Friday, November 29, 2013

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Seasonality, Weak Yen, Investor Performance Angst, Tech/Commodity Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.01 +.23%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 145.36 +.15%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.83 -.23%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 53.58 -.78%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 165.0 +35.25%
  • Total Put/Call .80 unch.
  • NYSE Arms .81 -19.68% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 69.65 +1.29%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 97.02 +2.10%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 61.0 -.79%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 293.39 n/a
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.25 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 18.25 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.5 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .06% unch.
  • Yield Curve 247.0 +2 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $136.40/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 6.90 -1.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -15.0 +1.0 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.16 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +67 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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