Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 6,912.3 -.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

• DJIA 50,008.1 +2.2%

• NASDAQ 22,958.4 -2.1%

• Russell 2000 2,664.6 +2.0%

• NYSE FANG+ 15,565.9 -5.0%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 259.8 -1.9%
• Vaneck Social Sentiment 31.4 -4.9%

• Wilshire 5000 68,455.7 -.1%

• Russell 1000 Growth 4,585.8 -2.3%

• Russell 1000 Value 2,206.0 +2.1%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 983.5 +5.8%

• Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 258.2 -2.3%
  

• NYSE Technology 7,091.6 -4.4%

• Transports 19,866.1 +8.7%

• Utilities 1,088.6 -.23%

• MSCI Europe Banks 122.6 -1.5%
  

• MSCI Emerging Markets 59.9 +1.4%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 254.03 -1.0%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 131.36 -.24%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 601,036 -.3%
• Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 10.1 +118.0%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -389 -1,400

• Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -12.04 -14.0%

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 96,982 +23.1%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,035,649 +3.6%

• Total Put/Call .87 unch.

• OEX Put/Call .74 unch.

• ISE Sentiment 117.0 -10.0%

• NYSE Arms 1.12 +21.0%
  
• Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 100.8 +2.8%
• Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .54 -26.0 basis points
• Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.52 -3.0 basis points

• Volatility(VIX) 18.0 +2.9%
• S&P 500 Intraday % Swing 1.48 +44.5%

• CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 14.6 +.1%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.83 -3.3%
  

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.9 -1.4%

• Smart Money Flow Index 20,059.8 +2.0%
• NAAIM Exposure Index  84.9 -7.7

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.797 Trillion +1.1%

• ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$8.596 Million

• AAII % Bulls 39.7 -10.6%

• AAII % Bears 29.0 -5.8%
• CNN Fear & Greed Index 44.0 (moved to FEAR from NEUTRAL) -11.0

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 309.4 -4.4%

• Crude Oil 63.56/bbl. -2.7%

• Reformulated Gasoline 195.2 +.7%

• Natural Gas 3.43 -22.2%
• US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 70.8 USD/Megawatt +.6% 
• Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 35.69 euros/megawatt-hour -10.3%
  

• Heating Oil 241.4 -12.4% 
• Newcastle Coal 117.4 (1,000/metric ton) +.8%

• Gold 4,954.6 +1.3%
• Silver 77.2 -9.3%
  

• Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 168.7 -2.0%

• Copper 587.9 -1.4%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 375.0 USD/Metric Tonne unch.

• China Iron Ore Spot 99.6 USD/Metric Tonne -3.1%
• China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 22,325.0 USD/metric tonne +.2%

• CME Lumber 584.5 -1.3%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,291.3 +.2%
• US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 300.0 USD/Short Ton unch.

Economy

• Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +4.2% unch.

• US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 27.8 +1.4 percentage points

• NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.13 -14.5%

• US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 193.3 -20.7%
• Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 2.1 -17.8%
• DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
• S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(291 of 500 reporting) +13.6% -1.7 percentage points

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 317.43 +2.23:  Growth Rate +17.9% +.8 percentage point, P/E 21.4 -.7
• S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.57% -46.0 basis points
• NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(7 of 10 reporting) +19.1% +.5 percentage point
• NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 501.25 +7.19: Growth Rate +22.0% +1.8 percentage points, P/E 28.7 -2.6

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index 39.5 -.8 point

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 25.1 +1.9 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 27.4 +.3 point

• Fed Fund Futures imply 17.9%(+4.5 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 82.1%(-4.5 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 3/18/26

• US Dollar Index 97.6 +.5%

• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,858.7 -.25%
  

• Bitcoin/USD 70,334 -8.4%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 211.0 +1.3%
• Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.94 -.7%

• Yield Curve(2s/10s) 71.0 unch.
  

