Monday, November 18, 2013

Stocks Slightly Higher into Afternoon on Central Bank Hopes, Less Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Investor Performance Angst, Homebuilding/Defense Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.69 +4.10%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.07 +.04%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.39 -2.10%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 33.41 unch.
  • ISE Sentiment Index 99.0 -35.29%
  • Total Put/Call .76 +1.33%
  • NYSE Arms .97 +23.92% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 70.73 +.54%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 105.79 -1.17%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 64.0 +1.0%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 279.12 -1.91%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.5 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 17.25 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.75 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .07% unch.
  • Yield Curve 239.0 -2 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $137.0/Metric Tonne +.15%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 5.00 -1.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -12.10 +.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.20 +1 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +126 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +6 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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