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| S&P 500 6,902.2 +1.0% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 49,590.0 +.3%
- NASDAQ 22,871.2 +1.3%
- Russell 2000 2,654.7 +1.5%
- NYSE FANG+ 14,425.8 +1.2%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 251.1 +1.2%
- Vaneck Social Sentiment 30.3 +1.4%
- Wilshire 5000 68,358.3 +1.2%
- Russell 1000 Growth 4,559.1 +1.0%
- Russell 1000 Value 2,209.4 +1.1%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 976.1 -2.2%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 252.2 +2.3%
- NYSE Technology 7,095.8 +1.7%
- Transports 19,802.3 +4.1%
- Utilities 1,161.6 +1.8%
- MSCI Europe Banks 118.7 +3.5%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 62.3 +3.5%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 255.1 +.5%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 133.4 +1.5%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 607,887 +.5%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 10.0 +1.7%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 193 -780
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -15.5 -5.2%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 117,814 -5.4%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,070,538 -.99%
- Total Put/Call .92 -3.4%
- OEX Put/Call .79 -6.5%
- ISE Sentiment 103.0 -6.0%
- NYSE Arms 1.31 +4.2%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 100.6 +.8%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .58 +12.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.49 -13.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 19.1 -6.0%
- S&P 500 Intraday % Swing 1.08 -16.4%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 15.2 -.6%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.7 -3.0%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.9 unch.
- Smart Money Flow Index 19,850.1 -1.1%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 82.9 +2.3
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.791 Trillion +.2%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$3.993 Million
- AAII % Bulls 34.5 -10.4%
- AAII % Bears 36.9 -3.2%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 42.0 (FEAR) +1.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 309.1 -.1%
- Crude Oil 66.4/bbl. +5.6%
- Reformulated Gasoline 199.9 +5.0%
- Natural Gas 3.04 -2.8%
- US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 69.9 USD/Megawatt -.2%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 32.0 euros/megawatt-hour -1.0%
- Heating Oil 257.9 +9.5%
- Newcastle Coal 121.8 (1,000/metric ton) +1.9%
- Gold 5,074.5 +.5%
- Silver 83.2 +6.3%
- Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 169.0 +.3%
- Copper 586.2 +1.1%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 378.0 USD/Metric Tonne +1.1%
- China Iron Ore Spot 95.8 USD/Metric Tonne -1.1
% China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 21,275.0 USD/metric tonne -4.7%
- CME Lumber 569.0 -4.9%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,294.5 -.04%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 300.0 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +3.1% -.6 percentage point
- US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 30.8 -.9 percentage point
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.6 +6.2%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 707.0 +91.7%
- Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 1.4 +.2
- DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(425 of 500 reporting) +12.4% +.2 percentage point
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 319.66 +1.18: Growth Rate +18.7% +.4 percentage point, P/E 21.5 unch.
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.46% unch.
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(7 of 10 reporting) +19.1% unch.
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 505.97 +2.59: Growth Rate +23.1% +.6 percentage point, P/E 28.4 unch.
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 25.7 -9.9 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 32.4 +5.5 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 30.70 +2.8 points
- Fed Fund Futures imply 4.0%(-5.2 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 96.0%(+5.2 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 3/18/26
- US Dollar Index 97.8 +.9%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,871.2 -.01%
- Bitcoin/USD 67,809 -1.9%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 207.8 +.8%
- Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.90 -1.1%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) 60.25 -3.75 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.08% +3.0 basis points
- Japan 30-Year Yield 3.34% -12.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.566 Trillion -.14%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $4.658 Billion +.93%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 33.6 -1.2%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 179.7 -.8%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 60.0 unch.
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 16.0 -1.2%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 43.0 -.5%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 126.6 -1.2%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 74.4 +6.2%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 22.6 +1.1%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.8 +.3%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 120.0 +.3%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.7% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +1.9% -30.0 basis points
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.9% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +2.8% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.84% unch.: CPI YoY +2.39% +1.0 basis point
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 3.55 +19.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.29 unch.
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 3.5 +.5 basis point
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -18.25 -1.0 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 2.5 unch.
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 51.6 -.6%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 106.0 -3.7%
- High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 510.75 -3.3%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 212.0 -34.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 54.4 -1.2%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 127.2 +.6%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 103.0 unch.
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 582.0 -9.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .50 +1.0 basis point
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.6% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,404.2B -1.8%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 219,000 -.5%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 56.3 +.8%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.20% +1.0 basis point
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 339,000 +2.8%
- Weekly Retail Sales +6.8% +.3 percentage point
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +15.0% unch.
- Box Office Weekly Gross $81.7M -25.0%
- Nationwide Gas $2.93/gallon -.01/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 2,019.0 -3.1%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $1,918.7/40 ft Box -.7%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,088.1 -3.0%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 85.0 +13.3%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 105.7 -6.3%
- Rail Freight Carloads 285,116 +2.4%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,766,705 +33.4%
- Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 47.0% +1.0 percentage point
Best Performing Style
- Mid-Cap Growth +2.5%
Worst Performing Style
- Large-Cap Value +.9%
Leading Sectors
- Shipping +8.1%
- Gold & Silver +6.7%
- Defense +4.9%
- Digital Health +4.9%
- Computer Hardware +4.0%
Lagging Sectors
- Airlines -1.6%
- Computer Services -1.7%
- Video Gaming -1.9%
- Coal -3.1%
- Gambling -3.8%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (61)
- TNDM, RNG, AXTI, LGN, FIVN, PRGS, OIS, SYRE, AAOI, FSM, CELH, SII, TTMI, FN, SCZM, SEDG, BAND, GLW, AU, COHR, LITE, ATEX, THRM, AEHR, ETSY, PAY, STRL, AG, PRDO, GOOD, TPL, FSLY, LYV, ECO, XP, GOOG, PDD, CTO, HLIT, FIX, EBAY, ZETA, ODD, AERO, BWLP, APP, EVER, NICE, VIAV, ST, INSM, MKSI, OMCL, SHOP, PRAX, GCO, SNDK, ICHR, CCSI and JBL
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (43)
- BWA, GTX, BX, OTF, TEAM, TDS, BBIO, CPRT, FNF, CVI, HLNE, OWL, BRC, RBLX, ONTO, STEP, SEM, WKC, KYIV, HHH, JACK, EGO, LMND, AMG, LMND, PLSE, FIGR, OLED, AKAM, CXW, LPTH, MATV, CRWV, HRMY, GEO, MTUS, CC, DNOW, CCOI and GRAL
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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