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.21% -3.0 basis points
• Japan 30-Year Yield 3.57% -7.0 basis points

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.558 Trillion +.29%
• Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $4.330 Billion +15.0%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 34.1+6.6%
  

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 182.9 +1.8%
  

• Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 63.0 +2.0 basis points
• UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 16.15 -.03%

• China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 43.44 -2.2%
  

• Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 126.5 -2.8%
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 70.4 -.4%

• South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 22.0 +1.8%

• China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.76 -.1%
• China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 118.74 -.74%
  

• Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.7% unch.
• Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +2.2% unch.
• US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.1% unch.
• CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +2.8% unch.
• Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.84% unch.: CPI YoY +2.36% unch.
• 1-Year TIPS Spread 3.38 -1.0 basis point
• 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.33 -1.0 basis point

• Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 4.0 basis points +1.5 basis points
• 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -16.75 -.75 basis point

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 2.75 -.5 basis point

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 50.5 +2.1%
  

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 173.0 +.6%
• High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 505.5 +4.6% 
• Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 251.0 -5.0 
  

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 53.55 -.3%

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 126.6 -.7%
  

• MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 101.0 +3.0 basis points
• Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 604.0 +7.0 basis points
• Avg. Auto ABS OAS .49 -1.0 basis point

• M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.6% unch.

• Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,410.8B +.8%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 212,250 +2.9%

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
• Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 45.3 -19.7%
  

• Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.22% +1.0 basis point

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 330,800 -9.0%

• Weekly Retail Sales +6.3% +.2 percentage point
• OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +14.0% +18.0 percentage points
• Box Office Weekly Gross $76.5M -38.8%

• Nationwide Gas $2.90/gallon +.03/gallon

• Baltic Dry Index 2,002.0 +13.6%
• Drewry World Container Freight Index $1,958.6/40 ft Box -7.0%
  

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,122.2 -4.6%

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 75.0 +50.0%
• Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 108.7 +26.2%

• Rail Freight Carloads 243,173 -8.9%
• TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,324,236 +34.4% 
• Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 41.0% -5.0 percentage points

Best Performing Style

• Small-Cap Value +3.4%

Worst Performing Style

• Large-Cap Growth -2.3%

Leading Sectors

• Airlines +14.7%

• Construction +8.4%
• Homebuilding +8.2%

• Regional Banks +7.3%
  

• Oil Service +5.4%
  

Lagging Sectors

• Video Gaming -5.2%

• Internet -6.4%
  

• Digital Health -7.6%

• Social Media -7.8%
  

• Software -9.2%
  

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (129)

• ROIV, ALGT, FN, EZPW, COHR, TER, ARW, TSEM, IPGP, MRVL, LITE, KLAC, IMVT, FLS, SMFG, LPG, GEN, LASR, VICR, SM, BTU, DAL, WTTR, ATR, AVGO, XPO, GLW, EHC, PENN, KRUS, NSIT, MT, QFIN, LIND, AN, CCL, CUK, LBRT, CAT, LI, OLED, BLTE, GPGI, WMG, MOD, INTC, MYRG, WST, KMT, KD, SANM, CALX, C, WEX, SWK, DAKT, AGCO, KGS, HRI, FTI, MPWR, URI, ESAB, CLS, HNRG, WCC, RRX, GFF, CLS, TSM, VPG, OSK, CALX, VET, SDRL, ATI, ALGN, BLBD, MAMA, CALX, PAAS, AROC, WFRD, ENPH, AMTM, SNDK, EQNR, LECO, TKR, YUMC, HMC, NOV, MMM, DLR, BKD, ESE, CTNM, DHT, THR, DBD, VRE, ASX, GLNG, WMS, MBC, DHT, SITM, CCSI, KGC, PHYS, AVT, COLM, TEX, WHD, BANC, WOLF, VOD and AZN

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (24)

• ASTH, MCHP, UNM, HIMS, AB, AFRM, TEAM, OMCL, ERO, GILT, CNC, AMZN, NWS, AMZN, NWSA, FSLR, NIQ, VRSN, ILMN, QLYS, DOCS, HUBG, PI and MOH 

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change