 586.2 +1.1%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 378.0 USD/Metric Tonne +1.1%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 95.8 USD/Metric Tonne -1.1%
  • China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 21,275.0 USD/metric tonne -4.7%
  • CME Lumber 569.0 -4.9%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,294.5 -.04%
  • US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 300.0 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +3.1% -.6 percentage point
  • US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 30.8 -.9 percentage point
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.6 +6.2%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 707.0 +91.7%
  • Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 1.4 +.2
  • DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
  • S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(425 of 500 reporting) +12.4% +.2 percentage point
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 319.66 +1.18:  Growth Rate +18.7% +.4 percentage point, P/E 21.5 unch.
  • S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.46% unch.
  • NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(7 of 10 reporting) +19.1% unch.
  • NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 505.97 +2.59: Growth Rate +23.1% +.6 percentage point, P/E 28.4 unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 25.7 -9.9 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 32.4 +5.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 30.70 +2.8 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 4.0%(-5.2 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 96.0%(+5.2 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 3/18/26
  • US Dollar Index 97.8 +.9%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,871.2 -.01%
  • Bitcoin/USD 67,809 -1.9%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 207.8 +.8%
  • Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.90 -1.1%
  • Yield Curve(2s/10s) 60.25 -3.75 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.08% +3.0 basis points
  • Japan 30-Year Yield 3.34% -12.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.566 Trillion -.14%
  • Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $4.658 Billion +.93%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 33.6 -1.2%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 179.7 -.8%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 60.0 unch.
  • UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 16.0 -1.2%
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 43.0 -.5%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 126.6 -1.2%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 74.4 +6.2%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 22.6 +1.1%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.8 +.3%
  • China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 120.0 +.3%
  • Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.7% unch.
  • Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +1.9% -30.0 basis points
  • US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.9% unch.
  • CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +2.8% unch.
  • Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.84% unch.: CPI YoY +2.39% +1.0 basis point
  • 1-Year TIPS Spread 3.55 +19.0 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.29 unch.
  • Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 3.5 +.5 basis point
  • 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -18.25 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 2.5 unch.
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 51.6 -.6%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 106.0 -3.7%
  • High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 510.75 -3.3% 
  • Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 212.0 -34.0 
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 54.4 -1.2%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 127.2 +.6%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 103.0 unch.
  • Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 582.0 -9.0 basis points
  • Avg. Auto ABS OAS .50 +1.0 basis point
  • M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.6% unch.
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,404.2B -1.8%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 219,000 -.5%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
  • Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 56.3 +.8%
  • Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.20% +1.0 basis point
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 339,000 +2.8%
  • Weekly Retail Sales +6.8% +.3 percentage point
  • OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +15.0% unch.
  • Box Office Weekly Gross $81.7M -25.0%
  • Nationwide Gas $2.93/gallon -.01/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 2,019.0 -3.1%
  • Drewry World Container Freight Index $1,918.7/40 ft Box -.7%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,088.1 -3.0%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 85.0 +13.3%
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 105.7 -6.3%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 285,116 +2.4%
  • TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,766,705 +33.4% 
  • Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 47.0% +1.0 percentage point
Best Performing Style
  • Mid-Cap Growth +2.5%
Worst Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Value +.9%
Leading Sectors
  • Shipping +8.1%
  • Gold & Silver +6.7%
  • Defense +4.9%
  • Digital Health +4.9%
  • Computer Hardware +4.0%
Lagging Sectors
  • Airlines -1.6%
  • Computer Services -1.7%
  • Video Gaming -1.9%
  • Coal -3.1%
  • Gambling -3.8%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (61)
  • TNDM, RNG, AXTI, LGN, FIVN, PRGS, OIS, SYRE, AAOI, FSM, CELH, SII, TTMI, FN, SCZM, SEDG, BAND, GLW, AU, COHR, LITE, ATEX, THRM, AEHR, ETSY, PAY, STRL, AG, PRDO, GOOD, TPL, FSLY, LYV, ECO, XP, GOOG, PDD, CTO, HLIT, FIX, EBAY, ZETA, ODD, AERO, BWLP, APP, EVER, NICE, VIAV, ST, INSM, MKSI, OMCL, SHOP, PRAX, GCO, SNDK, ICHR, CCSI and JBL
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (43)
  • BWA, GTX, BX, OTF, TEAM, TDS, BBIO, CPRT, FNF, CVI, HLNE, OWL, BRC, RBLX, ONTO, STEP, SEM, WKC, KYIV, HHH, JACK, EGO, LMND, AMG, LMND, PLSE, FIGR, OLED, AKAM, CXW, LPTH, MATV, CRWV, HRMY, GEO, MTUS, CC, DNOW, CCOI and GRAL
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change



Stocks Higher into Afternoon on Less Global Tariff Uncertainty, US Economic Data, Technical Buying, Tech/Transport Sector Strength

Overseas Futures:

  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +260 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +134 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -9 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/industrial/transport/consumer discretionary sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

Monday's Earnings/Economic Releases of Note; Market Movers

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 

Before the Open:
  • (DPZ)/5.38
  • (FRPT)/.39 
  • (D)/.67
  • (BCC)/.12 
After the Close: 
  • (BBBY)/-.44
  • (BWXT)/.89
  • (FANG)/2.00
  • (FWRD)/-.26
  • (HIMS)/.04
  • (KEYS)/2.00
  • (KTOS)/.16
  • (MYGN)/-.01
  • (ZD)/2.70 
Economic Release 

8:30 am EST

  • The Chicago Fed National Activity Index for Jan. 

10:00 am EST

  • Factory Orders for Dec. is estimated to . 

Upcoming Splits

  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Waller speaking, Wolfe Research Software Conference, Barclays Communications/Content Symposium, (HUM) investor meeting and the BMO Metals/Mining/Critical Minerals Conference could also impact global trading on Monday.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST

Thursday, February 19, 2026

Friday Watch

Around X:

  • @Business  
  • @ZeroHedge
  • @CNBC
  • @EmeraldRobinson
  • All of America's corporate media outlets are controlled by our intelligence agencies. That's why those media outlets AVOID the Epstein files while focusing so much coverage on the Nancy Guthrie story. Their entire job is to distract you from the truth.
  • @MarioNawful
  • @BGatesIsaPsycho
  • @TheSCIF
  • Nevada's 2020 election fraud exposed by a surge in mail-in ballots from 6.3k in 2016 to over 690k in 2020, using the pandemic to adopt a universal mail-in voting system, removing registration restrictions, with over 40k voting 2x, 20k+ having no address, 2.4k out-of-state address, 1.5k dead voters, and 4k+ votes cast by non-citizens. (video)
  • @MJTruthUltra
  • @LaurenLee
  • @TonySeruga
  • @KellyLMcCarty
  • @nicksortor
  • @HighWireTalk
  • @KillAuDeepState
  • @KamVTV
  • @EndTribalism
  • @merlinscapital
  • @MikeBenzCyber
  • @OcrazioCornPop
  • @WallStreetApes
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.75% to +.25% on average. 
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 66.25 -.75 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 43.25 -.5 basis point.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 95.2 USD/Metric Tonne -.4%. 
  • Gold 5,009.4 USD/t oz. +.23%. 
  • Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.90 -.06%.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 36.12 -.1%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 99.1 -1.5%.
  • US 10-Year Yield 4.07% unch.
  • Japan 30-Year Yield 3.30% -5.0 basis points. 
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 20.8 +.2%.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures +.33%. 
  • S&P 500 futures +.14%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.13%.
Morning Preview Links

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by consumer and financial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower.  The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.