Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 6,848.8 -.9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

• DJIA 48,845.7 -1.7%

• NASDAQ 22,603.7 -1.3%

• Russell 2000 2,617.5 -1.8%

• NYSE FANG+ 14,353.3 -.6%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 249.4 -.8%
• Vaneck Social Sentiment 30.3 -.4%

• Wilshire 5000 67,800.1 -.9%

• Russell 1000 Growth 4,511.6 -1.2%

• Russell 1000 Value 2,203.7 -.4%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 999.2 +2.2%

• Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 246.1 -2.4%
  

• NYSE Technology 7,021.1 -1.2%

• Transports 19,689.8 -.7%

• Utilities 1,187.5 +2.1%

• MSCI Europe Banks 120.8 +1.8%
  

• MSCI Emerging Markets 62.2 -.13%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 255.5 +.2%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 133.6 +.1%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 611,347 +.6%
• Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 11.4 +3.3%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 792 +599

• Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -17.5 -12.7%

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 141,343 +20.0%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,087,493 +.8%

• Total Put/Call .84 -7.8%

• OEX Put/Call .32 -61.0%

• ISE Sentiment 132.0 +25.5%

• NYSE Arms .90 -25.0%
  
• Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 98.1 -2.5%
• Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .61 +3.0 basis points
• Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.57 +8.0 basis points

• Volatility(VIX) 20.8 +9.6%
• S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .67 -47.4%

• CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 16.0 +11.0%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.4 -3.5%
  

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.96 +.3%

• Smart Money Flow Index 19,821.6 -.1%
• NAAIM Exposure Index  74.9 -8.0

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.797 Trillion +.1%

• ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$5.418 Million

• AAII % Bulls 33.2 -3.8%

• AAII % Bears 39.8 +7.9%
• CNN Fear & Greed Index 42.0 (FEAR) unch.

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 310.0 +.3%

• Crude Oil 67.2/bbl. +.5%

• Reformulated Gasoline 207.8 +3.9%

• Natural Gas 2.86 -6.6%
• US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 69.8 USD/Megawatt -.1% 
• Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 32.0 euros/megawatt-hour +1.3%
  

• Heating Oil 267.1 +3.8% 
• Newcastle Coal 116.5 (1,000/metric ton) -4.3%

• Gold 5,245.4 +2.4%
• Silver 93.0 +9.5%
  

• Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 171.5 +1.5%

• Copper 598.8 +2.1%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 376.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.5%

• China Iron Ore Spot 97.7 USD/Metric Tonne +2.0%
• China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 21,275.0 USD/metric tonne n/a

• CME Lumber 559.0 -3.1%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,299.7 +.7%
• US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 300.0 USD/Short Ton unch.

Economy

• Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +3.0% -.1 percentage point

• US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 30.9 +.1 percentage point

• NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.65 -8.3%

• US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 312.1 -25.2%
• Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 4.3 +2.9
• DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
• S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(479 of 500 reporting) +14.6% +2.2 percentage points

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 321.61 +1.95:  Growth Rate +15.8% -2.9 percentage points, P/E 21.5 unch.
• S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 14.76% +2.3 percentage points
• NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(8 of 10 reporting) +28.0% +8.9 percentage points
• NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 512.03 +6.06: Growth Rate +24.6% +1.5 percentage points, P/E 28.2 -.2

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index 31.9 +6.2 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 19.6 -12.8 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 36.7 +6.0 points

• Fed Fund Futures imply 5.9%(+2.4 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 94.1%(-2.4 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 3/18/26

• US Dollar Index 97.6 -.1%

• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,887.4 +.8%
  

• Bitcoin/USD 65,290 -3.0%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 209.8 +1.0%
• Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.93 +1.5%

• Yield Curve(2s/10s) 57.75 +.25 basis points
  

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 3.96% -12.0 basis points
• Japan 30-Year Yield 3.35% +1.0 basis point

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.566 Trillion unch.
• Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $4.627 Billion -.7%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 34.84 +3.7%
  

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 186.9 +4.0%
  

• Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 63.0 +3.0 basis points
• UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 15.75 -1.5%

• China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 44.5 +4.0%
  

• Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 130.8 +2.9%
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 86.8 +16.7%

• South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 24.5 +8.9%

• China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.64 -.77%
• China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 120.97 +.74%
  

• Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.8% +10.0 basis points
• Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +1.9% unch.
• US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.9% unch.
• CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +2.8% unch.
• Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.95% +11.0 basis points: CPI YoY +2.41% +2.0 basis points
• 1-Year TIPS Spread 3.84 +29.0 basis points
• 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.26 -3.0 basis points

• Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread .75 -2.75 basis points
• 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -17.25 +1.0 basis point

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap .5 -2.0 basis points

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 55.5 +7.9%
• BofA Private Credit Proxy Index 73.3 -4.4%

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 109.0 +2.8%
• High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 558.8 +8.7% 
• Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 263.0 +51.0 
  

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 59.0 +8.4%

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 134.1 +5.2%
  

• MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 107.0 +4.0 basis points
• Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 581.0 -1.0 basis point
• Avg. Auto ABS OAS .50 unch.

• M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.3% -30.0 basis points

• Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,406.7B +.2%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 220,250 +.34%

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
• Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 55.3 -1.7%
  

• Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.14% -6.0 basis points

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 340,200 +.4%

• Weekly Retail Sales +6.8% unch.
• OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +3.0% -12.0 percentage points
• Box Office Weekly Gross $166.9M +99.0%

• Nationwide Gas $2.98/gallon +.05/gallon

• Baltic Dry Index 2,117.0 +3.6%
• Drewry World Container Freight Index $1,898.5/40 ft Box -1.1%
  

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,044.6 -1.1%

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 115.0 +35.3%
• Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 112.2 +6.2%

• Rail Freight Carloads 280,588 -1.6%
• TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,647,330 +15.9% 
• Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 45.0% -2.0 percentage points

Best Performing Style

• Mid-Cap Value -.3%

Worst Performing Style

• Small-Cap Value -2.2%

Leading Sectors

• Gold & Silver +7.5%

• Shipping +3.8%
• Utilities +2.1%

• Foods +2.1%
  

• Restaurants +1.8%
  

Lagging Sectors

• Alt Energy -4.3%

• Airlines -4.9%
  

• Computer Services -5.8%

• Banks -6.3%
  

• Regional Banks -7.8%
  

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (52)

• AAOI, ARLO, FIGS, BWIN, PRAA, PSKY, DELL, RLAY, XYZ, XRAY, EVTC, NFLX, NEXA, BLFS, ARX, PNTG, DV, BTSG, USAU, NATL, CNK, FWONK, TMDX, ADSK, CAI, GSAT, DEC, AES, STRA, NWN, CGEM, GLOB, UTI, BVN, LII, YOU, SKWD, ECPG, CRGY, CPNG, MEG, ILMN, PENN, ROKU, DRD, OPRA, GEO and LYV

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (69)

• SARO, AMR, WDAY, FMNB, FDUS, NCDL, KNTK, TSLX, SAN, TDPG, BN, NPKI, VITL, RNST, MBC, CECO, C, WD, MGPI, FCN, OWL, MESO, FOXF, BMA, VNET, MC, AXP, GS, QURE, LNC, HTGC, ZION, KKR, NTRA, ROOT, SOFI, FOUR, KTOS, APO, UAL, JEF, WAL, INFQ, PACS, KEP, TPC, LASR, ODD, ZS, NBIS, SEDG, ESTC, BCO, ACA, AMPH, FLUT, DUOL, AMBA, CRI, PGNY, FIGR, WLDN, PAR, FLGT and RUN

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change