Thursday, November 21, 2013

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Yen Weakness, Investor Performance Angst, Gaming/Financial Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.61 -5.90%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.96 +1.24%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.77 +1.15%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 56.16 -4.12%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 216.0 +87.83%
  • Total Put/Call .77 -18.95%
  • NYSE Arms 1.08 +10.30% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 70.97 -2.03%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 106.05 -.11%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 62.50 +.26%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 295.01 -1.34%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.50 unch.
  • TED Spread 16.75 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.25 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .07% -1 basis point
  • Yield Curve 251.0 -1 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $136.30/Metric Tonne -.07%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 7.0 +.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -14.10 +.8 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.20 +3 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +215 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +12 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/retail/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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