Tuesday, November 05, 2013

Stocks Slightly Lower into Close on Rising Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Rising Long-Term Rates, Technical Selling, Homebuilding/REIT Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.22 +2.32%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.47 -.33%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.90 +4.34%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 39.29 +2.43%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 143.0 +27.7%
  • Total Put/Call .77 +2.67%
  • NYSE Arms .98 +32.11% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 74.40 +1.57%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 114.32 -.03%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 67.0 -1.47%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 284.36 +3.45%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.0 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 19.25 -1 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.25 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .05% +1 basis point
  • Yield Curve 236.0 +6 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $136.80/Metric Tonne +.74%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 0.0 +3.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -12.40 +.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.14 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -26 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +3 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/retail sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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