Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Rising Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Higher Long-Term Rates, Technical Selling, Transport/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.36 +1.98%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.38 +.39%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.48 +1.44%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 33.41 unch.
  • ISE Sentiment Index 154.0 +60.42%
  • Total Put/Call .82 +5.13%
  • NYSE Arms .91 -26.21% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 72.26 +1.20%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 109.19 +3.21%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 62.50 -2.34%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 291.62 +3.11%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.25 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 16.75 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.25 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .07% unch.
  • Yield Curve 242.0 +3 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $136.30/Metric Tonne -.51%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 5.20 +.2 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -13.90 -1.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.19 -1 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +109 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -1 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical sector longs, emerging markets shorts and index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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